Wednesday, November 19, 2003

FIRST CASE OF SARS IN A NEW SARS
SEASON MAY HAVE BEEN SEEN IN TAIWAN


Patient recently returned from China

The China Post today reported the first case of SARS in the new Flu season.

Accoding to the report, "A Kaohsiung hospital yesterday reported this winter's first SARS (severe acute respiratory syndrome) case in Taiwan. Doctors at the Union Hospital said they diagnosed a resident of the southern Taiwan port city as a suspected SARS case. The resident, whose identity was withheld, visited the hospital in the afternoon. He showed a typical SARS symptom of a high fever, doctors said. 'He suffered from a 37.5 degree fever for two days before coming to us,' one doctor pointed out.The Kaohsiung resident returned from a trip to China not long ago."


Tuesday, November 11, 2003

AS WE APPROACH THE NEW SARS SEASON,
WE ARE REPRINTING AN OPEN LETTER THAT
WAS PUBLISHED IN THIS SPACE IN JUNE


AN OPEN LETTER TO THE DOCTORS AND NURSES IN TORONTO

Dear Doctors and Nurses of Toronto,

You have just been through Hell.

I've been following your story since the begining of the SARS epidemic.

Some of you have seen friends and colleagues suffer. Some of you have seen patients die. Some of you have been had the illness and recovered. Some of you have gotten the illness and feel like you will never be back to normal. Some of you fear that your illness will relapse and you'll have to go through it all again. All of you have been traumatized and your work conditions have been trying, to say the least. Many of you do not feel adequately compensated for what you have been through.

None of you want to see this happen again. Many of you must be on edge about statements that SARS could be seasonal and that come this autumn or winter, you might all have to go through a similar or worse crisis. You worry about your families and you worry about your future in the medical field. Is it possible you could end up spending the rest of your lives working in space suits to protect yourself from a SARS infection?

Most of you assume that the best minds in the medical field are working hard to understand SARS and that nobody is playing games or putting any financial agenda ahead of the goal of ending SARS as a health threat.

Since the beginning of the SARS epidemic I have been suggesting that pigs should be looked at closely as the possible source of SARS. For over a decade I have been writing about the respiratory diseases in pigs and when I first heard that SARS had broken out in a part of China which has a lot of sick pigs, I began writing about a possible link betwen SARS and a wide array of respiratory pathogens in pigs which include porcine coronavirus.

The World Health Organization has frequently spoken out about the need to identify the animal reservoir from which SARS sprang. Supposedly, the first animals found with SARS-associated coronavirus were civet cats which are sold in exotic animal markets in Guangdong Province in China. Unfortunately, because the virus was first found in civet cats, it was assumed that they must be the primary and only source of the SARS-associated coronavirus. To this very day, publications as prestigious as the Washington Post keep oversimplifying the matter by talking about civet cats as the source of SARS.

The problem is that since the civet cat research, the SARS-associated coronavirus has been found in snakes, bats, and perhaps most importantly, wild pigs. Finding the virus in pigs is most disturbing because 30% of the original cases in Guangdong Province were in foodhandlers. It seems reasonable to hypothesize that such a high a percentage suggests that the foodhandlers were handling pork or chicken rather than civet cats.

A very revealing story about the possible SARS connection to pigs appeared in the Baltimore Sun on May 14th. Gady A. Epstein, of the Baltimore Sun Foreign Staff, wrote a fascinating story about a farmer in the Chinese area where SARS is thought to have originated. Epstein found a farm where what sounds like SARS-like epidemic in pigs may have occurred. Epstein interviewed a woman named Zheng Haocai who lives with her husband on a farm south of Guangzhou. Her shack of a farmhouse is "cobbled together out of aluminum, lumber, tarpaper and plastic sheeting." According to Epstein, "Zheng is unable to afford feed for her pigs, so they eat factory and restaurant garbage, served out of blue plastic barrels of unidentifiable dark sludge that she buys for $2.50 a barrel."

In what could turn out to be the most important reporting on SARS to date, Epstein writes that "at feeding time, her chickens join the feast, pecking near the porkers and, in the end stall, among a handful of pigs set apart from the others. This small group, Zheng said, had recovered from a strange virus that struck dozens of her pigs with flu and diarrhea a few months ago." And Epstein reports that the woman said, "This year we've had a lot of pigs get sick, and even when I give them medicine, they don't get better."

Epstein also reported that "a few feet from the pen lies an open box filled with empty syringes, used medicine bottles and torn packets of fever remedies that Zheng used with little success. Out of a group of 80 pigs she bought this year, she said, half died." Epstein reported that the woman said, "They got fever and didn't want to eat."

Every doctor and nurse in Toronto and the rest of the world has an investment in knowing whether the pigs in Guangdong Province are infected with the SARS-associated coronavirus. There is no indication that the CDC or the World Health Organization is in any hurry to thoroughly investigate the matter.

According to the High Plains Journal, a study was conducted by the Canadian Food Inspection Agency into whether young pigs in Canada could transmit the virus. The study is shoddy to say the least. According to the study, there was some replication by the SARS-associated coronavirus but the pigs didn't get sick and didn't seem to spread the virus. Some replication? Despite it's claims that pigs are not involved, the study doesn't prove that pigs of a wide variety of ages and health conditions in China aren't carriers of the SARS-associated coronavirus. If anything, the fact that pigs can be transiently infected seems to call for more research, not stonewalling.

One thing that caught my eye early in my own SARS investigation was a study of pigs done in Japan. The research on several hundred pigs in Japan suggested that coronaviruses move back and forth with great ease between people and pigs. If the SARS-associated coronavirus is endemic in Chinese pigs, and it moves back and forth with great ease, we can expect a far worse SARS epidemic when the weather changes. For all we know, the SARS-associated coronavirus could be spreading without visible signs of mortality throughout all the pig herds in China. Now that China seems to be returning to its old program of news censorship, there's no telling what is going on in the pigs in China. China has covered up past epidemics in its pigs.

The most important point I want in this letter is that the leading pig researchers who should be out there warning about the possibility that pigs will be a huge reservoir for the SARS-associated coronavirus, are by and large so much in bed with the pork industry that they dare not make an independent peep. They live in fear of the industry that finances them. A SARS connection to pigs would create an unprecedented international problem with almost apolcalyptic financial implications.

The pig researchers I spoke with early on in the SARS epidemic almost universally hostile to any discussion of pigs as a source of SARS. If the medical community in Totonto wants to find out the truth about pigs and SARS, it may have to finance research independent of the pig research estalishment.

It is laughable that some in the pig research community have talked about their ability to help research the SARS epidemic with their knowledge of coronaviruses, but have refused to discuss pigs as a possible or probable source of the SARS epidemic.

The truth about the health of pigs in every province in China matters a great deal to you, the nurses and doctors of Toronto. To avoid another hellish round of SARS, I hope you will join me in demanding that the connection between SARS and pigs be investigated with integrity and diligence. Millions of lives may depend on this politically sensitive research.

Charles Ortleb
rubiconmedia@yahoo.com

Saturday, October 25, 2003

THE NEW YORK TIMES GETS YET ANOTHER
EPIDEMIC WRONG


The New York Times, which to this day still has not reported the true story about AIDS, CFIDS and HHV-6, now has shifted its monumental journalistic incompetence to the subject of SARS. An editorial in the Sunday paper gets it exactly wrong: "Health authorities are preparing for the possible return of the SARS virus this fall, but with any luck they should be able to prevent a global epidemic. The virus is a nasty germ that can inflict terrible harm on anyone who contracts SARS. But the virus is relatively hard to spread and the conditions that allowed the disease to race from nation to nation last season seem unlikely to repeat themselves."

Hard to spread? They should pay an intern to just Google the story. If they did they would know that many more people are positive for exposure to the virus than got sick from it. Many people who handled wild animals in Guangdong Province in China have evidence of exposure to the virus--as many as 40% in one market.

The Times should consider sending a reporter to interview Henry Niman, the Harvard professor who has watched the Sars epidemic like a hawk for much of the last year. Niman has predicted for months that when the weather turns colder in China and elsewhere, a SARS apocalypse could occur. Since many animals are capable of contracting the virus, there could be many new reservoirs when the next SARS season begins.

The Times editorial comes close to chiding the CDC for panic-mongering. The Times should really try to get to the bottom of the SARS story before they make a judgment like that. They may have to eat their words. They should try and ascertain whether the CDC knows more than it is telling the public about the likelihood of an explosive new SARS epidemic. If Henry Niman's vision of the future is correct, we could have a major catastrophe in the United States and elsewhere this winter. SARS could end up being the number one issue in the next election.

One more suggestion for the Times. Investigate the role of pigs in the SARS epidemic. We predict they'll find a big story there.





Wednesday, October 22, 2003

NEW RESEARCH BOLSTERS CLAIMS THAT HHV-6
PLAYS A MAJOR ROLE IN AIDS


Is HHV-6 the real AIDS virus?

New research published in Blood on October 15 by a team of researchers that includes famous HHV-6 researcher Paolo Lusso, suggests that HHV-6 can play a major role in suppressing the immune system.

The abstract of the research follows:

"Human herpesvirus 6 (HHV-6) is a potentially immunosuppressive agent that has been suggested to act as a cofactor in the progression of HIV disease. Exposure of human macrophages to HHV-6A or HHV-6B profoundly impaired their ability to produce interleukin 12 (IL-12) upon stimulation with interferon-gamma (IFN-gamma) and lipopolysaccharide (LPS). By contrast, the production of tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-alpha); regulated on activation, normal T-cell expressed and secreted (RANTES); and macrophage inflammatory protein 1beta (MIP-1beta) was not negatively affected. To exclude the involvement of IL-12-suppressive cytokines, such as IL-10 and TNF-alpha, the viral stocks were fractionated by ultra-centrifugation. The bulk of the suppressive activity was recovered within the virion-rich pelleted fraction that was virtually devoid of such cytokines. IL-12 suppression was independent of viral replication, and the effect was not abrogated upon ultraviolet-light inactivation of the viral inoculum. The mechanism of HHV-6-mediated IL-12 suppression was investigated by RNase protection assays, which demonstrated unaltered levels of IL-12 p35 mRNA and only a modest reduction in p40 mRNA, which was insufficient to account for the near-complete loss of both extracellular and intracellular IL-12 protein. Moreover, both the IFN-gamma and the LPS signaling pathways were intact in HHV-6-treated cells. These data suggest that HHV-6 can dramatically affect the generation of effective cellular immune responses, providing a novel potential mechanism of HHV-6-mediated immunosuppression."

It is truly tragic that the HIV Mafia continues dismiss any suggestion that HHV-6 needs to be treated in AIDS. Not only do we think it needs to be treated, but we also think it is the real AIDS virus and that anyone who has died of AIDS since HHV-6 was discovered in 1986 was a victim of medical politics and scientific fraud. If HHV-6 had been recognized as the real AIDS killer, these victims could have been treated with much more effective medications. The only reason HHV-6 is not the subject to multi-million dollar research is that the HIV establishment is afraid their cockamamie HIV paradigm will be seen for the outrageous lie that it is. Hopefully, one of these days a massive--and we mean massive--class action lawsuit will be launched against the CDC, the NIH and all of the scientific con artists who have perpetrated this tragic HIV fraud. And the suit should also be done in the name of CFIDS patients, MS patients and all the other patients who are suffering from HHV-6 immunological damage.


Friday, October 17, 2003

WILD BOARS ARE BACK ON THE
SARS SUSPECT LIST


Has it spread to China's domestic pigs?

According to a report by Andy Ho in today's Straits Times, "A new study by Chinese researchers reported this week by the US Centres for Disease Control and Prevention suggests that many people may have had Sars without showing symptoms. The study of 508 animal traders in Guangdong showed that more than half of those who handled civets, wild boars or muntjac deer, as well as a third of those who handled pheasants, had Sars antibodies."


Wednesday, October 08, 2003

NEW STUDY FAILS TO RULE PIGS OUT
AS SOURCE OF SARS


The Sars coronavirus is described as a "Frankenstein type"
virus that is partially related to a coronavirus
that infects pigs and other animals.


According to an article by Jenni Laidman in the Toledo Blade, "The SARS virus shows signs of Frankenstein-like construction, with one important gene cobbled together from two other viruses, a study by a University of Michigan researcher reveals."

According to the report, the scientists "discovered one end of the SARS replication gene was a sister to the coronaviruses that attack birds. The other end bore a resemblance to all other groups of coronaviruses, including those that prefer cattle, pigs and deer as well as those that attack rodents, horses and rhinoceroses."

As we have pointed out on this blog, there is some evidence that pigs in China may have died of a SARS-like illness prior to the outbreak of the illness in that country last year.As far as we know, there still has been no widespread testing for the Sars-associated coronavirus in pigs in the areas where SARS has broken out.


Wednesday, September 24, 2003

NEW RESEARCH SUGGESTS THAT THE SARS CORONAVIRUS
IS MORE WIDESPREAD AND OLDER THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT


Are pigs the key to understanding the complications of SARS?

According to a report from South Africa's News24, "Recent studies in China indicate the pneumonia-like Sars virus might have existed in humans for some time, as scientists testing blood samples collected prior to the recent outbreaks found evidence of the virus."

According to the study, over 40% of 92 children at one Chinese hospital, who did not have symptons of SARS, tested positive for antibodies to the SARS coronavirus. Also, when scientists looked at over sixteen hundred samples of blood from Chinese adults taken between 2001 and 2002, they found that 16 people tested positive for the SARS coronavirus.

These findings raise questions about the conventional wisdom about SARS. The prevailing theory has been that SARS emerged from exotic animals and infected people at some point last autumn. Now it appears that the virus may have been circulating for some time. It also suggests that many more people may have been infected with the agent and not gotten the severe symptoms of SARS. In addition, the findings may suggest that other agents might be necessary to help the SARS coronavirus create the severe pathology associated with SARS.

The new findings also might support our suggestion that the complicated respiratory diseases circulating in pigs may be the key to understanding SARS.

Saturday, September 06, 2003

IT LOOKS LIKE SARS II IS COMING SOON
AND WILL BE CATASTROPHIC


Over the last few days there have been somber reports that suggest that SARS is percolating in two or more species of animals out there. They come on the heels of what was clearly an outbreak of SARS in British Columbia that was swept under the rug. The British Columbia outbreak showed that mild forms of SARS exist and that the virus is probably spreading silently in many places, waiting for cooler weather to show its deadly face. Even the CIA sees nothing but bad news down the road, according to reporting by Laurie Garrett.

Henry Niman, a Harvard professor who has turned into one of the nation's leading SARS intellectuals, has been warning that SARS has continued spreading in the months since the first epidemic seemed to have ended. He cites the rather abrupt end of the first epidemic as proof that the virus does it most serious pathological work during what is usually considered the flu season.

Reports in Science magazine that civet cats and racoon dogs in China seem to be infected with a nearly identical SARS virus have caused a great deal of alarm since the Chinese have not made an effort to control these animals. And they may just be the tip of the iceberg. Several months ago there there was a report that the virus was found in wild pigs in China. And this blog has pointed out the curious story by Gady Epstein which ran in the Baltimore Sun about a farm in Guangdong Province in which half of the pigs died from a mysterious fever during the same period as the SARS epidemic. If the SARS virus is now spreading through pigs in China, the next SARS epidemic could dwarf the first one.

Sunday, August 24, 2003

THE SARS-ASSOCIATED CORONAVIRUS HAS
BEEN FOUND IN A WIDE RANGE
OF ANIMALS IN CHINA


But are pigs the most threatening reservoir?

According to Straits Times, a recent investigation into the presence of SARS-associated coronavirus has found the virus in many different animals. It is unclear which animals are transmitting the virus to people. According to the report, "A Sars-like virus has been found in a broad range of animals, ranging from snakes and birds to mammals, a medical group said yesterday after returning from the epicentre of the virus in south China. The 14 United Nations and Chinese experts visited farms and markets in Guangdong province in search of a possible animal carrier of the virus, and were astounded to see how many different species were capable of infection."

Although the report did not mention pigs, a previous study had found the virus in wild pigs that were sold at a market in Guandong Province in China. Research we have mentioned before on this blog indicates that coronaviruses go back and forther between people and pigs quite easily. The coronavirus strain mentioned in the study, OC43, was recently found in patients who were thought to have SARS in a nursing home in British Columbia, Canada. There is ongoing confusion about whether the victims of a respiratory disease epidemic there are suffering from OC43 or the so-called SARS-associated coronavirus. On the Silicon Investor website, Henry Niman, a Harvard professor who has been following the virology of SARS epidemic very closely, expressed the concern that the SARS-associated coronavirus may have recombined with OC43. If that does turn out to be the case, studies showing the ease with which OC43 goes back and forth between pigs and people may become even more relevant.

Wednesday, August 20, 2003

SARS SPREADING IN CANADA AGAIN
AS AUTHORITIES TRY TO EXPLAIN IT AWAY


SARS now seems to come with a wide range of symptoms, making tracking it almost impossible


According to newscientist.com, an outbreak of pneumonia, which tests so far indicate may be caused by the SARS virus, appears to be spreading in British Columbia, Canada. The virus had already infected over 150 people and killed six at a nursing home near Vancouver, and now appears to have infected a second nursing home nearby."

Sunday, August 17, 2003

IS THE INSIDIOUS FUTURE OF SARS
MANIFESTING ITSELF NOW IN A
CANADIAN NURSING HOME?


And, as WHO heads for a pig farm in China, it appears that rats may also be a vector

Great confusion now surrounds the outbreak of SARS or a SARS-like disease in a nursing home in a suburb of Vancouver in British Columbia. Apparently, in July, a number of residents of a nursing home came down with respiratory symptoms that were not as serious as SARS, but given that four people died and a SARS virus or a SARS-like virus was found in many of the patients, workers and residents of the nursing home, there is the real possibility that SARS now comes in several forms. And that means the future SARS epidemic could be nearly impossible to control with the public health tools that were employed during the first SARS epidemic. Chronic or inapparent cases of SARS could not effectively be tracked and quarantined unless the whole population was called in for testing. And even then the effort might be futile.

Meanwhile, BBC is reporting that a research published in the Lancet suggests that rats may be able to carry the SARS coronavirus.

And we are happy to report that according to Associated Press, scientists from the World Health Organization are actually going to visit a pig farm in Guangdong Province in China. Bowing to pressure from this blog, no doubt. Stay tuned.


Thursday, August 14, 2003

IN A PUZZLING MOVE, CHINA WILL ALLOW
FARMS TO RAISE ANIMALS THAT MAY CARRY
THE SARS CORONAVIRUS

The World Health Organization is very concerned

The Straits Times today reported that China would no longer prohibit the raising of the very animals that may be resnsible for SARS.

According to the report, "China has allowed farms to resume selling masked palm civets, a species that may have been the source of the Sars virus, and 53 other exotic animals, although Chinese provinces retain the discretion to ban the consumption of these animals."

The World Health Organization has expressed concern that SARS will return when the weather changes because wild animals may be carrying the SARS-associated coronavirus.

Saturday, August 09, 2003

HARVARD'S HENRY NIMAN SEES A SARS
APOCALYPSE COMING AS SOON AS
THE WEATHER GETS COLDER


The mutating virus seems to be spreading in the general population.


While we have mainly been concerned about the probable spread of the SARS-associated coronavirus in the pig population of China, Henry Niman, a Harvard Medical School scientist, has a more pressing concern. He thinks that the Sars-associated coronavirus has established a significant reservoir in the human population and as soon as the seasons change, a new SARS epidemic will explode and dwarf the first one. He doesn't write the whole screenplay, but between the lines of what he is saying is a disaster about to happen that could change life as we know it. We're talking about hospitals overflowing with SARS patients, economic collapse, thousands of people in quarantine, maybe even martial law. Of course it is always possible that we could get lucky and the SARS coronavirus won't have the heart to do it. But Niman's analysis of the available data is pretty persuasive.

Niman surfaced in the news months ago amid the confusion about what the mortality rate of SARS is. He blew the whistle on some fuzzy math that were suggesting that the mortality rate for SARS was in the range of 5%. A no-nonsense look at the actual number of cases by Niman revealed that the real mortality rate of SARS is and was always 15%. When Niman factors in as many as 25% of patients who don't die but also never fully recover, one gets a truly horrific picture of what SARS is. And what it is going to be is even more terrifyng, if Niman is right. Eight to twelve weeks from now could be the beginning of the kind a public health panic only seen in our lifetime in the movies. As Niman has said in several postings on various public affairs sites, we have trouble right here in River City.

On The Agonist site, Niman wrote in June, "The WHO conference on SARS in Malaysia has just ended with warnings to remain vigilant because SARS could re-emerge and the animal reservoir is not well defined. The SARS epidemic is about to enter the 2nd 100 days since WHO issued its alert, but it is not clear that officials are paying attention. SARS is not going to re-emerge from the wilds of Guangdong Province from some exotic animal. SARS is right here in River City, complete with a strong set of deletion and point mutations."

Ominously, he also wrote that "The data just released from the Canadian National labs in Winnipeg confirms the early data which showed evidence for the SARS coronavirus in probable and suspect cases as well as patients with symptoms who failed to meet the WHO case definition for suspect or probable cases. Many of their contacts were not interviewed or even identified. Investigators in Toronto as well as Hong Kong are now going back to do more widespread tracing on patients positive for the virus to better understand how far and wide the virus has spread. The finding of evidence of the SARS virus in patients with a broad spectrum of symptoms suggests the virus has spread quite widely. Molecular epidemiology can help trace the virus as well as mutations. It seems highly unlikely that the 29 nt deletion will be restored and it also seems unlikely that the various point mutations will go away. In the fall, when flu and cold season returns, the SARS symptoms will be masked by flu and cold symptoms as well as unrelated cases of atypical pneumonia. Co-infection of patients with coronaviruses such as 229E or OC43 and SARS coronavirus will also provide opportunities for novel recombinants. Such recombinants with the infectivity of a cold virus and the potential for causing a fatal pneumonia would represent a formidable challenge."

"Formidable challenge" is the way that academics say "Yikes!"

Thursday, August 07, 2003

AND IF SARS BREAKS OUT IN THE
USA IN THE AUTUMN . . .


"If SARS becomes established here the way it did in Toronto, all hell is going to break loose," warns Arthur Kellermann, chairman of the department of emergency medicine at Emory University in Atlanta. "We're struggling to meet tonight's demand for 911 calls, much less a major respiratory disease."
--From The Wall Street Journal

Tuesday, August 05, 2003

ARE PIGS A SARS RESERVOIR IN CHINA?
Maybe someone should interview
Zhong Nanshan


Back on April 6, South Africa's News24.com reported that "Zhong Nanshan, touted as China's first health expert to identify the new disease, said Guangdong province's Center for Disease Control and Prevention recently completed a study of 30 animal types and found the virus in snakes, wild pigs, monkeys and bats."

On June 4th, the Xinhua News Agency reported that "Although there is no direct evidence that the SARS virus originated in wildlife, such as the civet cat or the wild boar, Zhong considers that it is probably the case."

How we got from "found the virus" to "no direct evidence" is somewhat of a mystery, perhaps political in nature. The truth has a way of doing sommersaults and backflips in China. Especially about SARS. We heard from one scientist today that even genetic sequences of the SARS coronavirus have a way of suddenly changing in China.

Zhong Nanshan would make a great interview subject for some enterprising mainstream journalist who can get through to him. Is the SARS coronavirus in wild pigs or not? The future health of the world may be riding on the answer to that question.


Saturday, July 19, 2003

SARS: THE NIGHTMARE SCENARIO

In something like 100 days, SARS could break out in a devastating manner because the animal reservoir for the virus has still not been determined and that reservoir might not be as limited and exotic as some people think. If the finding that suggests that wild pigs are SARS carriers is accurate, and if the death of some domestic pigs in China's Guangdong Province was from that virus, then the epidemic that occurs when the seasons change could be mind-boggling.

If the SARS-associated coronavirus is now spreading throughout the pig population all over China, the next epidemic will overwhelm that country's public health system. And if it is in pigs, they will be faced with the problem of controlling the disease in pigs which may mean trying to kill all of the infected pigs in China, and that would cause all kinds of disruption. We can expect international panic. We can also expect a major epidemic in North America and if that happens, our pigs could turn into the next reservoir for SARS. This scenario is utterly within the realm of possiblity and should be taken seriously by national security types because it could cause a breakdown of economies across the globe.

Right now it appears that most scientific authorities are just praying that this won't happen.

Some of the negligent villains in this nightmare scenario would turn out to be all the pig researchers who know about the porcine coronavirus problem all over the world. The pork industry and its research puppets should be on the front lines of SARS research, and instead what we are hearing is total silence and what we are seeing is total inaction.

Here's a question for economists and investors. What will the stock market look like in November and December if people are walking around New York and all the other major cities in the world in medical masks? If that happens, you can thank the pork industry and its researchers for their proactive response to SARS.

Saturday, July 12, 2003

AUSTRALIAN RESEARCHER IS SEARCHING
FOR SARS RESERVOIRS IN CHINA.


What follows is a media release from CSIRO, a scientific organization in Australia.


A senior CSIRO veterinarian begins a three-week visit to China on Friday to help coordinate an international investigation into the roles animals might play in spreading the deadly SARS virus.

One of CSIRO Livestock Industries' leading viral disease experts - Dr Laurie Gleeson from the Australian Animal Health Laboratory in Geelong - will visit several Chinese provinces while on secondment to the UN's Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO).

His role will be to provide a focal point in communication between Chinese authorities, the FAO, the World Health Organisation and international researchers.

"FAO has taken the lead in providing this international collaboration with the Ministry of Agriculture (MOA) in China. My role is to assist the government of China to develop their program to investigate animal-related aspects of the SARS epidemic," Dr Gleeson says.

"During the mission we will collate information on research to date and identify areas that require further research. We will also explore where international collaboration will assist China to quickly resolve some key issues, such as the need for diagnostic tests for animals," he says.

Since it was identified in Late February 2003, the SARS virus has infected more than 8,000 people world-wide, killed over 800 and continues to have a major impact on the global economy. The atypical pneumonia is believed to be caused by a newly identified type of coronavirus.

Dr Gleeson says a very similar virus has been isolated from civets and racoon dogs obtained from Chinese wildlife markets. However it is not clear if these animals are the 'natural host' of the virus.

"Antibodies to the SARS virus are not widespread in the human population, strongly suggesting that the virus is new to humans and that it has jumped from an animal species," he says.

"We need to know the natural host of the virus and understand if other animal species may become infected and able to transmit it so we can be prepared to prevent epidemics of SARS arising in the future," he says.


Saturday, July 05, 2003

THE NEXT SARS EPIDEMIC

Maybe you ain't seen nothing yet

By Charles Ortleb

While the media is celebrating what seems to be the disappearance of SARS from the face of the earth, there is a dark undercurrent to some of the news stories and there are some rather unpleasant facts that still have not been faced head-on.

There is still the matter of the animal reservoir. Nobody is giving a straight answer on this issue. Are civet cats the primary source or just the first place researchers looked? What about reports that pigs, snakes and bats also test positive? Is pork in China infected with the SARS-associated coronavirus? How about Canada. Are Canadian hams free of SARS? Has anyone bothered to check?

Pigs are of special concern because coronaviruses go back and forth easily between people and pigs. And because there are millions of pigs in China and people there live in close proximity. If SARS is seasonal the animal reservoir in October or November could be exponentially larger than the reservoir for the first SARS outbreak. The next SARS epidemic could involve millions of people if the virus is now spreading among the pigs in China. If that happens, there will be an international panic like we have never seen.

And if pigs are infected what will authorities do? Kill every infected pig? That's what they've had to do for some other zoonotic epidemics from pigs--Nipah virus, for one.

The scariest thing about the possibility of pigs being involved is that the pork industry will do everything it can to keep a lid on it. And it will have great support from pig researchers who seem to be more concerned about the industry than the health of people.

The media is missing a big one here. Newsday's Laurie Garrett has done some decent writing on SARS, but she's dropped the ball where pigs are concerned. When she talks about animals and SARS the word "pig" does not cross her lips. Very peculiar. Pigs are the SARS reservoir that dare not speak its name.

There could be one benefit for the world if pigs are the source of SARS. Everyone will want to know more about the health of pigs and people are bound to find out that pigs have AIDS all over the world. It's called "PRRS" and if you don't know what that is, go directly to Google, type in "PRRS and pigs" and don't pass go.

Charles Ortleb is the author of The Closing Argument and the co-author of The Chronic Fatigue Syndrome Follies.


Thursday, June 26, 2003

AN OPEN LETTER TO THE DOCTORS AND NURSES IN TORONTO

Dear Doctors and Nurses of Toronto,

You have just been through Hell.

I've been following your story since the begining of the SARS epidemic.

Some of you have seen friends and colleagues suffer. Some of you have seen patients die. Some of you have been had the illness and recovered. Some of you have gotten the illness and feel like you will never be back to normal. Some of you fear that your illness will relapse and you'll have to go through it all again. All of you have been traumatized and your work conditions have been trying, to say the least. Many of you do not feel adequately compensated for what you have been through.

None of you want to see this happen again. Many of you must be on edge about statements that SARS could be seasonal and that come this autumn or winter, you might all have to go through a similar or worse crisis. You worry about your families and you worry about your future in the medical field. Is it possible you could end up spending the rest of your lives working in space suits to protect yourself from a SARS infection?

Most of you assume that the best minds in the medical field are working hard to understand SARS and that nobody is playing games or putting any financial agenda ahead of the goal of ending SARS as a health threat.

Since the beginning of the SARS epidemic I have been suggesting that pigs should be looked at closely as the possible source of SARS. For over a decade I have been writing about the respiratory diseases in pigs and when I first heard that SARS had broken out in a part of China which has a lot of sick pigs, I began writing about a possible link betwen SARS and a wide array of respiratory pathogens in pigs which include porcine coronavirus.

The World Health Organization has frequently spoken out about the need to identify the animal reservoir from which SARS sprang. Supposedly, the first animals found with SARS-associated coronavirus were civet cats which are sold in exotic animal markets in Guangdong Province in China. Unfortunately, because the virus was first found in civet cats, it was assumed that they must be the primary and only source of the SARS-associated coronavirus. To this very day, publications as prestigious as the Washington Post keep oversimplifying the matter by talking about civet cats as the source of SARS.

The problem is that since the civet cat research, the SARS-associated coronavirus has been found in snakes, bats, and perhaps most importantly, wild pigs. Finding the virus in pigs is most disturbing because 30% of the original cases in Guangdong Province were in foodhandlers. It seems reasonable to hypothesize that such a high a percentage suggests that the foodhandlers were handling pork or chicken rather than civet cats.

A very revealing story about the possible SARS connection to pigs appeared in the Baltimore Sun on May 14th. Gady A. Epstein, of the Baltimore Sun Foreign Staff, wrote a fascinating story about a farmer in the Chinese area where SARS is thought to have originated. Epstein found a farm where what sounds like SARS-like epidemic in pigs may have occurred. Epstein interviewed a woman named Zheng Haocai who lives with her husband on a farm south of Guangzhou. Her shack of a farmhouse is "cobbled together out of aluminum, lumber, tarpaper and plastic sheeting." According to Epstein, "Zheng is unable to afford feed for her pigs, so they eat factory and restaurant garbage, served out of blue plastic barrels of unidentifiable dark sludge that she buys for $2.50 a barrel."

In what could turn out to be the most important reporting on SARS to date, Epstein writes that "at feeding time, her chickens join the feast, pecking near the porkers and, in the end stall, among a handful of pigs set apart from the others. This small group, Zheng said, had recovered from a strange virus that struck dozens of her pigs with flu and diarrhea a few months ago." And Epstein reports that the woman said, "This year we've had a lot of pigs get sick, and even when I give them medicine, they don't get better."

Epstein also reported that "a few feet from the pen lies an open box filled with empty syringes, used medicine bottles and torn packets of fever remedies that Zheng used with little success. Out of a group of 80 pigs she bought this year, she said, half died." Epstein reported that the woman said, "They got fever and didn't want to eat."

Every doctor and nurse in Toronto and the rest of the world has an investment in knowing whether the pigs in Guangdong Province are infected with the SARS-associated coronavirus. There is no indication that the CDC or the World Health Organization is in any hurry to thoroughly investigate the matter.

According to the High Plains Journal, a study was conducted by the Canadian Food Inspection Agency into whether young pigs in Canada could transmit the virus. The study is shoddy to say the least. According to the study, there was some replication by the SARS-associated coronavirus but the pigs didn't get sick and didn't seem to spread the virus. Some replication? Despite it's claims that pigs are not involved, the study doesn't prove that pigs of a wide variety of ages and health conditions in China aren't carriers of the SARS-associated coronavirus. If anything, the fact that pigs can be transiently infected seems to call for more research, not stonewalling.

One thing that caught my eye early in my own SARS investigation was a study of pigs done in Japan. The research on several hundred pigs in Japan suggested that coronaviruses move back and forth with great ease between people and pigs. If the SARS-associated coronavirus is endemic in Chinese pigs, and it moves back and forth with great ease, we can expect a far worse SARS epidemic when the weather changes. For all we know, the SARS-associated coronavirus could be spreading without visible signs of mortality throughout all the pig herds in China. Now that China seems to be returning to its old program of news censorship, there's no telling what is going on in the pigs in China. China has covered up past epidemics in its pigs.

The most important point I want in this letter is that the leading pig researchers who should be out there warning about the possibility that pigs will be a huge reservoir for the SARS-associated coronavirus, are by and large so much in bed with the pork industry that they dare not make an independent peep. They live in fear of the industry that finances them. A SARS connection to pigs would create an unprecedented international problem with almost apolcalyptic financial implications.

The pig researchers I spoke with early on in the SARS epidemic almost universally hostile to any discussion of pigs as a source of SARS. If the medical community in Totonto wants to find out the truth about pigs and SARS, it may have to finance research independent of the pig research estalishment.

It is laughable that some in the pig research community have talked about their ability to help research the SARS epidemic with their knowledge of coronaviruses, but have refused to discuss pigs as a possible or probable source of the SARS epidemic.

The truth about the health of pigs in every province in China matters a great deal to you, the nurses and doctors of Toronto. To avoid another hellish round of SARS, I hope you will join me in demanding that the connection between SARS and pigs be investigated with integrity and diligence. Millions of lives may depend on this politically sensitive research.

Charles Ortleb
rubiconmedia@yahoo.com


Friday, June 20, 2003

ONCE AGAIN, THE TIMES SKIRTS
THE PIG QUESTION

By Charles Ortleb

In today's New York Times, Lawrence Altman once again carefully avoids talking about pigs, the most obvious probable source of the SARS-associated coronavirus. With Keith Bradsheer, the former CDC employee reports that "Another concern is that researchers in Hong Kong and Guangdong say they have found viruses nearly identical to the SARS virus in several species of wild animals sold for meat in local marketplaces. Nobody knows whether those animals long harbored the disease or happened to catch it in a market stall from some other animal. Nor does anybody know whether the disease passed once from animals to humans in a fluke incident or was transmitted in a manner easily repeated. All of these factors will affect the likelihood of recurrent outbreaks."

Well, if nobody knows the SARS serostatus of all the edible wild animals in China, we do hope that somebody will try and find out one of these months. And we know that China can be trusted provide an honest answer to this question.

Meanwhile, if the thought of eating ham from a pig with AIDS doesn't appeal to you, we suggest you read about the PRRS epidemic in pigs in Canada and the USA. Next time you eat bacon, you may want to fry it in protease inhibitors and a strong antibiotic.

Charles Ortleb is the author of The Closing Argument and the co-author of The Chronic Fatigue Syndrome Follies.

Thursday, June 19, 2003

HOW MANY PIGS IN CHINA AND
CANADA ARE CARRIERS OF THE
SARS-ASSOCIATED CORONAVIRUS?


Nobody seems to want to talk about pigs and SARS. And what about the dead pigs in China's Guangdong Province?

While the World Health Organization continues to warn that as long as there are animal reservoirs for the SARS-associated coronavirus (SAC), SARS will still be a problem. It's amazing that the discovery of the virus in wild pigs hasn't raised the alarm that pigs could be the fastest way the virus could spread throughout the human population. It seems that from a statistical point of view, it is more likely that the 30% of the first SARS cases in China who were food handlers were more likely to be handling pork than barbecued civet cat. The mainstream media likes the civet cat story and is sticking with it.

More than likely the problem is that nobody wants to go there. SARS in pigs implies an epidemic that would be virtually impossible to control and one that would create economic pandemonium. It is just as unthinkable as the idea that Chronic Fatigue Syndrome is actually AIDS which just couldn't be true.

Several weeks ago, before the Chinese researchers announced the had found SAC in wild pigs, the World Health Organization made a comforting statement that pigs couldn't be infected. That was based on a Canadian study which we finally located. Resource News International via COMTEX reported on May 14 that "Early results indicate that pigs and chickens are not showing symptoms of severe acute respiratory syndrome after being injected with the disease, said science researcher Hana Weingartl of the Canadian Food Inspection Agency (CFIA)."

The report noted that "tests to find the effects of SARS on livestock have been performed on 5-week-old pigs and 6-week-old chickens. The experiments were requested by the Paris-based International Organization for Animal Health, after speculation that SARS was being spread from pigs and chickens."

The study seems to have been aimed at determining if the animals got sick from SAC, not if they could be healthy reservoirs of the virus. If this really is what they did, and if this the study that WHO based its pronouncement on, then the kindest thing we can say is that the World Health Organization's SARS research effort is in the hand of morons.

We're still waiting for someone to test the sick pigs in China's Guangdong Province.

Saturday, June 07, 2003

IT'S OFFICIAL: THE TIMES ACKNOWLEDGES
THAT THE SARS-ASSOCIATED CORONAVIRUS
HAS BEEN FOUND IN WILD PIGS


The media is taking its time on the SARS-in-pigs story. We're shocked, shocked! Knowing how the pork industry and its research pimps operate, we're lucky that there is any story at all.

But finally in the New York Times, Lawrence Altman (MD and president of the CDC fan club) broke the porcine silence, Altman writes: "Yet another area of uncertainty [about SARS], the health agency said, concerns an unconfirmed news report that scientists in China have found the SARS virus in a wider variety of animals than previously reported. The new species include snakes, wild pigs, bats and monkeys, though not household pets, according to statements made at an Asian scientific meeting in Beijing last week."

Altman continues, "In May, scientists reported finding the virus in masked palm civets and raccoon dogs, and evidence of infection among badgers in a wildlife market in Shenzen, in southern China. The W.H.O. has received information about the Shenzen findings but little about the newer findings despite telephone calls to Chinese scientists, said a frustrated Dr. Klaus Stohr, who directs the scientific investigation of SARS for the Geneva-based agency."

Alman reports that Dr. Stohr told him, "If this virus is present in so many species, it would be a big surprise biologically." Stohr also told Altman that confirmation of the findings would make "control of SARS much more difficult, without doubt, because there would be so many sources."

We first suggested that pigs were a possible and probable source of SARS on March 27. A couple of pig researchers violently disagreed with us which is not surprising since most research into pig diseases is either directly or indirectly funded by the pork industry.

We're still waiting for more details on that amazing pig experiment done weeks ago under the auspices of WHO -- you know, the one that shows that pigs can't become infected with the SARS-associated coronavirus. Who conducted that research, the mayor of Toronto?

The big question still is whether animals like pigs will become the reservoir for a much worse epidemic as time goes on. If pigs are involved, the pork industry will do it's best to circle the wagons and protect the industry. We still haven't seen a mention of the SARS-in-pigs story at The Pig Site which tries to keep up on every new story about pigs. Well, almost every story.

We were amused weeks ago when we saw that the pig research establishment seemed to be patting itself on the back about how swine science would be helpful in understanding how to control the SARS epidemic, carefully avoiding discussions of research that shows that coronaviruses go back and forth between pigs and people with the greatest of ease. There was a collective sigh of relief when it looked like civet cats are the source of SARS. Nobody seemed to want to focus on the wild boars that are also sold in the famous wild animal gourmet markets in China.

Stay tuned.


Wednesday, June 04, 2003

WILD PIGS IN CHINA TEST POSITIVE FOR
THE SARS CORONAVIRUS

Most of the media seems to be ignoring an
important new fact about SARS


According to the South Africa's News24.com, wild pigs in China have tested positive for the SARS-associated coronavirus, which should raise serious questions about the possibility of SARS entering the food supply in China, Canada, and other places where there are major SARS epidemics. Certainly no pork or live pigs should be brought into the United States from Canada until this matter is fully investigated.

According to the report, "Zhong Nanshan, touted as China's first health expert to identify the new disease, said Guangdong province's Center for Disease Control and Prevention recently completed a study of 30 animal types and found the virus in snakes, wild pigs, monkeys and bats." Accoding to the report, Zhong said, "It's in a lot of animals, but as far as whether this disease is transmitted from animals to humans, we still don't know." The report also notes that "he said the animals tested were taken from wildlife markets in the province in southern China, where the disease is believed to have originated." It is now known that 30% of the original SARS cases in China were foodhandlers. Whether they were handling pork from infected wild pigs remains to be seen.

This report will devastate some pig researchers who have arrogantly insisted that SARS has nothing to do with pigs. If domestic pigs turn out to also be a reservoir of the SARS-associated coronavirus, SARS could become one of the most nightmarish pandemics of all time.


Sunday, June 01, 2003

WOULD CHINA COVER UP A
SARS EPIDEMIC IN PIGS?

If PRRS is any indication, the unfortunate
answer is yes.


China seems to be circling the wagons again. Recent reports indicate that it's back to politics as usual regarding SARS, and most information coming out about the epidemic is less than trustworthy. Not that America is necessarily telling the truth about it's own SARS epidemic. (See the Vallejo story below.)

The Baltimore Sun story from the pig farm in Guangzhou still makes us wonder if the possibility that pigs are the reservoir of SARS is so disturbing that nobody wants to go there. Did the pigs on that farm have the SARS coronavirus or not? China covered up the epidemic of PRRS in pigs for many years. They know the drill.

Menwhile, the attempt to blame civet cats for the epidemic may have encountered a setback when Nature published research on 8 civet cats in China that were negative for the virus. And it is puzzling that not all of the animals in the exotic animal market in Guangdong were tested for the SARS-associated coronavirus. It's amazing how the media has latched onto the civet cat story and now it has become the conventinal wisdom that civet cats are the source of SARS. The sloppiness of the reporting on this matter indicates that the media is still in a kind of denial about how serious SARS is. All you have to do is read some of the accounts of what it is like to have SARS and then consider the possibility that asymptomatic
SARS carriers are spreading the disease and then factor in the possibility that the disease is seasonal as well as the possibility that those who are infected remain infected, and you have a scenario you'd rather not think about. Which is what much of the media seems to be doing.

One wonders if the the top SARS researchers at the CDC and WHO are aware of the sick pig situation in Guangdong. If they're, they are surrounded by incompetent idiots. If they do and they haven't tested pigs throughout the Guangdong Province, then the leaders are worse than idiots. Actually, if the CDC and WHO screw up SARS, the whole world might take people who say they also got AIDS and CFIDS wrong much more seriously. And that would be a good thing.

HOW MUCH PORK DO THE
CHINESE CONSUME?

The following public testimony was given to Congress by an official from the National Pork Producers Council in 1999. It clearly shows how important pork is to the Chinese diet and economy.

Testimony of Nicholas D. Giordano On Behalf of the National Pork Producers Council
Before The U.S. House Int'l Relations Committee Subcommittee on Asia and the Pacific On The Embatled State of U.S. - China Relations: Assessing the Zhu Rongji Visit April 21, 1999


Mr. Chairman and Members of the Subcommittee:

I am Nicholas D. Giordano, International Trade Counsel for the National Pork Producers Council. I very much appreciate the opportunity to appear here on behalf of U.S. pork producers to express our views on the recent visit of Chinese Premier Zhu Rongji to the United States and the trade implications for America's pork producers.

The National Pork Producers Council is a national association representing 44 affiliated states that annually generate approximately $11 billion in farm gate sales (although farm gate sales were reduced to about $9 billion in 1998 as a result of the lowest hog prices ever in real terms). According to a recent Iowa State study conducted by Otto and Lawrence, the U.S. pork industry supports an estimated 600,000 domestic jobs and generates more than $64 billion annually in total economic activity. With 10,988,850 litters being fed out annually, U.S. pork producers consume 1.065 billion bushels of corn valued at $2.558 billion. Feed supplements and additives represent another $2.522 billion of purchased inputs from U.S. suppliers which help support U.S. soybean prices, the U.S. soybean processing industry, local elevators and transportation services based in rural areas.

U.S. Agriculture Benefits From Expanded Trade

International trade is vital to the future of American agriculture. As the world's biggest exporter of agricultural products we have a critical interest in the development and maintenance of strong and effective rules for international trade. This is especially true for pork, the world's meat of choice, which represents 44 percent of daily meat protein intake in the world. Notwithstanding the huge global market for pork and pork products, efficient U.S. producers were precluded from exporting significant volumes of pork in the pre-Uruguay Round Agreement, pre-NAFTA era. A combination of foreign market trade barriers and highly subsidized competitors kept a lid on U.S. pork exports.

The Uruguay Round succeeded in establishing a more effective set of trade rules for the agricultural sector and began the process of reducing trade-distorting subsidies and import barriers. Since 1995, when the Uruguay Round Agreement went into effect, U.S. pork exports to the world have increased by approximately 86 percent in volume terms and 80 percent in value terms from 1994 levels. According to a study by CF Industries, exports were so important to the industry in 1997 (when hog prices were at normal levels) that cessation of exports (due for example to an embargo or animal disease outbreak) would have caused cash hog prices to plummet by $15.73 per head.

While our recent export performance is impressive, it nevertheless remains severely limited by factors such as the lack of access to many of the world's pork markets, including China, which is the largest pork consuming market in the world.

Pork Producers Strongly Support China's Accession to the WTO

The market access concessions made by China during the recent visit of Chinese Premier Zhu Rongji to the United States are sensational news for U.S. pork producers. We commend Ambassador Barshefsky, Ambassador Scher, Secretary Glickman, and their hard-working staffs. We also thank you Mr. Chairman for your all your help and leadership on this matter. Pork producers also very much appreciate the efforts of other members of this subcommittee. Together, you have hit a grand slam home run giving U.S. pork producers access to the largest pork consuming market in the world.

Mr. Chairman, as you and other members of this subcommittee know, U.S. pork producers are suffering from very low prices. Indeed, our industry just came through a period with the lowest hog prices ever in real terms. For us, and for most other sectors of U.S. agriculture, which also are suffering from very low prices, the importance of consummating this deal with China and getting China quickly into the WTO cannot be overstated. As co-chair of the 80 organization Agriculture Trade Coalition, the National Pork Producers Counsel will leave no stone unturned in our quest to get China into the WTO and to get permanent Normal Trade Relations extended to China.

We do not deny that there are problems in the U.S. - China relationship. However, we do not see how walking away from these fantastic market access concessions negotiated with China would promote U.S. interests. As we see it, this is a one-way trade agreement; the U.S. benefits significantly because China's previously closed market now opens to U.S. exports while China simply maintains the access to the U.S. market that it has had for almost 20 years. U.S. farmers, ranchers, workers, and business will benefit and our trade deficit with China will be reduced.

China's Market Access Concessions on Pork

Previously, China blocked U.S. pork imports through a system of high tariffs, restrictive import licensing and distribution practices, and complicated and arbitrary sanitary requirements.

Under the terms of the recent negotiations, China will accept pork from any Food Safety and Inspection Service (FSIS) approved packing plant, phase out its restrictive import and distribution procedures, and lower tariffs.

Tariffs on frozen pork variety meats (such as stomachs, intestines, and hearts --the predominant product currently demanded by Chinese importers) and frozen pork muscle meats, will be phased down to 12 percent. Tariffs on frozen pork carcasses and fresh and processed pork products will be set at 20 percent. Tariffs will be lowered from 20 percent to 12 percent in equal increments on the frozen products over a four-year period from the time China becomes a WTO member. Previously, in the course of negotiations with the U.S., China had agreed to lower all pork tariffs to 20 percent from rates as high as 43 percent.

China is a Vast Pork Consuming Market

In China, pork is by far the predominant source of meat protein consumed. China consumes more pork per capita than the amount consumed per capita in the United States making it a vast pork consuming market. Indeed, China consumes approximately 50 percent of the total pork annually consumed in the world and most industry analysts project pork demand in China to increase by 6 to 7 percent per year in the early part of the next century. One group of very respected agricultural economists forecast that Chinese pork consumption will increase by approximately 8 million metric tons within the next ten years. To put this number in perspective, in 1998, U.S. pork exports were 529,000 metric tons. Thus, China is not a potential market; it is a huge and growing pork consumption market.

While China is the world's largest producer of pork, 85 percent of its pork comes from backyard producers. As incomes continue to rise and consumers demand higher quality pork and more of it, as well as more beef, poultry, dairy and alcohol products, commercial production of pork in China will become increasingly costly. This is because China must achieve this growth in consumption with only 9 percent of the world's arable land. According to FAO data, China must feed 13.0 people for each hectare of arable land, whereas Europe must feed 4.1 people, and the United States must feed only 1.4 people.

China is moving from having mid-western U.S. type corn prices to having Taiwanese and Japanese type corn prices. An important choice must be made, China must either import feed grains or livestock products to achieve consumer diets similar to those of the developed world. China is making the right choice in opening its market to meat imports. Meat should be produced in grain surplus countries not in grain deficit countries. Countries that import feed grains must pay a premium over world market prices and feed grains constitute over 60 percent of the cost of raising hogs. Pork producers in Japan and Taiwan pay approximately double the amount paid for feed by a Nebraska pork producer. Thus, China apparently wants to avoid the mistakes made by Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan.

The cost of producing pork in China currently is higher than the cost of producing pork in the United States. By virtue of the subsidies provided to its pork industry, China has been able to suppress the demand for imported pork smuggled into the country and maintain its ability to export pork. If China were to continue to block pork imports and, instead tried to keep pace with expanding domestic demand through domestic production, Chinese pork prices would be much higher than would otherwise be the case. Further, Chinese subsidies and investment in agriculture would keep capital from flowing to more efficient and remunerative uses. The costs of this misallocation would increase over time as China tried to extract more and more pork from a limited source of supply. In time, China, like Japan and Korea, would be forced to import pork to reduce prices.

China's Ban on Pork Imports Remains in Effect

High tariff rates and a discriminatory value added tax put imported pork at a sharp competitive disadvantage to domestic pork. Moreover, complicated and non-transparent restrictions on imported pork, administered by China's State Administration of Inspection and Quarantine (SAIQ) - which recently replaced it's quarantine administration CAPQ - make it virtually impossible to import pork. SAIQ contends that Chinese restaurants and hotels can obtain licenses to import pork. Unlike beef, for which licenses are available through regional SAIQ offices, SAIQ says that it disseminates pork import licenses solely through SAIQ headquarters. In reality, very few licenses have been granted by SAIQ to hotel and restaurant importers.

In 1997, SAIQ provided quotas to 11 establishments in Australia, Canada, and the United States as eligible to export meat and poultry to China for general consumption under a one year "pilot program." While in one sense this was a positive development because, as a matter of law, these imports are not limited to the hotel and restaurant sector, as a matter of fact, high tariffs and other restrictive measures kept a tight lid on imports.

Under the pilot program, the qualified establishments include a pork facility in Australia that received a quota of 2,000 MT, three pork facilities in Canada that received a total quota of 68,000 MT, and one pork facility in the U.S. that received a quota of 5,500 MT. The Australian and U.S. exports must be imported exclusively by Nanjing Five-Star Hotel Corporation Ltd. and the Canadian product must be imported exclusively by Chaoying Foodstuff Ltd. While pork is not on the formal list of state traded products in China, the appointment of these exclusive importers is troubling. Indeed, the U.S. pork industry understands that SAIQ officials are involved with the ownership/management of each of these importers. The pilot program has been a failure due to high duties and taxes, unfair sanitary barriers, restrictions on the number of importers, and competition from smuggled pork imports.

Canadian pork quotas are much higher than U.S. quota levels under the pilot program but Canadian pork must be imported pursuant to the Canada-China pork protocol. Canadian industry officials are extremely upset with this protocol because onerous and non-scientific restrictions will preclude the shipment of any significant amount of pork from Canada to China. The Chinese, supposedly at the behest of the Australians, expressed concern to the Canadians about Porcine Reproductive and Respiratory Syndrome (PRRS). The PRRS virus is endemic to the world and it defies credulity to suggest that China - a country where serious porcine diseases are rampant - does not have PRRS. Further, unlike porcine diseases such as hog cholera and FMD, PRRS is not transmitted through imported meat to domestic swine

Despite official import restrictions, demand from the population for pork, particularly high-quality variety meats (e.g. hearts, stomachs, intestines), is so high that sizeable quantities of imported pork are being smuggled into China principally through Hong Kong. The pork is distributed to the general population mostly through local wholesale markets with a small amount distributed through supermarkets. Technically the importation and distribution of this product is illegal, a fact which is generally acknowledged by the Hong Kong importers and Chinese distributors. In 1998, this trade represented approximately $50 million for US exporters, although the total value of the pork trade with China conducted through Hong Kong is estimated to be as high as US $200 million. (An additional $8 million of U.S. pork was imported directly by China in 1998. Industry sources in China report that even these imports that directly enter China do so on a negotiated basis, not in accord with the official position.) It is difficult and expensive to smuggle pork into China and, without question, pork imports would explode if China lifted its de facto ban. Even under restrictive trade regulations, Chinese demand is so large at times that they have bought the entire world's supply of certain pork variety meats.

Conclusion

The U.S. government has convinced China to lift its de facto ban on imported pork as a condition of entry to the World Trade Organization. In order to become a consistent and reliable supplier of pork, NPPC respectfully urges the Congress to work closely with the Administration to complete the WTO package and extend permanent NTR to China.

The United States is uniquely positioned to reap the benefits of a liberalized Chinese pork sector. The U.S. exported over $1.1 billion in pork in 1998 and exports grew by over 15% in spite of the global financial crisis.

China is surpassing Japan as the single largest source of the U.S. trade deficit. If China liberalized its pork market, the U.S. would be exporting huge volumes of pork to that country. The U.S. pork industry alone could make a significant dent in the U.S.- China trade imbalance.



Wednesday, May 21, 2003

THE WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION
IS STILL NOT RULING OUT PIGS
AS THE SOURCE OF SARS


By Charles Ortleb

Despite a recent announcement that scientists in Canada had shown that chickens and pigs could not become infected, a virologist with the World Health Organization said today that the organization had still not ruled out chickens and pigs as a possible source of SARS. According to an Australian Broadcasting Corporation story, WHO virologist Mark Salter said that "there was still 'some significant concern as to where the disease originated'. He also told ABC that "animals were being investigated as one possible source in China." The story quotes Salter as saying that scientists "are looking at pigs and chickens and various forms of fowl."

From a treatment point of view, it might be good news if SARS is a pig disease because of some recent progress made in treating coronaviruses in pigs. On May 19, Businesswire reported that Hemispherx Biopharma, Inc. revealed "the results of a "double-blinded" independent study conducted in a pig population suffering from the pig coronavirus, after therapeutic intervention with one of the company's lead Products, Alferon N. Newborn piglets, treated with Alferon N, even in low doses, had significantly greater survival rates than placebo-treated, control, piglets."

A story we reported on days ago in this column continues to haunt us and certainly merits an immediate investigation. We ran this item on May 14:

Where the pig-SARS connection is concerned, the real smoking gun may have appeared in an anecdote in a story published yesterday. Gady A. Epstein, of the Baltimore Sun Foreign Staff, wrote a fascinating story about a farmer in the Chinese area where SARS is thought to have originated. Epstein found a farm where what sounds like SARS-like epidemic in pigs may have occurred. Epstein interviewed a woman named Zheng Haocai who lives with her husband on a farm south of Guangzhou. Her shack of a farmhouse is "cobbled together out of aluminum, lumber, tarpaper and plastic sheeting." According to Epstein, "Zheng is unable to afford feed for her pigs, so they eat factory and restaurant garbage, served out of blue plastic barrels of unidentifiable dark sludge that she buys for $2.50 a barrel."

In what could turn out to be the most important reporting on SARS to date, Epstein writes that "at feeding time, her chickens join the feast, pecking near the porkers and, in the end stall, among a handful of pigs set apart from the others. This small group, Zheng said, had recovered from a strange virus that struck dozens of her pigs with flu and diarrhea a few months ago." And Epstein reports that the woman said, "This year we've had a lot of pigs get sick, and even when I give them medicine, they don't get better."

Epstein also reported that "a few feet from the pen lies an open box filled with empty syringes, used medicine bottles and torn packets of fever remedies that Zheng used with little success. Out of a group of 80 pigs she bought this year, she said, half died." Epstein reported that the woman said, "They got fever and didn't want to eat."

Hopefully, somebody at the CDC and WHO will read Epstein's story.




Tuesday, May 20, 2003

IS SARS BEING COVERED UP
AT A CALIFORNIA HOSPITAL?


A story in the Sierra Times by Carl F. Worden suggests that something bizarre is going on at a hospital in Vallejo, California. According to Worden's story, "While the evidence is not conclusive, information pouring in gives all indications of some type of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) outbreak has manifested itself in the Kaiser Hospital of Vallejo, California."

Worden's source was Astraea Kelly, a woman who works in the pulmonary unit at Kaiser Hospital in Vallejo. She has been sick since May 5 and she told Worden that "her symptoms began with 3 days of diarrhea, a temperature running between 100 to 101 degrees, heaviness in the chest, wheezing, and she almost had to undergo oxygen therapy." Worden also reported that, "she's still recovering two weeks later. What troubled her was the fact that so many patients in her unit presented the exact same pattern of symptoms. According to Astraea, 20 patients died in a period of one month, including those 12 who died in that period of just 4 days, and all from the same pattern of illness." A number of her co-workers also seem to have contracted the illness.

According to the story, Kelly has been accused by her hospital of using her e-mail for "inappropriare purposes" after she started communicating with her colleagues about the outbreak.

It has amazed many people that there has been no serious outbreak of SARS in America and no fatalities from the syndrome. If Kelly's assessment is accurate, the news has been too good to be true and the CDC has some troubling questions to answer.


Friday, May 16, 2003

CANADIAN RESEARCHERS SAY THEIR
RESEARCH RULES OUT CHICKEN AND PIGS
AS SARS RESERVOIRS.
BUT IS THEIR WORK RELIABLE?


In Today's Washington Post, Rob Stein reports on some conclusions by Canadian researchers about their ability to infect chickens and pigs with the SARS-related coronavirus. According to Stein, "In yet another finding, scientists in Canada said a series of experiments has shown that pigs and chickens cannot be infected with the SARS virus. That indicates the animals were probably not the original source of the virus and would not provide a "reservoir" in which the virus could hide and reemerge if public health measures succeed in stamping out the epidemic in humans . . .Chickens and pigs were considered the most likely animals to play a role in the epidemic. Both species can be infected by related viruses, and people live in close proximity to both species in southern China, where the epidemic began."

A World Health Organization SARS researcher, Dr. Kaus Stohr, told Epstein "We were all speculating about animal reservoirs. These tests show that these animals, pigs and chickens, do not appear to play a role in any stage of the evolution of this virus. The virus does not like them. That makes them a very inefficient host for the virus."

Until we see the published research (if it is ever published) there is no way to judge the quality of the research. It would be tragic if Chinese researchers didn't at least look for the SARS-relarted coronavirus in pigs in the SARS-affected areas of China. We'd love to know what porcine cell lines the Canadian researchers tried to grow the SARS-related coronavirus in. Did they try and infect live pigs? If they didn't do all of the above, we still don't know if pigs can be ruled out in this epidemic. No role in any stage of the evolution of the SARS-related coronavirus? That's awfully strong. Stay tuned.

P.S. What is an "inefficient host"? Is that a host that is just a little bit pregnant? Why didn't Stohr just say chickens and pigs are not hosts for this virus, period?



Wednesday, May 14, 2003

WHERE DID SARS COME FROM?
PIGS INCREASINGLY LOOK LIKE
THE PRIME SUSPECTS


On May 1, Science published the genome analysis of the SARS-associated coronavirus. The abstract noted a moderate similarity to a human coronavirus labeled "HCoV-OC43." That corononavirus has an interesting track record."HCoV-OC43" is the coronavirus that Japanese researchers found in pigs in a study that indicated that coronaviruses pass back and forth promiscuously between people and pigs. This certainly increased the possibility that the SARS coronavirus is circulating in pigs in China and also the possibility that it could move from people to pigs in countries where only the people are infected. The fact that we don't have conclusive evidence on this matter is very odd, and the reason for that is probably very political. Until someone does some trustworthy research, it is not out of the realm of possibility that SARS is in the food supply in China, given the early high incidence of SARS in foodhandlers there. There still is a great deal of confusion about how SARS is being transmitted there and in Taiwan, which also has a high pig population and a great deal of pork consumption.

On May 13, Maggie Fox of Reuters reported on a possible German SARS breakthrough that again brought pigs into the picture. According to Fox, researchers in Germany said that "they had found a weakness in the SARS virus and that a drug being tested against the common cold could be modified to battle the deadly illness."

The weakness involved a protease (an enzyme necessary for viral replication) that resembles the protease on a pathological coronavirus that infects pigs. The finding seems to only increase the probability that the SARS-related coronavirus can infect pigs.

Where the pig-SARS connection is concerned, the real smoking gun may have appeared in an anecdote in a story published yesterday. Gady A. Epstein, of the Baltimore Sun Foreign Staff, wrote a fascinating story about a farmer in the Chinese area where SARS is thought to have originated. Epstein found a farm where what sounds like SARS-like epidemic in pigs may have occurred. Epstein interviewed a woman named Zheng Haocai who lives with her husband on a farm south of Guangzhou. Her shack of a farmhouse is "cobbled together out of aluminum, lumber, tarpaper and plastic sheeting." According to Epstein, "Zheng is unable to afford feed for her pigs, so they eat factory and restaurant garbage, served out of blue plastic barrels of unidentifiable dark sludge that she buys for $2.50 a barrel."

In what could turn out to be the most important reporting on SARS to date, Epstein writes that "at feeding time, her chickens join the feast, pecking near the porkers and, in the end stall, among a handful of pigs set apart from the others. This small group, Zheng said, had recovered from a strange virus that struck dozens of her pigs with flu and diarrhea a few months ago." And Epstein reports that the woman said, "This year we've had a lot of pigs get sick, and even when I give them medicine, they don't get better."

Epstein also reported that "a few feet from the pen lies an open box filled with empty syringes, used medicine bottles and torn packets of fever remedies that Zheng used with little success. Out of a group of 80 pigs she bought this year, she said, half died." Epstein reported that the woman said, "They got fever and didn't want to eat."

Hopefully, somebody at the CDC and WHO will read Epstein's story.


Saturday, May 10, 2003

WOULD CHINA ADMIT IT IF ITS
PIG POPULATION CARRIED
THE SARS-ASSOCIATED
CORONAVIRUS?

If history is an indication, the answer is yes--after they have been forced to. China has had many weeks to figure this out. The fact that food handlers seemed to be disproportionately affected by SARS should have been a hint that they should look at the first obvious suspects in the kitchen: ducks, chicken, and PIGS. It is unlikely that all the foodhandlers who came down with SARS were preparing owl tartare or tureen of alley cat. Unfortunately, the agricultural researchers in America seem about as eager to find out. Call up American pig researchers and ask them about SARS and pigs and you will get an earful of crankiness.

The FAO issued a fuzzy interview about the near impossibility of livestock transmission. Yeah, right. There's no evidence that SARS is being tramsmitted by livestock, but on the other hand, no research to determine if it can be transmitted by livestock has been completed. Research is under way, they say, rather grumpily. It will be interesting to see how they try and spin the story if livestock can carry the SARS-associated coronavirus.

An still, no scientist is willing to stand up and say that research exists which suggests the coronaviruses go back and forth between people and pigs with alarming ease.

Friday, May 09, 2003

We're back! This site is once again in the top
listings at Google (KEYWORDS: PIGS, SARS)
after completely disappearing!


THE WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION IS
LOOKING FOR PIGS IN CHINA TO TEST
FOR THE SARS-ASSOCIATED CORONAVIRUS


Accoding to an article by Rob Stein in the Contra Costa Times, "In southern China, teams [from the World Health Organization] are catching and testing pigs, birds and other animals in the hope of learning whether animals are harboring a reservoir of the new virus that could ignite another outbreak."


Thursday, May 08, 2003

Please tell your friends about this site. It used to be in the top listings at Google (KEYWORDS: PIGS, SARS) but now it has completely disappeared from Google and we don't know why.


CAN PETS TRANSMIT THE
SARS-ASSOCIATED CORONAVIRUS?

Silence=Death

Why is the CDC and the World Health Organization not speaking up about the issue of pet transmission of SARS? Can cats and dogs transmit the SARS-associated coronavirus or not? Currrently in China, cat and dogs are undergoing SARS executions based on the assumption that they can.

The journalism on the story is muddled. Some stories suggest that the police are behind the move and that it is based on seeing dogs develop SARS. Other stories treat it like it is an irrational action based on panic.

Surely research to settle this could have been done a few weeks ago. If it turns out that cats and dogs can't transmit the disease, then there should be a campaign to stop the killing of pets in China. If they can transmit the disease, that suggests SARS is going to be a far bigger problem than any human quarantine can handle. It would be wise to get an honest answer about this sooner rather than later.

And while they're at it, we hope the CDC and WHO will figure out if pigs can transmit the SARS-associated coronavirus. If the pork industry will let them.

Tuesday, May 06, 2003

Please tell your friends about this site. It used to be in the top listings at Google (KEYWORDS: PIGS, SARS) but now it has completely disappeared from Google and we don't know why.

PIG SLAUGHTERING IS HALTED IN
SEVERAL OF CHINA'S PROVINCES

COULD CUT CHINESE PORK
PRODUCTION IN HALF


By Charles Ortleb

Channelnewsasia.com has reported that "People's Food Holdings will temporarily halt pig slaughtering at locations in several provinces of China and delay the start of a new plant due to concerns over the SARS outbreak."

According to the report, the plants that were closed accounted for half of all the pork sales by People's Food Holdings last year.

The report also notes that the company "will also stop the purchase of live pigs from suppliers in Hunan, Sichuan, Inner Mongolia and Henan Province."

Henan Province is one of he places where a SARS-like epidemic called PRRS (and various other bizarre and complicated names) has affected pigs for many years. Pigs with PRRS often develop coronavirus infections but it has yet to be established if the SARS-associated coronavirus is one of them. Japanese researchers have performed research that indicates that coronaviruses pass back and forth easily between people and pigs.

Click here for a database on SARS and pigs.


Charles Ortleb is the author of
The Closing Argument and the co-author of The Chronic Fatigue Syndrome Follies.







Monday, May 05, 2003

OHIO RESEARCHER WORKING WITH THE CDC
MAY ATTEMPT TO CREATE A PIG MODEL
FOR SARS

WILL THIS WORK SHOW WHETHER PIGS
CAN BE CARRIERS OF SARS?


By Charles Ortleb

Is the Centers For Disease Control ready to take a possible link between pigs and SARS seriously? The organization has brought a scientist to their SARS research team who might have the expertise to help indirectly answer the politically-charged (and highly emotional) question of pig-to-human and human-to pig transmission of SARS. There is at least one answer to this question that the pork industry and the scientists it often funds (in one way or another) don't want to hear.

In the Ohio State University's Ohioline, Mauricio Espinoza reports that "Ohio State University researcher Linda Saif has joined a group of scientists led by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) in an effort to characterize the coronavirus responsible for severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and pave the way to the development of an effective vaccine."

According to Espinoza, "with 30 years of experience as a coronavirologist, Saif was asked to join a select group of physicians and virus experts from CDC, the National Institutes of Health (NIH) and other institutions. The team, which meets two times a week by teleconference to discuss and make recommendations on the acute respiratory syndrome, is at the forefront of SARS control in the United States."

Saif has had extensive experience with animal coronaviruses. Espinoza reports that Saif told him "'We have done many studies to see if this respiratory variant of TGEV (porcine respiratory coronavirus) can be developed as a possible vaccine to prevent TGEV . . .In the process, we have learned a lot about the types of immune responses that the respiratory coronavirus can induce in pigs. And we are thinking that pigs might have potential to be utilized in the future as an animal model for SARS coronavirus in humans.'"

When I spoke with Saif, she bristled at the idea that pigs might be carriers of SARS. When I brought up the Japanese study that suggested that coronaviruses pass easily back and forth between people and pigs, she discounted the study because it was based on antibodies. She suggested that pig coronaviruses cross react with human coronaviuses. When I asked if anyone had tried to isolate actual human coronaviruses from pigs to settle this matter, she couldn't point to any studies. So I don't understand how she knows with rather haughty certainty that human coronaviruses don't infect pigs.

If Saif does succeed in giving pigs SARS by infecting them with the SARS coronavirus, she insists it won't be proof that pigs can be carriers of the SARS coronavirus because it will be done under experimental as opposed to field conditions. But it will certainly make reasonable people consider the possibility that pigs could become carriers--if they aren't already in China.

While we assume that Dr. Saif is not working for the pork industry, with her renowned expertise, she seems to bring her own ideology on the issues of coronaviruses to SARS research. If Saif is wrong about coronavirus transmission between pigs and people, her contribution to SARS research could have deadly consequences. We hope that she will make it clear to SARS researchers that her ideas on porcine coronaviruses may have their critics in her own field.

From the reactions of pig researchers (many--unlike Saif--with Pork Industry connections) to the idea of a pig link to SARS, I've detected a fairly clear game plan regarding research into pigs and SARS. It's okay to pursue the possibility that research into porcine coronaviruses will help us understand how the SARS coronavirus is harming people, but it is not permissible to aggressively research the possibility that pigs are the source of SARS. Most of the people who have the expertise to answer that question seem to be conspicuously absent from action.

I began writing about the possible connection between SARS and pigs several weeks ago. I keep waiting for some development that will allow me to drop this story. Hasn't happened yet.


Click here for a database on SARS and pigs.


Charles Ortleb is the author of
The Closing Argument and the co-author of The Chronic Fatigue Syndrome Follies.






Friday, May 02, 2003

CDC OFFICIAL: CHICKEN AND PIGS
ARE STILL A GOOD PLACE TO LOOK
FOR SARS-LIKE CORONAVIRUSES


On the heels of the publication of the genome sequences of the SARS-associated coronavirus, a CDC official has suggested a closer look be given at farm animals in China. In Genome News Network, Kate Dalke reports that "scientists have now published the genomes of two strains of the virus. The genome sequences confirm that the virus is a novel variety of coronavirus--a family of viruses that causes respiratory illness in humans and other animals."

According to Dalke, "SARS does not resemble known coronaviruses in chickens or pigs, but these domesticated animals are still 'a good place to look' for similar viruses, said Steven Oberste of the US Centers for Disease Control in Atlanta during a recent news conference."

Wednesday, April 30, 2003

WHAT VIRUSES HAVE SARS PATIENTS
BEEN TESTED FOR?


By Charles Ortleb

As scientists struggle today with the problem of not finding the SARS-associated coronavirus in most of the patients with the syndrome, wouldn't it be nice if someone would publish a complete list of all the viruses (animal and human) that the patients have been tested for?

Actually, what might be the most helpful, and the most revealing, is the list of viruses the patients have not been tested for.

Is there any other part of the SARS story that's more important now than the fact that the coronavirus may only be part of the puzzle or that it's a huge mistake? Journalists should keep the heat on the CDC on this one. Don't hold your breath.

Meanwhile, dogs and cats are now suspected carriers of SARS in Beijing. They're being taken from the homes of SARS patients and killed. That should raise this crisis to a new prominence in the media.

In the Philippines, some leaders in the livestock industry fear that meat might transmit SARS, and legislators are calling for a boycott of all meat from China. There is still no indication that pigs or other barnyard edibles in China have even been tested yet for the SARS coronavirus. All the quarantines in the world may do nothing to wipe this illness out if animals are a growing unrecognized reservoir of the SARS virus(es).

Click here for a database on SARS and pigs.


Charles Ortleb is the author of
The Closing Argument and the co-author of The Chronic Fatigue Syndrome Follies.





Sunday, April 27, 2003

THE TIMES REPORTS THAT 5% OF FIRST
SARS CASES WERE CHEFS AND
FOOD HANDLERS


By Charles Ortleb

According to a report in today's New York Times, something going on in the kitchens in China may be a clue to the source of SARS. Elizabeth Rosental writes that "Scientists have always considered the teeming farms of southern China, where animals and people crowd together as ideal breeding grounds for new human viruses, which can jump between species under such conditions. So it was no surprise in March when the World Health Organization said it believed that SARS originated in Guangdong. But when a World Health Organization delegation went to look at data on the earliest SARS cases, they found few farmers among the victims. Instead what jumped out was an odd preponderance of food handlers and chefs--about 5 percent of the first 900 patients, as opposed to less than 1 percent among patients with normal pneumonia."

While the food source could be a number of different things, it must be noted that it is already clear that pork in China is an obvious suspect, given the fact that China has a PRRS epidemic in its pigs and that AIDS-like illness paves the way for all kinds of infections, including coronavirus.

Meanwhile, The Age, an Australian publication, is reporting that one of its top AIDS researchers thinks that Chinese pigs may be the source of SARS. Professor Ron Penny told the paper that "SARS may have come from pigs in southern China, but the theory was only speculative."

Click here for a database on SARS and pigs.


Charles Ortleb is the author of
The Closing Argument and the co-author of The Chronic Fatigue Syndrome Follies.





Friday, April 25, 2003

THE OTHER HEALTH PROBLEM
IN ONTARIO: PIGS WITH AIDS?


By Charles Ortleb

As the world awaits the results of the SARS experiments with pigs (currently being conducted on a slow boat from China, it seems) it would be prudent to take a look at the health of pigs in Ontario before they even come in contact with the SARS coronavirus--if they haven't already. It turns out that many of them have been struggling with an AIDS-like illness for many years. It's not a pretty picture.

Pigs in Ontario, likes pigs in the United States and China, have been struggling for many years with the complexities of a disease which looks very much like AIDS and African Swine Fever. It's officially called Porcine Reproductive and Respiratory Syndrome (PRRS), but many farmers call it pig AIDS. It has been a disaster for the farm economy, but now with the onset of the SARS pandemic, it is time to question whether it also has implications for public health.

As we have pointed out in this column before, pigs can become infected with coronaviruses fairly easily. Given that, it would seem that experiments to see if pigs can be infected with the SARS coronaviruses are reinventing the wheel, but you never know. Maybe there is something really funky about the SARS coronavirus. Maybe it belongs in a class by itself.

But while we're waiting for the results of the SARS coronavirus experiments on pigs, lets take a closer look at the health of pigs in Ontario. After all, there are at least 3.6 million of them, and if it turns out that they can be carriers of the SARS coronavirus, they may end up in quarantine soon, too. Or worse.

A fascinating report by an organization called Ontario Pork gives us an overview of the PRRS problems in Ontario. According to the report, "Porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome virus (PRRSV) is considered the single most important viral pathogen in pigs in North America. The virus undergoes genetic variations and continues to evolve."

This evolution of new strains has gotten so complex that there are now two "groups" Of PRRS viruses circulating in pigs in Ontario. And they keep changing, causing new AIDS-like problems in the pigs in Ontario. The Ontario Pork report notes the extent of the damage PRRS is capable of doing: "Porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome (PRRS) is a swine disease that was recognized in North America for the first time 13 years ago, but PRRS still remains the main cause for considerable economic losses in the swine industry. The decrease in the number of small and mid-size swine operations can be directly tied to the effects of PRRS, especially during periods when markets are weak. Financial losses from acute outbreaks have been estimated at US $246 per sow, but persistent infection extends the economic impact of PRRSV far beyond the farrowing house and nursery and into grow-finish operations."

Trying to determine the damage the vaccine strain of PRRS has done versus the original field strain has become a real genetic headache. Ontario Pork reports on a study of the lung tissue of 284 Ontario pigs that had PRRS. (The fact that PRRS infects lungs should be of some interest to SARS researchers who have open minds.) The study concluded that the vaccine virus was also involved in the clinical disease of PRRS. Both the vaccine virus and the original field virus were changing--the field virus more than the vaccine virus. The main point to take away from this is that PRRS is a dynamic disease situation in pigs in Ontario, and given the AIDS-like nature of PRRS, pigs need to be watched closely in Ontario if it turns out that pigs are susceptible to the SARS coronavirus.

Doctors studying the outcome of SARS have warned that people with weakened immune systems or pre-existing medical conditions might do the worst when they get SARS. In many ways PRRS has left many pigs in Ontario with weakened immune systems and a pre-existing medical condition that may make them especially vulnerable to coronavirus infection.

We're bring you new developments on this story as soon as we get them.

Click here for a database on SARS and pigs.


Charles Ortleb is the author of
The Closing Argument and the co-author of The Chronic Fatigue Syndrome Follies.



Thursday, April 24, 2003

AUSTRALIAN RESEARCHERS TO
INFECT CATS, CHICKEN AND PIGS
WITH SARS-ASSOCIATED CORONAVIRUS


By Charles Ortleb

According to The Advertiser in Australia, researchers at a very secure laboratory in Australia will soon study the progress of SARS, if there is any, in cats, chicken and pigs. Michael Owen-Brown reported that the research would be conducted in an animal health laboratory in Geelong, Australia.

In the same article, Owen-Brown reported that global trend expert Dr Patrick Dixon, from the Development Management School in London, has predicted that SARS "threatens to infect more than one billion people worldwide in a 12 month period."

Given that there are over three million pigs in Ontario, Canada, it seems like the susceptibility of pigs to the SARS agent would be a more concern to both Canadian and American agricultural researchers. It appears that the pig disease experts don't even want to think about the possibility that pigs could be a a current vector for SARS in China and a future vector in North America. Their inaction could come back to haunt them. Unfortunately, most pig disease research in this country seems to be done under the watchful eye of the pork industry. Ironically, that industry has been battered for over a decade by a SARS-like (and AIDS-like) disaster in pigs. One suspects that many in the pig research community aren't getting too much sleep these days as they await the outcome of research into the possibility that pigs can carry the SARS coronavirus. Actually, if the SARS coronavirus is not capable of infecting pigs, that would be just one more odd thing about this devastating germ.

This column seems to be the only place that has reported on research has already been done on the transmissibility of coronaviruses between people and pigs. Here it is again in case you missed it. It appears they are capable of going back and forth between people and pigs with great ease.

And here's an editorial we wrote a couple of weeks ago which still stands:

Given the seriousness of the SARS pandemic, we urge the World Health Organization and the Centers for Disease Control to take a long hard look at the possibility that SARS is related to some form of PRRS, PRDC, or PMWS. Coronavirus is often a secondary infection associated with at least two of these forms of respiratory illnesses in pigs. We urge these organizations to screen SARS patients for the PRRS virus and the various secondary infections associated with it. We also urge the screening of SARS patients for the various agents associated with PRDC and PMWS. PRRS, PRDC and PMWS look far too much like SARS in pigs for the possible link not to be investigated, especially given the overlapping of SARS and the PRRS/PRDC/PMWS epidemics in China. We also urge PRRS, PRDC and PMWS researchers to share their expertise with the CDC and the WHO.

Click here for a database on SARS and pigs.


Charles Ortleb is the author of
The Closing Argument and the co-author of The Chronic Fatigue Syndrome Follies.


Wednesday, April 23, 2003

CONGRESS SHOULD HAVE A
LITTLE TALK WITH JULIE GERBERDING


By Charles Ortleb

Julie Gerberding, the Director of the Centers for Disease Control, really should have a little message delivered to her that she can thoroughly understand. She doesn't have much wiggle room where the cause of SARS is concerned. The apocalpytic nature of this pandemic demands that she get it right, and if evidence is not conclusive, she'd better be funding and encouraging alternative research into the cause of SARS. Anyone who knows the history of the CDC on the issues of AIDS and CFIDS knows how arrogant and incompetent this world famous organization can be. If the same incompetence and arrogance are operative on the SARS front, millions will lose their lives and the world could plunge into a chaos of our worst nightmares. Medical organizations in other countries bow down to the CDC at their own peril.

Congress should call Gerberding in and they should also extend an invitation to Frank Plummer, the Canadian scientist who argues that the existing data has failed to support Gerberding's not-so-tentative conclusion that the SARS-associated coronavirus is the cause of SARS. Congress should listen closely to Frank Plummer to see if his arguments have merit. They should also basically put Gerberding on notice that she must encourage a vigorous debate about the cause of SARS. They should make sure she is funding research into alternative theories of SARS causation. If it turns out that she is wrong and that the CDC was not listening to its critics, Gerberding and her colleagues should pay for their mistakes with their jobs.

Click here for a database on SARS and pigs.


Charles Ortleb is the author of
The Closing Argument and the co-author of The Chronic Fatigue Syndrome Follies.

Monday, April 21, 2003

AIDS RESEARCHER RECOMMENDS
TRYING PAPAYA EXTRACT TO
TREAT SARS


Celebrity AIDS researcher Luc Montagnier has suggested that a fermented extract from papaya may be helpful in treating SARS. According to a report from Reuters, "Montagnier said he believed an extract of fermented papaya could improve immunity to and symptoms caused by viruses including SARS, although he pointed out that the treatment has not been backed up by research."


Saturday, April 19, 2003

Can HHV-6 Be a Cofactor in SARS?

HHV-6 is known to infect the lungs and is a chronic infection that can be reactivated or exacerbated by other conditions or infections. It has been linked to respiratory distress by itself. The good news is that if it is a contributing factor to SARS morbidity and mortality, it might be controlled by drugs like Foscarnet. Physicians would be wise consider the possibility the HHV-6 is aiding the SARS agent in harming the alveolar macrophages of the lungs of some or all of the SAR patients. It would be a great tragedy if any SARS patients are dying unnecessarily from the contribution that HHV-6 might be making to lung pathology in SARS.

More information on HHV-6 and its possible role in SARS

Click here for a database on SARS and pigs.


Charles Ortleb is the author of
The Closing Argument and the co-author of The Chronic Fatigue Syndrome Follies.

Friday, April 18, 2003

ARE ONTARIO'S 3.6 MILLION PIGS
SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE SARS
CORONAVIRUS?


Scientists are now trying to determine if poultry and pigs are susceptible to the SARS coronavirus (see the story below). Given that pigs are already known to be susceptible to human coronaviruses (also see below), it would be a very lucky break if pigs are not susceptible to the SARS-associated coronavirus. Apparently Ontario, which still has not been able to control its SARS epidemic, has a lot of pigs to worry about if the so-called SARS coronavirus can infect swine.

Click here for a database on SARS and pigs.


Charles Ortleb is the author of
The Closing Argument and the co-author of The Chronic Fatigue Syndrome Follies.





Wednesday, April 16, 2003

THE SEARCH FOR THE SOURCE OF
THE SARS CORONAVIRUS TURNS TO
POULTRY AND PIGS


By Charles Ortleb

According to an MSNBC and Associated Press story published today, "in experiments conducted at Erasmus University in Rotterdam, Netherlands, scientists infected monkeys with the coronavirus suspected of causing of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and found that the animals developed the same symptoms of the disease that humans do."

The story notes that the latest research on SARS "will also help scientists trace the evolution of the virus and could help them determine whether it jumped from animals to humans — as researchers strongly suspect — and, if so, from which animals. Tests are ongoing in pigs and poultry to see how susceptible those animals are to SARS."

It would be very strange if pigs are not susceptible to the new SARS coronavirus, given how much coronavirus traffic there is between people and pigs. An abstract from a paper on coronaviruses paints a picture of a revolving door between people and pigs that coronaviruses seem to use with great ease. The following abstract from a paper in Epidemiology of Infectious Diseases may have serious implications for the health of pigs in areas where SARS occurs:

"Sera collected from 2469 pigs in the Tohoku District of the Honshu Island of Japan were tested for various coronavirus strains (haemagglutinating encephalomyelitis virus- HEV67N strain, human coronavirus- HCV OC43 strain, and bovine coronavirus- BCV K strain). Serum of inoculated mice was used as a positive control. Of the swine tested, 82.1% of the sera were positive for HEV-67N, 91.4% were positive for HCV-OC43, and 44.2% tested positive for BCV-K. The percentage of infected swine varied significantly among farms. The swine had inapparent infections, none showing disease from the HEV-67N infection. Antibodies to the human strain, HCV-OC43, were more prevalent in swine than the other two strains, suggesting transmission from humans to swine and vice-versa."

Click here for a database on SARS and pigs.

Charles Ortleb is the author of
The Closing Argument and the co-author of The Chronic Fatigue Syndrome Follies.





Tuesday, April 15, 2003

MALAYSIAN HEALTH MINISTER CONFRONTS
RUMORS THAT SARS COMES FROM PIGS


The Malaysian Star Online is reporting today that rumors are circulating that SARS is coming from pigs. Considering that the Nipah virus--that was their last health crisis--did come from pigs, it seems reasonable to wonder, especially since pigs have so many respiratory problems throughout Asia. How about testing pigs for the new SARS-associated coronavirus?

PIGS STILL MENTIONED AS A POSSIBLE SOURCE
OF SARS EVEN AFTER CORONAVIRUS GENETIC
CODE IS DECIPHERED


Even though there are international celebrations being held because the genetic sequences of the SARS-associated coronavirus have been determined by a Canadian and a CDC lab, the Director of the CDC, Julie Gerberding, is warning that they still don't know where the virus is coming from. According to an Associated Press Article, "Sequencing the virus is a major scientific achievement unprecedented in the history of science, CDC Director Julie Gerberding said. But it is not the magic bullet for dealing with SARS. The sequencing did not provide any simple answers to questions about the disease, which has made 3,169 people ill and killed 144 in the world. Scientists particularly want to know whether it came from animals, such as chickens or pigs."

IS THE CORONAVIRUS A BIG MISTAKE?
A CANADIAN LAB CAN'T FIND IT IN MANY
SARS PATIENTS


An article by Robert Walgate, in The Scientist, reports that the director of a leading molecular biology lab in Canada can now only find evidence of coronavirus in 50% of SAR patients. According to Walgate, "The director of one of the World Health Organization's global network of 11 laboratories investigating SARS (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome), told The Scientist yesterday (April 10) that the new coronavirus implicated as the cause of the disease is certainly around in the environment but is unlikely to be the causative agent. Frank Plummer is director of Canada's National Microbiology Laboratory in Winnipeg."

And Plummer's results may not be a fluke. Walgate reports that all "11 laboratories in the WHO network have been discussing these results among themselves and, according to Plummer, 'the results from different labs around the world — except for what's been published in The Lancet — appear to be not that different from ours.'"

It's amazing that nobody is asking whether the coronavirus fits into SARS the same way that porcine coronavirus fits into the epidemics of PRRS, PRDC and PWMS, three serious syndromes in Chinese swine. Is pressure coming from any industry not to ask this question?



Click here for a database on SARS and pigs.

Charles Ortleb is the author of
The Closing Argument and the co-author of The Chronic Fatigue Syndrome Follies.



Friday, April 11, 2003

NEWS STORY SUGGESTS SARS
PATHOGEN ORIGINATED IN PIGS


By Charles Ortleb

Evidence continued to mount today that suggests the SARS epidemic may grow into a pandemic that could cause unprecedented dirsruption of the world's economy if a way is not found to treat or control the illness.

The idea that SARS originated in pigs gained some momentum from a new story published in the Toronto Globe and Mail. Reporter Gloria Galloway wrote this about the SARS coronavirus: "A team of German researchers said the new pathogen is only distantly related to known coronaviruses. A second team of international researchers also revealed a tantalizing clue about the origins of SARS: They found that the new human coronavirus behaves in a manner almost identical to a coronavirus that caused an outbreak of respiratory disease among pigs in China. This suggests the pathogen crossed the species barrier from pigs to humans."

In a phone conference today with the Director of the Centers for Disease Control, Newsday's science reporter Laurie Garrett asked a question that suggests she knows something about the pig connection: "In terms of looking for an animal model, are any of the labs that are going to be working on that, the Amsterdam lab or anyplace else, likely to have and be able to run experiments on Asian species of pigs, and in particular unusual pigs, like the Vietnamese miniature pig and the Chinese guinea pig, and so on?"

In response, Dr. Julie Gerberding, the Director of CDC, said, " I think right now the focus is on simply fulfilling any animal model criteria for infection. But I think what you are really getting to is the question of where did the virus come from and is this a virus that could have jumped species, so being able to establish infection in an animal model might be a clue to that. I think we're more likely to get at that answer by looking at the virus sequences as the genome emerges, and also identifying animals in Guangdong Province or in other areas where the earliest cases occurred so that we can see if we can locate related Corona virus in any animals species in the region."

Click here for a database on SARS and pigs.

Charles Ortleb is the author of
The Closing Argument and the co-author of The Chronic Fatigue Syndrome Follies.



Thursday, April 10, 2003

"THE CORONAVIRUS IN ANIMALS MAY BE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE 'SHIPPING FEVER'
PIGS AND CATTLE GET WHEN THEY ARE STRESSED
"

In Today's Vancouver Sun, Pamela Fayerman reports on an interview with Dr. Lorne Babiuk, director of the Veterinary Infectious Disease Organization, based at the University of Saskatchewan. Babiuk told Fayerman that "he agrees with others the virus may be a new variant of the coronavirus, which affects cows and other animals, causing gastrointestinal symptoms such as diarrhea, and respiratory problems."

Babiuk also told Fayerman that "the coronavirus in animals may be associated with the "shipping fever" pigs and cattle get when they are stressed by the crowded transport situations they are in when they are sent to feedlots before slaughter. That may correlate with the theory of Hong Kong health experts in the past few days that the SARS virus is more virulent in densely populated cities and residences like high rise apartment buildings."

Click here for a database on SARS and pigs.



Wednesday, April 09, 2003

FAUCI'S STATEMENT ABOUT THE
PORCINE CORONAVIRUS VACCINE
AS A MODEL FOR SARS PREVENTON

"Fortuitously, vaccines against common veterinary coronaviruses are routinely used to prevent serious diseases in young animals, such as a vaccine given to pigs to prevent serious enteric coronavirus disease."
--Anthony Fauci
April 7, 2003

What follows is Anthony Fauci's complete statement about SARS to Congress which he presented two days ago.

Statement of Anthony S. Fauci, M.D.
Director
National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases
National Institutes of Health
Department of Health and Human Services

Monday, April 7, 2003

Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee, thank you for the opportunity to discuss the research activities of the National Institutes of Health (NIH) that promise to help us better understand and counter the global outbreak of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome, or SARS. I am pleased to share this table with Dr. Julie Gerberding, the Director of our sister agency, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), which has done such an extraordinary job in responding to the evolving epidemic.

As Dr. Gerberding will discuss in some detail, SARS rapidly has moved across the globe, becoming a worldwide health emergency that has resulted in quarantines, travel warnings, and mounting economic damage. The global tally of SARS cases has grown to more than 2,300 cases in only six weeks since the apparent emergence of the disease. At this early stage of the epidemic, it is impossible to predict whether SARS will become an ongoing, major global health threat, or if the epidemic will spontaneously burn out or be contained by public health measures. However, we must be prepared for the worst-case scenario.

Dr. Gerberding and her CDC team, together with the World Health Organization (WHO) and others, have done a magnificent job in identifying and tracking this epidemic, illuminating the etiology and clinical features of SARS, and providing the world with information about the epidemic in real time. Complementing the efforts of the CDC and WHO, the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID), a component of NIH, also has a significant role in the efforts against SARS, notably by rapidly addressing the issues of vaccine development, drug screening, and clinical research.

As with Lyme disease, Hepatitis C, HIV/AIDS, Ebola, West Nile virus and a host of other "new" diseases, the SARS outbreak has reminded us that the emergence or reemergence of infectious diseases is a constant threat. As has been the case with other emerging diseases, we anticipate that the strong NIAID research base in disciplines such as
microbiology, immunology and infectious diseases will facilitate the development of interventions such as diagnostics, therapies, and vaccines to help counter SARS.

As described by CDC and WHO, evidence is mounting, although not yet definitive, that SARS is caused by a novel coronavirus that may have crossed species from an animal to humans. This hypothesis is based on the detection and isolation of coronaviruses from unrelated patients from different countries, and on the finding that several SARS
patients have mounted an immunological response to coronavirus as they proceeded from the acute illness to the recovery or convalescent stage. While some questions remain -- for example, there is some evidence that a second virus may contribute to the pathogenesis of SARS -- the strong evidence for a causative role for a coronavirus justifies the ongoing development of diagnostic tools, therapies and vaccines that target coronaviruses.

Coronaviruses are best known as one of the causes of the "common cold" which is generally a very benign condition, very rarely resulting in life-threatening disease. The coronavirus that has been shown to be associated with SARS is a new type of coronavirus that has not been previously identified.

I would note that no evidence of genetic "tampering" of the virus implicated in SARS has been detected, based on analyses of the mounting genomic sequence data of the samples from SARS patients examined so far. As even more extensive genomic sequence data become available for the SARS virus, it will be possible to further
distinguish natural origin from the possibility that the SARS agent was created in a laboratory or even as a bioweapon. Until then, we will keep our minds open to these possibilities, however remote.

NIAID Research on SARS

NIAID maintains a longstanding commitment to conducting and supporting research on emerging infectious diseases, such as SARS, with the goal of improving global health. In carrying out its global health research mission, the Institute supports a myriad of activities, including intramural and extramural research, and collaborations with international agencies and organizations. Since the first SARS reports, NIAID has worked rapidly to identify opportunities for accelerating or expanding research to improve the diagnosis, treatment, and prevention of SARS. These areas include:

Surveillance and epidemiology. NIAID supports a long-standing program for surveillance of influenza viruses in Hong Kong, led by Dr. Robert Webster of St. Jude's Children's Research Hospital in Memphis. Dr. Webster and his team in Hong Kong have collaborated with WHO, CDC and others in helping to illuminate the SARS outbreaks in Asia. In
addition, at the request of WHO, NIAID assigned a staff epidemiologist to provide epidemiologic and logistical assistance during the early stages of the epidemic.

Diagnostics. As discussed by Dr. Gerberding, significant progress has been made by the CDC in developing a diagnostic test for SARS. As part of these efforts, NIAID-sponsored researchers in Hong Kong also devised a diagnostic test based on PCR technology as well as a diagnostic tool using the immunofluorescence assay technique. In other research, the NIAID-funded Respiratory Pathogens Research Unit (RPRU) at Baylor College of Medicine has developed methods to detect known human coronaviruses using cell culture and molecular diagnostic tools and can also assess the host immune response to known coronavirus infections. In 2003 NIAID will expand this capacity for research on emerging acute viral respiratory diseases, including pandemic influenza and SARS.

Vaccine Research. As the SARS epidemic continues, it will be necessary to consider a broad spectrum of vaccine approaches, as well as immunotherapy. NIAID is supporting the rapid development of vaccines to prevent SARS through both our extramural and intramural programs, including the NIAID Vaccine Research Center. Initially, these efforts are focusing on the development of an inactivated (or killed) virus vaccine. However, other approaches will soon follow, including novel approaches such as vector-based and recombinant vaccines, DNA-based vaccines and live
attenuated vaccines, as more knowledge about the cause of SARS and its etiology becomes available.

NIAID scientists have received samples of the SARS coronavirus from CDC and have initiated efforts to develop a vaccine. Fortuitously, vaccines against common veterinary coronaviruses are routinely used to prevent serious diseases in young animals, such as a vaccine given to pigs to prevent serious enteric coronavirus disease. These models could prove useful as we develop vaccines to protect humans.

To further accelerate SARS vaccine research and development efforts, NIAID is initiating contracts with companies, institutions and other organizations who have relevant technologies, cell lines and containment facilities; supporting the development of reagents needed for vaccine development; and developing animal models such as mice and relevant species of monkeys.

Therapeutics Research. As the nation began its focus on SARS, NIAID responded rapidly to a request from CDC to evaluate candidate antiviral therapeutic agents through a collaborative antiviral drug-screening project at the U.S. Army Medical Research Institute of Infectious Diseases (USAMRIID). NIAID also has initiated discussions with the pharmaceutical industry about candidate antiviral drugs, and is reviewing a proposal for a clinical trial of antiviral therapy to be conducted by investigators of the NIAID Collaborative Antiviral Study Group and the NIH Clinical Center.

Clinical Research. Clinicians treating SARS patients have not yet identified treatment strategies that consistently improve prognosis, beyond good intensive and supportive care. Antibiotics do not work, a fact that is consistent with SARS being a viral disease. However, some improvement has been noted in certain patients treated with a
combination of ribavirin and corticosteroids, which are given together in an effort to simultaneously block viral replication and modify the immune system reaction to the virus.

At the NIH Clinical Center in Bethesda, MD, and through the NIAID Collaborative Antiviral Study Group, NIH is preparing to admit SARS patients for evaluation and treatment, should this become necessary. This will be an opportunity to evaluate the efficacy of antiviral and immune-based therapies, including interferons, in patients with SARS.
We also plan to evaluate approaches to improve management of patients with severe forms of the disease, including the passive transfer of antibodies from SARS patients who have recovered from the disease.

In addition to ensuring state-of-the-art treatment of potential patients, our clinical experts will be able to study the clinical characteristics of patients with SARS. We are particularly interested in answering key questions about the disease mechanisms of SARS. For example, are acute respiratory distress and mortality entirely caused by the presence of virus, or could it be that the response of the immune system is causing the severe outcomes in some patients? This is a central question to address because it may open up an avenue for treatment in addition to antiviral drugs.

Basic Research. NIAID currently is supporting 18 grants on coronavirus research. Also, the study of patients, as well as specimens in NIAID laboratories, will facilitate studies of the natural history of the SARS agent and its potential animal reservoir, and help to illuminate the risk factors and epidemiology of SARS. NIAID will support and conduct basic research studies on the pathogenesis of the disease and viral replication mechanisms, in order to identify targets for antiviral drugs, diagnostic tests and vaccines. Finally, the Institute will support and conduct genomic sequencing, proteomics andinformatics of coronaviruses.

Of note, an existing NIAID animal model of a virus infection that causes a disease in mice very similar to SARS has been identified. The relevance of this animal model will be evaluated and may prove an important tool for defining treatment approaches to SARS that involve modulation of the immune system.

Infrastructure. A central concern when working with the SARS virus or SARS patients is the availability of facilities with the required safety level for the clinicians and staff, as well as for the community. Our ongoing plans to develop high-level containment facilities will facilitate SARS research, as well as planned studies of potential bioterror agents and other emerging diseases.

Conclusion

Mr. Chairman, thank you again for allowing me to discuss our efforts to address SARS. Despite ongoing research efforts and early successes, we still have much to learn about the disease. As you have heard, NIAID-sponsored coronavirus research, studies of other viral diseases, and clinical research already have provided results that are relevant
to our quest for tools to detect, treat and prevent SARS. In the weeks and months ahead, NIH will continue to collaborate with our sister agencies the CDC and the Food and Drug Administration, as well asother relevant agencies to accelerate and expand our research aimed at improving the diagnosis, prevention, and treatment of SARS.

I would be pleased to answer your questions.
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Click here for a database on SARS and pigs.

Tuesday, April 08, 2003

MORE STORIES ON POSSIBLE LINK
BETWEEN SARS AND PIGS IN THE NEWS TODAY


By Charles Ortleb

Ireland Online today reported on a paper published in the Lancet about the possibility that a coronavirus is causing SARS. According to the article, "Professor Malik Peiris, from the University of Hong Kong, and colleagues studied 50 patients with Sars from five separate outbreak clusters. A new type of coronavirus was first isolated and identified from two of the patients. Subsequently, evidence of viral activity was found in 90% of the patient group but no healthy individuals or people with unrelated illnesses. The scientists pointed out that the new virus was not one of the two known human coronaviruses. Nor was it quite like any of the known animal coronaviruses. Professor Peiris believes it may be a new virus which originated in animals and jumped to humans. He said: 'This report provides evidence that a virus in the coronavirus family is the aetiological (causational) agent of Sars. However, it remains possible that other viruses act as opportunistic secondary invaders to enhance the disease progression, a hypothesis that needs to be investigated further.' There have been suggestions that Sars may be caused by a virus which normally infects pigs."

Here's the headline in the People's Daily Online today: "US Scientist Sees Vaccine for Pigs as Clue to Fighting SARS." According to the article, "A vaccine used to treat viral respiratory infections among pigs could prove useful in finding a cure for a mysterious pulmonary ailment that has killed more than 100 people worldwide, the top US epidemiologist said."

"Pigs' vaccine clue in fight against SARS: US scientist" is the headline in today's Phillipines Daily News. According to the Agence France-Presse article, "A vaccine used to treat viral respiratory infections among pigs could prove useful in finding a cure for a mysterious pulmonary ailment that has killed more than 100 people worldwide, a leading US epidemiologist said. Doctor Anthony Fauci, who heads the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, told Congress Monday there was a mounting body of evidence that Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) is caused by a novel coronavirus that may have crossed species from an animals to humans."


Click here for a database on SARS and pigs.

Charles Ortleb is the author of
The Closing Argument and the co-author of The Chronic Fatigue Syndrome Follies.

Saturday, April 05, 2003

HAS THE SOURCE OF THE SARS
CORONAVIRUS BEEN NARROWED
TO MICE AND PIGS?


By Charles Ortleb

Today, in The Scotsman, Stephen McGinty reports in a story on the SARS coronavirus that "recent genetic work suggests the virus could be related to diseases found in either mice or pigs. The first stage in the battle against SARS is complete."

The mere mention of pigs and SARS is the last thing the pork industry wants to hear. I spoke to an expert on Porcine Reproductive and Respiratory Syndrome (PRRS) who has connections to the pork industry and he was quite annoyed at the mere suggestion that there may be a connection between PRRS and SARS. And yet pigs figure prominently in many of the reports about the possible source of SARS. I asked another PRRS researcher if PRRS would look like SARS if it jumped into humans and he said yes. A review of the literature on PRRS and related respiratory syndromes of pigs suggest that these experts should be on the phone to the CDC sharing their understanding of the complicated porcine respiratory problems that are occuring in pigs in China. Because many of the pig disease researchers have ties to the pork industry, those calls may never get made.

The ease with which coronaviruses move back and forth between pigs and humans is reflected in an abstract on a Stanford University site. The abstract is from a paper by Hirano, N., Y. Suzuki and S. Haga and is titled "Pigs with highly prevalent antibodies to human coronavirus and swine haemagglutinating encephalomyelitis virus in the Tohoku district of Japan." It was published in Epidemiology of Infectious Diseases ('99 Jun;122(3):545-51). The abstract follows:

"Sera collected from 2469 pigs in the Tohoku District of the Honshu Island of Japan were tested for various coronavirus strains (haemagglutinating encephalomyelitis virus- HEV67N strain, human coronavirus- HCV OC43 strain, and bovine coronavirus- BCV K strain). Serum of inoculated mice was used as a positive control. Of the swine tested, 82.1% of the sera were positive for HEV-67N, 91.4% were positive for HCV-OC43, and 44.2% tested positive for BCV-K. The percentage of infected swine varied significantly among farms. The swine had inapparent infections, none showing disease from the HEV-67N infection. Antibodies to the human strain, HCV-OC43, were more prevalent in swine than the other two strains, suggesting transmission from humans to swine and vice-versa."

Will the "vice-versa" hold the key to SARS? Stay tuned.

Simon Elegant warns about the viral transformations that take place in the bodies of pigs in the recent issue of Time Asia: "Pigs are particularly dangerous, because they can be infected by human viruses and those from animals such as rodents and fowl, making them the most potent mixing vessels in which pathogens can mutate and jump from animal species to humans."

Click here for a database on SARS and pigs.

Charles Ortleb is the author of
The Closing Argument and the co-author of The Chronic Fatigue Syndrome Follies.

Friday, April 04, 2003

CHLAMYDIA VERUS CORONAVIRUS:
IN THE PIG VERSION OF SARS
THEY'RE BOTH INVOLVED


By Charles Ortleb

According to a report in Reuters today, Chinese researchers think a form of chlamydia may be the real cause of SARS. According to the report Hong Tao, a scientists working at the Institute of Virology under the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, told a news conference that "The center studied samples of victims' lungs, livers, kidneys and other organs which showed a chlamydia-like agent appeared to have caused the outbreak of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS)."

But that doesn't settle the matter because the same Reuters report notes that "in Geneva, a spokesman for the World Health Organization said the U.N. agency was '99 percent' certain SARS was caused by a previously unknown strain belonging to the coronavirus family, a major cause of the common cold."

Maybe they're both right.

In the SARS-like epidemic of Porcine Reproductive and Respiratory Syndrome (PRRS) which has occurred in pigs all over China, there is a complex interaction of multiple agents which have made it very dificult to control PRRS. It's a little like AIDS in that secondary infections have clouded the picture of causation and pathology.

Monte McCaw, a scientist working at the College of Veterinary Medicine at North Carolina State University, has done a great deal to try and illuminate the complicated mess that PRRS has become. In a research report posted on the North Carolina Swine Veterinary group site in 1993, he writes about the PRRS problem in Quebec, Canada: "A particularly serious nursery pig pneumonia problem is occurring in Quebec, Canada which appears to be caused by a mixed infection of PRRS and an atypical Influenza (flu) virus. This syndrome causes proliferative pneumonia, a unique and very serious pneumonia of pigs. There is a high rate of death loss, poor performance, and LACK OF RESPONSE TO ANTIBIOTICS (because it is a VIRAL disease syndrome)."

In the same report, he discusses the complex problem of pneumonia in pigs during what could be called the PRRS Era: "While the involvement of viruses in causing pneumonia in pigs is well recognized, many "new" agents and syndromes are being discovered. Some of the new agents are not even confirmed to be independently pathogenic, but have been found in herds that are having nursery or grower pig pneumonia problems. Also, with the arrival of PRRS, many multiple virus pneumonia cases are being reported. Some of these viruses are difficult to grow, but cause very unique lung lesions which have led pathologists and virologists to look harder for new viruses. Therefore, many of these diagnoses are made by excluding the common problems and by seeing atypical lung lesions that are compatible with what researchers have reported rather than by isolation."

This is a disturbing list of viruses associated with porcine respiratory distress these days, according to McCaw's report:

Pseudorabies virus
Influenza virus
PRRS virus
Atypical influenza virus
Porcine respiratory corona virus
Porcine cytomegalovirus
Adenovirus
Paramyxovirus
Unnamed viral isolates from nursery pigs

And that's just the viruses. Chlamydia is one of the bacteria associated with porcine respiratory problems during the PRRS Era. It is so prevalent in pigs with PRRS that initially it was thought to be the cause, according to a USDA report. Researchers should keep all these agents in mind as they try to determine if the PRRS epidemic in pigs has anything to do with SARS. PRRS seems to come with a truckload of potential pathological friends.

Charles Ortleb is the author of The Closing Argument and the co-author of The Chronic Fatigue Syndrome Follies.

Thursday, April 03, 2003

SCIENTIST SUGGESTS A FOOD
LINK TO SARS


By Charles Ortleb

In Today's Taipai Times, Chang Yun-Ping reports that "a National Taiwan University Hospital (NTHU) doctor yesterday suggested that the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) may be spreading through contaminated food rather than through the saliva of those who are already infected."

Yn-Ping also reports that, "Doctor Chang Shan-chwen of the NTHU's Infectious Disease Department yesterday made the hypothesis based on clinical experience of SARS patients in Taiwan who developed symptoms of enterogastritis such as soft stools and diarrhea, followed by the respiratory illness such as fever and coughing two to three days later."

He also told the reporter that "because our SARS patients all suffered from an upset stomach before they started coughing, we could infer that the virus might first appear in the stomach, and is later transferred through the blood to the respiratory organs."

Interestingly, a corona virus that infects pigs is capable of causing both digestive and respiratory problems. And the corona virus is associated with Porcine Reproductive and Respiratory Syndrome which is widespread in China.

The corona virus in pigs seems to take two forms. According to a report by Jennifer May of Animal Disease Diagnostic Lab in West Lafayette, Indiana, "Porcine respiratory corona virus(PRCV) was first recognized in Belgium in 1984, when routine serological surveys from slaughterhouses identified high liters to transmissible gastroenteritis (TGE). Retrospective studies of source farms did not indicate occurrence of enteric disease."

May also notes that "PRCV is a mutant of TGE corona virus. PRCV and TGE virus share antigenic sites, but TGE has additional antigenic sites which PRCV does not have because of a deletional mutation. There are multiple strains of PRCV which have varied pathogenicity."

Charles Ortleb is the author of The Closing Argument and the co-author ofThe Chronic Fatigue Syndrome Follies.

Sunday, March 30, 2003

THE SECONDARY INFECTIONS OF PRRS IN PIGS
MAY BE CLUES FOR THE CAUSE OF SARS IN PEOPLE


By Charles Ortleb

As scientists look more closely at the possbility that the Porcine Reproducive and Respiratory Syndrome epidemic in the pigs in China is the source of SARS, they should pay attention to the secondary infections of PRRS. Robert Desrosiers describes them on a site produced by the North Carolina Health Hogs Seminar:

"The list of secondary pathogens that can be associated with PRRS ( Porcine Reproductive and Respiratory Syndrome) problems is extensive: Actinobacillus pleuropneumoniae, Salmonella choleraesuis, Streptococcus suis, Haemophilus parasuis, typical and atypical strains of Influenza virus, porcine respiratory Corona virus, Pneumocystis carynii, etc. Most of these organisms can cause problems by themselves. However, they are frequently present in herds where no or few clinical signs are observed, as if they were in equilibrium with the immune defense system of the animals. When PRRS outbreaks occur, it seems that the virus may frequently destroy this equilibrium and give secondary pathogens the opportunity to, at least temporarily, 'win the battle.'"

At the end of his report, Desrosiers warns, "Some organisms affecting pigs can also affect humans. It is thus important to always wear gloves and to use the knife or scalpel with caution when doing autopsies."

Charles Ortleb is the author of The Closing Argument and the co-author of The Chronic Fatigue Syndrome Follies.

THE EXTENT OF PRRS IN CHINA

By Charles Ortleb

An posting about the 2003 International Conference and Exhibition on Pig Production, which will be held in China later this year, describes the spread of Porcine Reproductive and Respiratory Syndrome in China: "Porcine Reproductive and Respiratory Syndrome (PRRS) has been regarded as an economically important swine disease in many swine-producing countries since it was first reported in America in 1987. PRRS virus causes respiratory problems. Reproductive failure in pregnant sows and deaths in piglets. PRRS has been spread throughout most of provinces in China after it broke out first in China 1996."

Friday, March 28, 2003

PRRS AND PCV IN CHINA'S PIGS COULD
BE A MODEL OF THE TWO VIRUS
THEORY OF SARS IN PEOPLE


By Charles Ortleb

Although China does not like to admit that it has a Porcine Reproductive and Respiratory Syndrome epidemic in its pigs, agricultural experts in America assume it to be the case. And that being so, then one would also expect that pigs there would have the cascade of complications associated with PRRS, i.e. other viruses, like one called Porcine circovirus (PCV).
The PRRS virus and PCV seem to hang together and make a bad pathological situation even worse. Here's a description of their choreography I found on a site run by Pennsylvania State University (it's from the July, 2001 Veterinary News):

"Porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome (PRRS) is characterized by reproductive failure (stillborn, mummified, or weak-born piglets) and interstitial pneumonia in young and growing pigs. Alveolar macrophages in the lung and follicular macrophages and dendritic cells in lymph nodes and tonsil are the major sites of PRRSV replication. Porcine circovirus (PCV) has been isolated from pigs with postweaning multisystemic wasting syndrome (PMWS). PMWS is characterized clinically by emaciation, dyspnea, and lymph node enlargement and pathologically by lymphoid depletion and lymphohistiocytic to granulomatous lymphadenitis, interstitial pneumonia, hepatitis, interstitial nephritis, and pancreatitis. Previous in situ hybridization (ISH) studies have localized the PCV genome predominantly within pulmonary alveolar macrophages and macrophages within lymph nodes, tonsil, spleen, and Peyer’s patch; the PCV genome has also been demonstrated within endothelial cells, enterocytes, pancreatic acinar cells, and renal tubular epithelial cells. The majority (60%) of porcine tissue submissions to the Iowa State University Veterinary Diagnostic Laboratory in which PCV genome or antigen are detected also contain PRRSV antigen (S. D. Sorden, unpublished data)."

Keep this in mind if you continue to hear 1) that SARS may come from pigs in China and 2) that it involves two viruses. Curious, no?

You'll be hearing a lot more about the pulmonary alveolar macrophages in the days ahead.

Charles Ortleb is the author of The Closing Argument and the co-author of The Chronic Fatigue Syndrome Follies.
A TORONTO DOCTOR SUGGESTS
THAT SARS COMES FROM PIGS


By Charles Ortleb

An article in the Winnepeg News today suggests that pigs in China may be the source of rhe growing SARS epidemic. Ken Connor reports that Dr. Jay Keystone, an infectious disease specialist at Toronto General Hospital told him, "Pigs may be the culprits behind the outbreak of SARS." According to Connor, Keystone suggested that the "killer bug originated in southern China, an area with a high concentration of pig farms."

If this is confirmed, it makes a lot of sense to look more closely at Porcine Reproductive and Respiratory Disease, which is an out-of-control AIDS epidemic in pigs all over the world, and one that has serious complications for the lungs.

A fascinating overview of the health of pigs in China, by Cai Bao xiang, gives one a sense of the complexities that SARS researchers may face. What follows is the text of the report which seems to have been translated or written in rather creative English:

Infectious Diseases of Pigs in China Today

Cai Bao xiang

Nanjing Agricultural University, 2100095, Nanjing, P.R. China

China is a country with the biggest population of pigs in the world. Its annual production reached over 984 million heads in 1996. The control and the research of swine diseases have always being emphasized. Pigs are raised in China mainly by rural farmers and recently there are increasing numbers of intensive pig production, which has accelerated the development of swine industry. However, infectious diseases of pigs caused severe economic loss with the farm scale and feeding density increasing while lagged managing and disease controlling. At present, respiratory diseases, infectious diarrhea,which are seriously damaged to the development of pig industry.

SWINE REPRODUCTIVE DISORDERSYNDROME

Swine reproductive disorder syndrome is named for a group of diseases caused by several different pathogens but have similar clinical signs. The main symptoms are infertility, fetal solution in early stage, stillbirth, abortion, and fetal death with mummification, the consequence is low reproduction rate of sows and survival rate of piglets. Sometimes the infection of sow can also cause death of newbom piglets ( such as PR,PRRS, Encephalomyocarditis) . These diseases spread gradually in all over country and by which caused declining of reproduction rate had become common phenomenon in breeding pig farms, especially in intensive farms. According to the investigation and material offered by some pig farms. 20-30 percent of reproduction rate decline was resulted from reproductive disorder, especially in primiparous sows. The great loss is a major factor for bad economic status of swine farms. Thorough controlling of swine reproductive disorders has become a key step in pig industry presently.

There are several disease causing porcine reproductive disorder, which include non-typical Hog cholera, Pseudorabies, Epidemic encephalitis B, Porcine parvovirus, Chlamydiosis and newly occurred Porcine respiratory and reproductive syndrome.

HC is one of infectious diseases which can cause severe economic loss. Since 1958, HC attenuated live vaccine through passage of rabbit had been used for controlling the disease in all over the country, the cases of typical acute HC are rare. However, there are great changes in epidemiology and pathogenicity of HC recently, which are characterized by reproductive disorders in sows and piglets infection before birth. There are reports about non- typical HC in Guangong, Jiangsu, Sichuan, Shandong, Liaoning and Beijing, Pregnant sows show abortion, fetal mummification,stillbirth, weak or health-like infected piglets in appearance, the survival piglets have no immune response(immune tolerance) and stunting, or muscle tremors, finally dead though they are vaccinated before lactation. The effective method to control HC is using high qualitative vaccine and suitable immune program, enhancing management, and eliminating the pigs infected by virulent HC virus with serological surveillance techniques.

PPV is recognized as an important factor causing reproductive disorder, which can cause fetal death and mummification while sows show no clinical syndromes. It was verified that PPV infection has been very common in China through serological investigation and virus isolation since 1980. The positive rate is 30-100% (average 80%) and hardly find a PPV negative farm. PPV can transmit not only horizontally but also vertically. PPV infection is mostly common in primiparious sows. Multiparious sows of new farms can infect in early stage pregnant. The method for controlling PPV include quarantining imported pigs by HI test, vaccinating the breeding boar. Killed vaccine is used for 5-6 month reserve sows when maternal antibody is disappeared, which induce strong immune response two weeks post-vaccination. Breeding sows are vaccinated at 2-4 weeks before mating, breeding boars at the age of 5 month. The vaccination is done once half a year later. Negative pig group can be developed by transferring piglets from infected room to uninfected room after weaning.

Epidemic Encehalitis B, also named as Japanese encephalitis B, is an acute viral zoonosis which transmitted by insects such as mosquito. When infected, Pregnant sows show abortion or stillbirth, boars have testis inflammation and growing pigs show lasting fever, piglets have encephalitis. The disease is stricture seasonally, often occurred from July to September. Most infected pigs are in apparent infection and have negligible clinical symptom. Epidemic Encehalitis B often display an outbreak in new farms and intensive farms. The infection rate is higher in southern areas than in northern areas in China. The main method to control this disease is the eradication of mosquitoes. Attenuated or killed vaccine can be used for prevention. The six-month reserve pigs or new sow which had mated are vaccinated in the bottom of April each year. The combined killed vaccine of PPV and Encephalitis prepared by Jiang Tiantong ( 1996) could control the two diseases effectively. With the tendency of the pig industry in China toward more intensive, PR outbreaks have occurred in several areas recently, which result in economic loss. Zhu Qinghu, et al (1996) reported that merely in Guangdong there were 26 farms prevailed in PR during 1988-1985. The infected breeding sows reached 19750 heads, which accounted for about 30 percent of the sow population among more than 100 intensive pig farms in that particular province. It caused death to the newborn piglets, especially the morbidity and the mortality of those within one-week old were almost 100%. PR in Beijing, Henan, and Hunan showed a tendency of increasing in 1997-1998. It has become one of diseases drawn the most attention.

The recently worldwide epidemic PRRS occurred in China in 1995. The first outbreak took place in Beijing in 1996. Many sows aborted with dead birth. and a lot of piglets died of respiratory complications, which has caused sever economic loss. Sun yingj, et al (1997) randomly sampled 32 farms out of 14 cities for the isolation of virus and for the IFA and ELISA serological tests. They not only found positive pigs for PRRS and isolated PRRS virus from the imported herds, but also examined PRRSV antiboby and isolated the virus from the domestic herds with reproductive disorders. It has apparently induced severe harms to the local pig industry in some areas. An increasing concern is focused on this subject.

RESPIRATORY DISEASES OF PIGS

Among the five major swine diseases which are internationally recognized to be attributable to the significant loss of the pig industry, three are three kinds of infectious respiratory diseases, namely, mycoplasmal Pneumonia(MP), Atrophic Rhintis(AR), and Actinobacillus Pleuropneumonia(AP).All three diseases are commonly existing in China, and have caused sever economic loss. There are safe and effective vaccines and handy diagnostic methods available for these diseases. In addition, Swine Influenza ( SI), Pseudorabies ( PR), and Porcine Reproductive & Respiratory Syndrome (PRRS) have also widely spread in China and caused substantial damages.

MP took an epizootic outbreak in China in the 50�Œs, of which morbidity and mortality both were high. Its epidemic slows down, yet current MP shows high morbidity and low mortality. Most of swine herds carry such a chronic pneumonia, and it is regarded as the most common swine disease in China. Its direct damage is not obvious, but the economic loss may exceed billion a year due to its wide spread and combination with secondary infections, low quality of breeding pig:increase of production cost, and decrease of feed conversion.

AR was transmitted into China in 1964 through the imported breeders, and quickly spread countrywide. According to the 1968-1989 survey in ten cities located in the provinces of Sichuan and Liaoning, 13698 heads were infected with AR and 4499 dead. However, the morbidity was much higher. Yang liuzhan conducted a serological census in 21 farms of six provinces in 1989, the positive rate was 62. 4 percents ( 655/1049) . The recent investigations among big and medium sized intensive farms showed that AR was widely present and its etiology has changed from single pathogen to dual,i.e. Bordetella bronchiseptica and the toxicogenic Pasteulla Multocida. The latter plays more important role in AR�Œs pathogenicity.

AP is a highly contagious respiratory disease caused y Actinobacillus Pleuropneumoniae, manifests the symptoms and pathology of pneumonia and pleuritis. Its existence was identified in 1987 in China. Among total 12 serotypes, types 2,4,5,7, and 8 have been isolated in China. Types 7 and 4 are the most common. The antibody of types 2, 9, and 10 were found as well as. Most cases are single serotype, but occasionally multiple infections with 2 or 3 serotypes are also notice. The epidemic varies depending on areas, and the morbidity may reach 60-80 percents in sever farms. Zhou Yifeng, et al (1994) found 18.4 percents of positive rate in AP antibody by the Blocking ELISA among 478 heads of 4 batches imported breeders in Shanghai. The Harbin Veternary Research Lab has developed in 1997 a mono- valent vaccine which is applicable to some specific areas.

SI has never become a large-scale epidemic outbreak in China. It rather is enzootic in various degrees The 1987-1989 statistics data from ten provinces covering Hebei and Liaoning indicated accumulative total 810 thousands pigs were infected, and 34 thousands dead. Types A3 (H3N2) and A1 influenza virus, which were isolated from the hog herds in Liaoning. Guizhou, Guangxiand Beijing, seemed to be similar to the influenza virus antigen isolated from human at the same time. The type C influenza virus was further isolated from the hog heads in Beijing 1985.

TRANSMISSIBLE DIARRHEA

Transmissible Diarrhea is typical multi- factor disease under intensive pig industry, which had caused sever economic loss. Diarrhea and enteritis often observed in clinic are an important factor of piglets death. and they will still be a difficult problem for a long time.

Diarrhea can be caused by infectious factor such as viruses ( Coronvirus, rotavirus, enterovirus), Bacteria (E.coli, Salmonella choleraesuis, Y.entercolitical Cl. welchii, Treponema hyodysenteriae), fungi and parasites (cococus,Crptosporidium, ascarid, Trichiurus et al)

Yellow scour and white scour (colibacillosis) are common diarrhea of piglets. Prevention is more important than other method to these diseases which include improving nurse and management of pregnant sows before and after birth, feeding the newborn piglets with colostrum in time, balancing the nutrition of the food, ensuring piglets not hungry or over eating, not changing the food suddenly to prevent all kinds of harm effect of stress.

The pregnant sows are vaccinated by Using live or killed vaccine in which the E.coli was isolated from the same area, the piglets can acquire passive immune protection. Hu Xinzheng(1993) reported that the pregnant sows were vaccinated at 40 days and 15 days before giving birth on neckmuscle ( 2ml/each) using combined killed vaccine (K88,K99,987P), the morbidity rate of the experiment group ( 5. 5%) was much lower that control group (72%). The protection rate is above 90%. There are gene engineering vaccine such as E.coli 987P, K88LTB, K88,K99,987P combined killed vaccine. All of these vaccines have protection to some degree in the primary application.

The antibiotics or other anti-bacterium drugs which can inhibit growth of isolated proved by drug sensitivity test for sick pigs could be used. When sensitivity of 231 strains of E. coli for 18 antibiotics were tested, Fang Yuling (1992) found that only Cefaparole and Pipemidic acid uncommonly used in clinic can inhibit or kill E. coli in 12 drugs which originally had strong activity for inhibiting or killing bacteria, other antibiotics showed higher resistance. Nevertheless, one of best method to control diarrhea of piglets in two weeks old is to administrate orally antibiotics or other drugs. Recently Quinolones such Enrofloxacin, Ciprofioxacin and Norfloxacin have been proved as effective drugs for the prevention and treatment of piglets diarrhea.

Microecological preparations (non-pathogenic live germ) is more and more used to control white and yellow scour of piglets. Bio-antagonist do not cause drug-resistance. However, antibiotics are prohibited to use when Microecological preparations is used, or non-pathogenic live E. coli will be killed and the effect is diminished. Theses preparations are convenient, cheap, no side-effect and safe to use. They also stimulate growth of piglets. Great progress have been made in researching and application of Microecological preparations in China.

Although many kind of viruses have been isolated from small intestine and feces, the most important viruses in clinic are TGEV,PEDV,RV, although the clinic signs of RV infection is mild than TGEV and PEDV infection. Sometimes white scour of piglets can be also caused by RV.

TGE and PED are regarded as two main diarrhea diseases of swine in China and abroad. Both TGEV and PEDV belong to the members of coronaviridae. The both show similarity in virus morphology, clinical signs, epidemiology and often coinfect pigs. However, there is no cross-reaction in antigenicity between the two viruses. The diseases often prevailed in spring and winter in most areas of China�Cwhich caused great loss to swine industry. According to statistics of the 1987- 1989 animal disease surveillance by Minister of Agriculture. the mortality of swine resulted from the two disease are 9.5% and 1.7% of total death. the coinfection rate is 30.8-46.2%. The loss is more than 100 million RMB because of the death and increasing of food consume. as well as drug fee. Harbin Veterinary Research Institute developed TGE frozen attenuated vaccine successfully in 1985. Now PED and TGE combined killed cell cultural vaccine is developing.The combined inactivated vaccine of TGEV and PEDV had developed by Guangzhou bureau of animal and plant quarantine.

The immunity of newborn piglets comes from maternal colostrum, so it is important for them to suck colostrum. When sows are vaccinated with vaccine against special pathogen, newborn piglets can acquire colostrum containing special antibody to viruses or gems causing diarrhea in piglets. The immune method is available to prevent and control RV, TGEV and E.coli.

It is an key subject to control reproductive disorder diseases, respiratory diseases and diarrhea for improving the survive rate and health of pigs and developing of pig industry in China. It is necessary to develop more effective vaccines and drug for prevention and treatment except for improving management andhygiene environment in future.

REFERENCES

Animal disease of China. Science press, 1993.

CIA Boxing,1995,Acct of Chinese veterinary Medicine, 15( 4):412-416.

Yang Hanshin et al, 1997, Journal of Chinese veterinary Medicine 23(10):9-10.

Sun Yingjie et al, 1997, Journal of Chinese veterinary Medicine 23(2):8-9.

Jiangtiantong et al, 1996, Journal of Chinese veterinary Science and Technology, 26(10):6-7.

Geeing Tijuana et al, 1997, Journal of Chinese veterinary, 23( 8):25-26.

Chou Hug et al, Chinese Journal of Animal and Poultry Infectious Disease, 1:61-63.

Ma Sequa et al, 1995, Chinese Journal of Animal and Poultry Infectious Disease,6:23-27.

Tong Kunzhou et al, 1996, Journal of Chinese Veterinary Science and Technology, 26(1):3-4.

Charles Ortleb is the author of The Closing Argument and the co-author of The Chronic Fatigue Syndrome Follies.


Thursday, March 27, 2003

DOES PRRS IN CHINA'S PIGS HAVE ANYTHING TO DO
WITH THE EMERGING HUMAN EPIDEMIC OF SARS?


By Charles Ortleb

SARS, the deadly new flu that has emerged from China has already been called a "holocaust," and it seems to only have just started. Because its cause is still confused by the presense of at least two suspect agents that might be working together, it would seem that the jury should still be out, at least for the time being. Since the illness reminds us of Porcine Reproductive and Respiratory Syndrome (PRRS) in pigs, we decided to look into what is known about the occurrence of PRRS in China.

Apparently, just as China is slow to admit that it has a SARS epidemic on its hands, it also has dragged its heels where PRRS in swine is concerned. In April, 1999, Nicholas D. Giordano spoke on behalf of the National Pork Producers Council to the U.S. House International Relations Committee about the issue of pork exports to China. Apparently, China didn't want to import our pork, or the pork from Canada, because of the PRRS epidemic on our continent. In his testimony, Mr. Giordano said, "The Chinese, supposedly at the behest of the Australians, expressed concern to the Canadians about Porcine Reproductive and Respiratory Syndrome (PRRS). The PRRS virus is endemic to the world and it defies credulity to suggest that China - a country where serious porcine diseases are rampant - does not have PRRS."

To be continued . . .

Charles Ortleb is the author of The Closing Argument and the co-author of The Chronic Fatigue Syndrome Follies.

Wednesday, March 19, 2003

THE LAWSUITS BEGIN

A leading class action law firm has started the ball rolling. Hopefully, this is just the beginning of the class action lawsuits against the HIV/AIDS establishment.

On March 17, 2003, Milberg Weiss filed a complaint alleging violations of the federal securities laws by VaxGen, Inc. and certain of its officers and/or directors.

The pdf of the complaint

The text of the complaint:

MILBERG WEISS BERSHAD

HYNES & LERACH LLP

WILLIAM S. LERACH (68581)

DARREN J. ROBBINS (168593)

MARY K. BLASY (211262)

401 B Street, Suite 1700

San Diego, CA 92101

Telephone: 619/231-1058

619/231-7423 (fax)



Attorneys for Plaintiff









UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT



NORTHERN DISTRICT OF CALIFORNIA





JANICE WHITKENS, On Behalf of Herself and All Others Similarly Situated,



Plaintiff,



vs.



VAXGEN, INC., LANCE K. GORDON and DONALD P. FRANCIS, M.D.,



Defendants.

))))))))))))No.



CLASS ACTION



COMPLAINT FOR VIOLATIONS OF THE FEDERAL SECURITIES LAWS











DEMAND FOR JURY TRIAL









SUMMARY AND OVERVIEW

1. This is a securities fraud class action on behalf of all purchasers of the securities of VaxGen, Inc. ("VaxGen" or the "Company") between August 6, 2002 and February 26, 2003 (the "Class Period"), against VaxGen and certain of its officers and directors for violations of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the "1934 Act").

2. VaxGen is engaged in the development and commercialization of AIDSVAX, a vaccine designed to prevent infection or disease caused by HIV (Human Immunodeficiency Virus), the virus that causes AIDS. During the Class Period, defendants were completing the final stages of AIDSVAX's Phase III clinical trials required to obtain Food and Drug Administration ("FDA") approval to market AIDSVAX as an AIDS vaccine. Clinical trials were being run simultaneously in the U.S. and Thailand, with the results of the U.S. trial to be released in early 2003 and results from the Thailand trial to be released in late 2003. Throughout the Class Period, defendants caused VaxGen to make a number of positive statements about the status of the trial and describing their eventual plans to manufacture and market AIDSVAX, causing VaxGen's stock to trade at artificially inflated prices.

3. However, the true facts which were known by each of the defendants, but were concealed from the investing public during the Class Period, included:

(a) That the number of strains of HIV was increasing exponentially and AIDSVAX was proving ineffective in the clinical trials;

(b) That, by the beginning of the Class Period, the clinical trials in the U.S. were over 80% complete and defendants knew that the rate of HIV infection occurring in the clinical trials indicated an efficacy rate which was statistically irrelevant as compared to the infection rate being experienced in the general population; and

(c) That the efficacy rate being experienced in the Clinical trials would not meet FDA approval standards, nor those of the U.S. and world medical communities, so the "vaccine" was not commercially viable.

4. On the evening of Sunday, February 23, 2003, VaxGen shocked the market by reporting the long-anticipated results of the U.S. trials, disclosing that the "study did not show a statistically significant reduction of HIV infection within the study population as a whole, which was the primary endpoint of the trial." The partial disclosure of the overall failure of the U.S. clinical trial caused VaxGen's shares to plummet, declining over 50% to approximately $3 per share on February 24, 2003.

5. However, even when defendants released the results on February 24, 2003, they claimed that while the vaccine failed to demonstrate efficacy on U.S. caucasians, the trials had demonstrated 30%-84% efficacy rates in U.S. blacks and Asians. That analysis, the Company said, had less than a 1% chance of being due to random chance, making it highly statistically significant. VaxGen President Donald P. Francis touted the results as evidence that AIDSVAX could protect against HIV infection. As reported by The Wall Street Journal on February 24, 2003, the "results overall won't lead the Food and Drug Administration to approve the vaccine for use in the wider public, but the company hopes that further analysis, as well as results from another trial being conducted in Thailand on injection drug users, may prompt the agency to approve the vaccine for some ethnic minorities." These corrective statements had their intended effect and VaxGen's stock closed at close to $7 per share on February 24, 2003.

6. However, on February 26, 2003, defendants were forced to admit that the reliability of their earlier reports of higher efficacy rates for non-caucasians were impaired because they had not taken the requisite "penalties" to account for the fact that less than 500 of the 5000 clinical trial participants were non-caucasians, resulting in an extremely small subset of data being analyzed for non-caucasions. Such penalties are designed to reduce the statistical significance of results obtained from slicing a body of data into many smaller pieces. As the news that earlier promises that AIDSVAX could prove useful for non-caucasions fell apart, the stock declined further, resulting in a total loss in market cap since November 18, 2002 of approximately 85%.

JURISDICTION AND VENUE

7. Jurisdiction exists pursuant to *27 of the Securities and Exchange Act of 1934 (the "Exchange Act"), 15 U.S.C. *78aa, and 28 U.S.C. *1331. The claims asserted herein arise under **10(b) and 20(a) of the Exchange Act, 15 U.S.C. **78j(b) and 78t, and Rule 10b-5.

8. Venue is proper in this District pursuant to *27 of the Exchange Act and 28 U.S.C. *1391(b). Many of the acts giving rise to the violations complained of occurred in this District.

9. Defendants used the instrumentalities of interstate commerce, the U.S. mails and the facilities of the national securities markets.

THE PARTIES

10. Plaintiff Janice Whitkens purchased VaxGen publicly traded securities as described in the attached certification and was damaged thereby.

11. Defendant VaxGen is engaged in the development and commercialization of AIDSVAX, a vaccine designed to prevent infection or disease caused by HIV, the virus that causes AIDS. VaxGen has approximately 14.5 million shares outstanding and trades on the NASDAQ.

12. Defendant Lance K. Gordon, Ph.D. ("Gordon") is Chief Executive Officer and a director of VaxGen. Gordon serves on the Executive Committee of the VaxGen Board of Directors.

13. Defendant Donald P. Francis, M.D. ("Francis") is President and a director of VaxGen. Francis sits on the Executive Committee of the VaxGen Board of Directors.

14. The individuals named as defendants in **12-13 are referred to herein as the "Individual Defendants." The Individual Defendants, because of their positions with the Company, possessed the power and authority to control the contents of VaxGen's quarterly reports, press releases and presentations to securities analysts, money and portfolio managers and institutional investors, i.e., the market. Each defendant was provided with copies of the Company's reports and press releases alleged herein to be misleading prior to or shortly after their issuance and had the ability and opportunity to prevent their issuance or cause them to be corrected. Because of their positions and access to material non-public information available to them but not to the public, each of these defendants knew that the adverse facts specified herein had not been disclosed to and were being concealed from the public and that the positive representations which were being made were then materially false and misleading. The Individual Defendants are liable for the false statements pleaded herein at **19-20 and 30, as those statements were each "group-published" information, the result of the collective actions of the Individual Defendants.

15. In addition to the above-described involvement, each Individual Defendant had knowledge of the true status of the AIDSVAX clinical trials. Defendant Gordon, as CEO, and defendant Francis, as President, were responsible for the financial results and press releases issued by the Company.

FRAUDULENT SCHEME AND COURSE OF BUSINESS

16. Each defendant is liable for (i) making false statements, or (ii) failing to disclose adverse facts known to him about VaxGen. Defendants' fraudulent scheme and course of business that operated as a fraud or deceit on purchasers of VaxGen publicly traded securities was a success, as it (i) deceived the investing public regarding VaxGen's prospects and business; (ii) artificially inflated the prices of VaxGen's publicly traded securities; (iii) allowed Company insiders to obtain larger bonuses; and (iv) caused plaintiff and other members of the Class to purchase VaxGen publicly traded securities at inflated prices.

BACKGROUND

17. VaxGen was founded in November 1995 to complete the development of, and to commercialize, an AIDS vaccine in partnership with Genentech, Inc., which reserved the rights to market any AIDS vaccine ever developed. Genentech licensed to VaxGen the technology necessary for development and commercialization of GP-120 (now called AIDSVAX).

18. Clinical trials of AIDSVAX were run virtually simultaneously in the U.S. and Thailand commencing in 1999:

North America/Europe
Thailand

Participants
5,400
2,500

Began Enrollment
June 1998
March 1999

Completed Enrollment
October 1999
August 2000

Volunteers
5,100 gay men300 women
2,500 injectiondrug users

Trial Length
36 months
36 months

Primary Results Expected
First quarter 2003
Fourth quarter 2003





DEFENDANTS' FALSE AND MISLEADING

STATEMENTS ISSUED DURING THE CLASS PERIOD



19. On August 6, 2002, VaxGen issued a press release entitled "VaxGen Releases Second-Quarter Financial Results; Development Expenses In Line with Company's Expectations." VaxGen posted a net loss of $ 6.7 million, or $ 0.46 per share for its second quarter 2002, ending June 30, 2002. The loss was attributed by the Company to costs relating to additional personnel and infrastructure needed to facilitate the completion of the firm's Phase III trials, associated regulatory filings and advanced development of VaxGen's AIDSVAX. The release contained misleading statements which intimated that the Phase III trials were succeeding, stating in relevant part that,

Since the beginning of the second quarter, VaxGen has:

* Completed the seventh consecutive safety and conduct review of its Phase III trials;



* Revised its license and supply agreement with Genentech, Inc. on more favorable terms; and



* Hired Piers Whitehead, a leading vaccine industry expert, as vice president of Corporate and Business Development.



Additionally, the company's manufacturing joint venture, Celltrion, Inc., has secured 26 acres of land in Incheon, South Korea, on which to build a large-scale biopharmaceutical manufacturing facility for VaxGen's AIDS vaccine candidates and other biologic products. VaxGen, on behalf of Celltrion, hired Fluor Daniel, one of the world's largest design-construction firms, to lead the design and engineering of Celltrion's Incheon facility and a pilot plant in South San Francisco, Calif. VaxGen intends to use the pilot plant to complete production development and commercial launch of its AIDS vaccine candidates and/or other products.



20. On August 14, 2002, VaxGen filed its 10-Q for the period ended June 30, 2002. In the 10-Q defendants stated:

In its first phase of development, expected to be completed by 2005, we believe the Incheon facility will be capable of producing up to 200 million doses of AIDSVAX annually. Our facility in the South San Francisco area could produce up to 10 million doses of the AIDS vaccine annually and may also be used to develop other pharmaceutical products when it is licensed and operational, which we believe will occur in 2005. We expect to complete construction of our facility by the middle of 2003 and Celltrion the Incheon facility by the end of 2004. Additional time will be required to validate and license each facility. If AIDSVAX proves to be safe and effective, we intend to use the South San Francisco area facility to validate its manufacturing process, which would be a key component of its subsequent regulatory submission to the FDA. This facility, which will be located near our research and development facility, is expected to be used for commercial manufacturing of AIDSVAX at least through commissioning of the Incheon facility.

21. The statements described in **19-20 were false and misleading because by August 6, 2002, defendants knew that the AIDSVAX clinical trials were more than 80% complete and that the infection rates of trial participants virtually matched those being experienced in the general population, meaning the so-called "vaccine" had little or no efficacy and as such would not be commercially viable.

22. On November 5, 2002, VaxGen issued its third quarter 2002 earnings results and held an earnings conference call. The relevant portions of the transcript follow:

Carter Lee, Senior Vice President Finance and Administration, VaxGen: Good morning, everyone, and again welcome to our conference call. Beginning in 2002 we began preparing for success by spending for personnel infrastructure costs to support completion of the company's pivotal clinical trials. The costs incurred have been for the creation of regulatory, controlling systems group and adding personnel dedicated to the advance development of our production processes. Therefore, as expected our net operating losses have decreased for the fourth quarter and for the nine month period which is the same year last period [sic].

* * *



Lance Gordon, Director and CEO; VaxGen: Thank you very much, Carter. I'm very pleased to be with you all today by telephone and the magic of computers.



* * *



Moving on, Dr. Francis will be giving you more detail on the progress of our two phase III trials and I think the essential highlights here are that the company has completed on schedule in very high quality fashion the last safety review of the phase III pivotal clinical trial in Thailand, and is making preparations for completing the collection of data and analysis of the North American study. The final point, I'll give you a little more detail on here, VaxGen received very recently a contract with the U.S. National Institute of Health to supply vaccine for a large field trial which is anticipated to start in March of next year in Thailand. This additional field study is incremental to the studies being done on Aidsvax, and may result in additional indications in market expansions for VaxGen's product. The Army and the NIH are collaborating on a study looking at the combined use of our vaccine, which as I'm sure you're familiar is a preventive or prophylactic vaccine to prevent infection, using it in combination with a live viral approach being developed by, in this case, a convenient Aventis [sic] and that live viral approach is intended to have treatment impact. So we'll be looking at the combination of prevention of infection which has always been our goal, with a treatment regime. So that is anticipated to start shortly. The NIH contracted to purchase $3.3 million worth of product from VaxGen for that study.



* * *



Donald Francis, President and Director, VaxGen: Thank you, Lance. The next slide is entitled Aidsvax update which is indeed intended just for that, update you on our oldest ... product which is in development now, our AIDS vaccine which I think as everyone knows are the first and only phase III trials of a candidate AIDS vaccine. I think, as all of you know, we have an outside data safety monitoring board that reviews these two trials, both the North American and European trials and the Thai trial, called the Data and Safety Monitoring board, and they have now reviewed this every six months from the beginning of the trial, and each time we get remarkable information, and that information is * has been good news at each meeting and those reviews really deal with two issues.



One is the safety of the vaccine, and as you all know, vaccine safety is absolutely critical. If we get up to now 30,000 doses with this vaccine, it is really reassuring to know there have been no adverse events associated with the vaccine ... in excess of what we've seen in the placebo. So it's wonderful news. It got a large number of doses, [and] we do not see adversity associated with the vaccine. I think that lays the groundwork for a safe and hopefully effective vaccine. Equally important as to the successful company, is the successful trials in the logistical line conduct way [sic]. They have reviewed the trials and showed the follow-up of the volunteers in the trial, both the people at risk of sexual exposure in [the] North American and European trial and through intravenous drug use in Thailand, is extremely high. We will get an answer [as] to the efficacy of the vaccine and given that this is the first time in history that an AIDS vaccine trial has been done, that is reassuring from these outside experts that review our trial that we will have an answer.



The first one to come to completion will be the North American/European Phase III trial [and] all the data is coming in now, and will continue to come in, get cleaned up through the end of the year. That will be finishing the * all the clinical database, get it in the computer, ready for analysis, and then beginning early next year we will begin the analysis of that phase III trial and announce ... the results of that analysis sometime in Q1.



The Thai trial will follow several months behind, so 2003 will be a critical year for the Aidsvax vaccine as ... the first quarter of '03 will be the North American/European trial and the second half of '03 we will announce the results of the Thai trial, looking at both sexual transmission and blood borne transmission with two separate vaccines. We go to the last slide here, the time line that you have seen before and for all of you investors who have been here from the beginning, it actually goes back to the last several years with the phase I, II trials and these are the two trials in North American/European ... sexual transmission on the top and the Thai trials and intravenous drug users at the bottom. And there you see the length of time, the effort that it's taken to do these has been immense and I think it's time to really express our appreciation for the volunteers, the employees and the clinics that have staff that have worked on this and indeed the VaxGen staff that has designed and implemented this, not to mention the investors that have allowed this whole thing to happen and this groundbreaking event to really occur.



So it is a very exciting time and as we have mentioned here on previous web casts, now we can actually put other bars below this and extend it to the right. The first one that Lance mentioned will be the next phase III trial which will start in Thailand sometime in early '03. We expect being the prime boost, if you will, trial of the event of Pasteur vaccine, and VaxGen's vaccine given together and then the anthrax studies, again to the right side of this, and then hopefully we'll have other products to complement those as time goes on. So, with that, I want to again express the appreciation to everyone involved in this, the investors, the clinics, the volunteers, the staff of VaxGen and everyone who made this groundbreaking effort possible.



* * *



SEAN WOODS: Again, assuming complete success and from a purely pecuniary standpoint, your stock closed around $15 last night on the exchange. Would you anticipate a rather significant increase in the value of that stock, with the price earnings ratio of * again, as I said from a strictly pecuniary standpoint, have any of the analysts that you know of indicated a multiple in the price earnings ratio from $15 to, I've heard comments like this stock is going to go through the roof if all this stuff is successful, or what seems to be the analysts' consensus on [that], strictly from an investor standpoint?



UNIDENTIFIED: I think you certainly have identified where those answers are going to come from. They are going to come from investors like those of you who are on the telephone, and certainly the announcement that we're looking for next year will I think take a lot of the risk out of the company as we broaden the business, [add] additional products, as we validate our product opportunities through large clinical field trials such as Doctor Francis described. As to how the stock will react to product advancement, first * what we hope will be positive outcome for the pivotal clinical trials, and subsequent license application and we hope market launch in the not too distant future, those are things that can control and we're working very diligently, and I think [we're] very proud of our track record over the last several years of really meeting expectations and performing and making our marks.



* * *



DALE DEED: Yes. Then could we assume, that if this had a very high efficacy on the chimpanzee, provided now that we have very high levels of safety with the vaccine within humans, could we extrapolate out we could have a pretty high efficacy in the human beings as well?



UNIDENTIFIED: I think we can start extrapolating we're going to have high safety indications, all indications are we're going to have a very high safety profile. The ... the indication of 100% protection of our chimpanzees is certainly an indication that the vaccine has a high likelihood of being efficacious. But the question of how efficacious it is and for how long really will depend on the results of the ongoing studies.



23. The statements in *22 were false and misleading because the AIDSVAX clinical trials were now more than 97% complete and defendants knew that they demonstrated little or no efficacy. As a result, omission of any reference to the known abysmal efficacy rate of AIDSVAX rendered false and misleading defendants' statements that: (i) the Company was "preparing for success by spending for personnel infrastructure costs to support completion of the company's pivotal clinical trials ... and adding personnel dedicated to the advance development of our production processes"; (ii) AIDSVAX was an effective "preventative or prophylactic vaccine to prevent infection" that could be potentially be combined with live agents to treat existing persons who had already contracted AIDS; (iii) the "remarkable information" being returned by the "Data and Safety Monitoring board" did not disclose to defendants' AIDSVAX's abysmal efficacy rate; and (iv) the announcement of the trial's final results would "take a lot of the risk out of the company" by validating the Company's "product opportunities through large clinical field trials."

24. Particularly disturbing was defendants' response to the question about what effect the release of the trial results * which was rapidly approaching* would have on VaxGen's stock price. On that point, defendants' positive intimations as to the product soon being licensed, that there would be a "market launch in the not to distant future," and referring to the Company's "track record over the last several years of really meeting expectations and performing and making [their] marks," were false and misleading because defendants knew that disclosure of the efficacy rate in the not to distant future would be the death knell to AIDSVAX.

25. Similarly, defendants' response to the analyst's question that efficacy rates in chimpanzees could be extrapolated to provide efficacy rates in humans was misleading to the extent defendants equated the "100% protection of [their] chimpanzees" with "a high likelihood of being efficacious" in humans. Because defendants knew the efficacy rate being demonstrated was actually abysmal and because the market understood that defendants had access to the actual infection rates since at least November 2001, it was false and misleading to state that AIDSVAX had anywhere near a "high likelihood of being efficacious" in humans.

26. On these false statements, VaxGen's stock price rose to a Class Period high of $23.25 on November 18, 2002.

27. Defendant Francis appeared on CNN on Sunday December 1, 2002, making more positive reassurances about the marketability of AIDSVAX:

BLAKEY: Many experts believe the best way to stop the spread of the disease is a vaccine. So far, there is none but that may soon change. Don Francis of VaxGen is leading the race for an AIDS vaccine and plans to soon finish the final stage of human testing. VaxGen began testing the vaccine more than seven years ago. It would be the first to complete human testing for FDA approval in January. Though no vaccine is 100 percent effective, Francis would be pleased with only one-third efficacy.

DR. DON FRANCIS, VaxGen: There is certainly very good data out there in computer models that a 30 percent effective vaccine will ultimately drive the epidemic into the ground.



BLAKEY: The next hurdle, getting it manufactured.

FRANCIS: It will take us another couple years to actually bring up the manufacturing, get the licensing for the vaccine and move it forward.



BLAKEY: Still, different strains of HIV require different vaccines.



DR. PAT FAST, INTERNATIONAL AIDS VACCINE INITIATIVE: One can also make a new version of this vaccine that is applicable in other parts of the world.



FRANCIS: It will take us a year and a half, two years, to do that and think about how many infections are going to occur in that year and a half, two years, while we're developing this African vaccine.



* * *



BLAKEY: If everything stays on schedule and the current vaccine is successful, it will be ready for use in the U.S. sometime around the year 2005.



28. VaxGen shares traded as high as $21.43 per share on December 2, 2002.

29. The statements in *27 were false and misleading because the trial was now less than one-month away from being completed and abysmal efficacy rates were being reported to Francis, providing him no basis to believe that: (i) AIDSVAX's efficacy rate would ultimately "drive" anything, much less the AIDS epidemic, "into the ground"; (ii) that VaxGen's next hurdle was "actually bring[ing] up the manufacturing, get[ting] the licensing for the vaccine and mov[ing] it forward"; and (iii) that various versions of AIDSVAX could effectively be used as an AIDS vaccine around the world.

30. On Monday, December 16, 2002, VaxGen announced that AIDSVAX would get fast-track review at the FDA once the applications were filed. The Company's press release stated in relevant part:

VaxGen, Inc. announced today that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has designated HIV/AIDS vaccine candidates, AIDSVAX B/B and AIDSVAX B/E (rgp120), Fast Track Products for the prevention of HIV infection. The Fast Track designation will enable rapid regulatory review of AIDSVAX.



AIDSVAX B/B and AIDSVAX B/E are the only preventive AIDS vaccine candidates to advance to Phase III clinical trials. AIDSVAX B/B is being tested in a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study of 5,400 people in the United States, Canada, the Netherlands and Puerto Rico. Primary results from the trial are expected to be announced in the first quarter of 2003.



VaxGen is also nearing completion of its Phase III trial of AIDSVAX B/E in Thailand. AIDSVAX B/E is designed to protect against HIV subtypes B and E, and the company expects to announce primary results of that trial in the second half of 2003. Subtype E is prevalent in Southeast Asia and the Central African Republic.

"Every day thousands of people become infected with HIV," said VaxGen President Donald P. Francis, M.D., D.Sc. "Designation of both AIDSVAX B/B and AIDSVAX B/E as Fast Track Products recognizes the severity of the pandemic and the unmet need for a vaccine to prevent new infections."



Under the FDA Modernization Act of 1997, the Fast Track Program of the FDA is designed to expedite the review of a new drug that is intended for the treatment (or prevention) of a serious or life-threatening condition, and demonstrates the potential of a drug candidate to address unmet medical needs for such a condition.



31. On these positive statements, shares of VaxGen surged more than 20%.

32. The statements in *30 were false and misleading as stated because the trial was now finished and defendants knew that the efficacy rate of AIDSVAX was far below any level the FDA would accept, and that as such, FDA approval would likely be denied, on a "fast track" basis or otherwise, and that AIDSVAX would not be commercially available in 2005.

33. On February 11, 2003, VaxGen released its financial results for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2002 and held a press conference. The relevant portions of the transcript follow:

[CARTER LEE:] ... Now please refer to the slide entitled Natural Results for the time period ended December 31st, 2002 and 2001. Loss in operations was $10.6 million compared to $7.1 million for the year ago quarter. Increases in both R&D and G&A spending contributed to the loss. We attribute this primarily to the increase in personnel, the final closeout of expenses payable to our North American and European clinical sites and service fees associated with the completion of our trials and offset by a reduction of expenses paid through our licensing partner. The increased personnel costs and service fees include salary and benefit expenses for internal staffing and consulting services required to support our regulatory filings, the advanced development of our manufacturing processes and the monitoring and auditing expenses normally incurred at the end of the phase 3 trial. The change in G&A expenses are attributable to an increase in occupancy, personnel and insurance costs. Prior to the beginning of the fourth quarter of 2002, the Company acquired additional facilities to house the pilot manufacturing plant and support the manufacturing process and other R&D activities. Therefore, occupancy costs such as lease payments for the facilities, utilities and maintenance and repair expenses naturally increased. Excluded in the G&A line, there are $443,000 of non-cash expense, approximately $171,000 related to non-cash compensation and the balance is depreciation and amortization expense. As you can see, our spending increases are reflective of our preparations for success and the completion of our clinical trials.



* * *



[GORDON:] Before I move to the next slide, please let me share with you the scope of our HIV clinical effort....Now lets's take a look at the future on the next slide titled "2003 Time Line." We expect to announce the results from the first of our two phase 3 AIDS vaccine trials sometime this quarter. By the end of March we also expect to take occupancy of our GNP manufacturing facility in south San Francisco. If our AIDS vaccine trials are successful and we receive release from the F.D.A., we plan to use this facility in our efforts to gain F.D.A. approval for our manufacturing process and to provide in the range of 10 million [doses] of vaccine per year from that facility for public use.



34. The statements in *33 were false and misleading because they intimated that the soon-to-be-released test results would mark a "success," that the manufacturing process would soon commence, that the FDA approval process would soon commence, and that defendants had a reason to believe that AIDSVAX would be commercially viable. To the contrary, defendants knew that the trial was complete and they had know ever since October 2001 that AIDSVAX's nominal efficacy rates (well below the FDA's required 30%) demonstrated that the "vaccine" was not commercially viable.

THE TRUTH IS REVEALED

35. At midnight on Sunday, February 23, 2003, VaxGen announced initial results from the Phase III trials of AIDSVAX to prevent HIV infection in the U.S. The results for the Thailand part of the study would not be released until the end of 2003. According to the results disclosed, about 2.7% of placebo-treated patients became infected each year, and there were not any meaningful differences in infection rates for the AIDSVAX-treated patients. The press release issued the next day stated simply that the "study did not show a statistically significant reduction of HIV infection within the study population as a whole, which was the primary endpoint of the trial."

36. Trading was halted on VaxGen's stock before the beginning of trading on Monday, February 24, 2003. When trading resumed, news of the partial disclosure of the overall failure of the U.S. trial caused VaxGen shares to plummet over 50% to approximately $3 per share.

37. Then, on February 26, 2003, The Wall Street Journal published an article entitled "VaxGen Statistic Is Weaker Than Firm Initially Claimed," which stated in relevant part:

On Monday, VaxGen revealed that a three-year test of its AIDS vaccine, Aidsvax, had on an overall basis failed to protect volunteers from infection by HIV, the AIDS virus. But in an ethnic subgroup of 498 non-white, non-Hispanic volunteers, VaxGen said the vaccine appeared to provide protection in the range of 30% to 84%.



That analysis, the company said, had less than a 1% chance of being due to random chance, making it highly statistically significant. VaxGen President Donald Francis touted the results as evidence that Aidsvax can protect against HIV infection, although he also acknowledged they reflected preliminary analysis and could turn out to be a "statistical fluke."



Outside scientists and AIDS activists have criticized the claim of partial efficacy, largely because it was based on an analysis of just 29 HIV infections distributed between vaccinated volunteers in that subgroup and those who received a placebo.



VaxGen said it had followed good statistical practice by taking "penalties" related to its analyses of multiple subgroups. Such penalties are designed to reduce the statistical significance of results obtained from slicing a body of data into many smaller pieces.



Wednesday, however, Lance Ignon, VaxGen's vice president for communications, admitted that the company hadn't taken those penalties after all. Mr. Ignon said he didn't know how the erroneous information was released, adding that the company was "still trying to figure that out."



38. On this news, VaxGen's stock price, which had partially recovered to close at close to $7 on February 24, 2003, declined back down to the $4 range. The stock is now trading at approximately $3 per share, marking an approximately 85% decline in the price of VaxGen's stock since its Class Period high of $23.25 on November 18, 2003.

FIRST CLAIM FOR RELIEF



For Violation of *10(b) of the 1934 Act

and Rule 10b-5 Against All Defendants



39. Plaintiff incorporates **1-38 by reference.

40. During the Class Period, defendants disseminated or approved the false statements specified above, which they knew or deliberately disregarded were misleading in that they contained misrepresentations and failed to disclose material facts necessary in order to make the statements made, in light of the circumstances under which they were made, not misleading.

41. Defendants violated *10(b) of the 1934 Act and Rule 10b-5 in that they:

(a) Employed devices, schemes, and artifices to defraud;

(b) Made untrue statements of material facts or omitted to state material facts necessary in order to make the statements made, in light of the circumstances under which they were made, not misleading; or

(c) Engaged in acts, practices, and a course of business that operated as a fraud or deceit upon plaintiff and others similarly situated in connection with their purchases of VaxGen publicly traded securities during the Class Period.

42. Plaintiff and the Class have suffered damages in that, in reliance on the integrity of the market, they paid artificially inflated prices for VaxGen publicly traded securities. Plaintiff and the Class would not have purchased VaxGen publicly traded securities at the prices they paid, or at all, if they had been aware that the market prices had been artificially and falsely inflated by defendants' misleading statements.

43. As a direct and proximate result of these defendants' wrongful conduct, plaintiff and the other members of the Class suffered damages in connection with their purchases of VaxGen securities during the Class Period.

SECOND CLAIM FOR RELIEF



For Violation of *20(a) of the 1934 Act

Against All Defendants



44. Plaintiff incorporates **1-43 by reference.

45. The Individual Defendants acted as controlling persons of VaxGen within the meaning of *20(a) of the 1934 Act. By reason of their positions as officers and/or directors of VaxGen, and their ownership of VaxGen stock, the Individual Defendants had the power and authority to cause VaxGen to engage in the wrongful conduct complained of herein. VaxGen controlled each of the Individual Defendants and all of its employees. By reason of such conduct, the Individual Defendants and VaxGen are liable pursuant to *20(a) of the 1934 Act.

CLASS ACTION ALLEGATIONS

46. Plaintiff brings this action as a class action pursuant to Rule 23 of the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure on behalf of all persons who purchased VaxGen publicly traded securities (the "Class") during the Class Period. Excluded from the Class are defendants.

47. The members of the Class are so numerous that joinder of all members is impracticable. The disposition of their claims in a class action will provide substantial benefits to the parties and the Court. VaxGen had more than 14 million shares of stock outstanding, owned by hundreds if not thousands of persons.

48. There is a well-defined community of interest in the questions of law and fact involved in this case. Questions of law and fact common to the members of the Class which predominate over questions which may affect individual Class members include:

(a) Whether the 1934 Act was violated by defendants;

(b) Whether defendants omitted and/or misrepresented material facts;

(c) Whether defendants' statements omitted material facts necessary to make the statements made, in light of the circumstances under which they were made, not misleading;

(d) Whether defendants knew or deliberately disregarded that their statements were false and misleading;

(e) Whether the prices of VaxGen's publicly traded securities were artificially inflated; and

(f) The extent of damage sustained by Class members and the appropriate measure of damages.

49. Plaintiff's claims are typical of those of the Class because plaintiff and the Class sustained damages from defendants' wrongful conduct.

50. Plaintiff will adequately protect the interests of the Class and has retained counsel who are experienced in class action securities litigation. Plaintiff has no interests which conflict with those of the Class.

51. A class action is superior to other available methods for the fair and efficient adjudication of this controversy.

PRAYER FOR RELIEF

WHEREFORE, plaintiff prays for judgment as follows:

A. Declaring this action to be a proper class action pursuant to Rule 23(a) and (b)(3) of the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure on behalf of the Class defined herein;

B. Awarding plaintiff and the members of the Class compensatory damages;

C. Awarding plaintiff and the members of the Class pre-judgment and post-judgment interest, as well as reasonable attorneys' fees, expert witness fees, and other costs;

D. Awarding extraordinary, equitable and/or injunctive relief as permitted by law, equity, and federal statutory provisions sued hereunder, and any appropriate state law remedies; and

E. Awarding such other relief as this Court may deem just and proper.

JURY DEMAND

Plaintiff demands a trial by jury.

DATED: March 17, 2003
MILBERG WEISS BERSHAD

HYNES & LERACH LLP

WILLIAM S. LERACH

DARREN J. ROBBINS

MARY K. BLASY









DARREN J. ROBBINS



401 B Street, Suite 1700

San Diego, CA 92101

Telephone: 619/231-1058

619/231-7423 (fax)



Attorneys for Plaintiff













CERTIFICATION OF INTERESTED ENTITIES OR PERSONS





Pursuant to Civil L.R. 3-16, the undersigned certifies that as of this date, other than the named parties, there is no such interest to report.





ATTORNEY OF RECORD FOR

PLAINTIFF JANICE WHITKENS



Tuesday, March 11, 2003

AIDS DISSIDENT APPOINTED
TO SOUTH AFRICA GROUP
ADVISING MBEKI

In a move causing major indigestion in the AIDS/HIV establishment all over the world, Dr. Roberto Giraldo, a prominent dissident on the HIV theory of AIDS, has been named as one of the experts who will be advising the South African government. The Guardian today reported that "Aids activists renewed accusations that the authorities could not be serious about tackling the pandemic while listening to those who argued against the provision of life-extending medicine. Dr. Giraldo reportedly believes that the anti-retroviral drugs available in the west induce rather than treat Aids, and that the disease is caused by nutritional deficiencies - a belief apparently shared by President Thabo Mbeki, who has linked Aids to poverty. Critics said he was reluctant to accept a link with sexual behaviour."

One of the things that Dr. Giraldo can bring to the table is a keen understanding of the unreliable nature of the HIV tests. While Giraldo seems to be an HHV-6 denialist himself, his skepticism about HIV means the glass is more than half full.

Mbeki's courage in the face of HIV mob rule is inspiring. He deserves a Nobel Prize.

Dr. Giraldo gave us permission to reprint his essay on the HIV test here:

Tests for HIV are highly inaccurate

This article was written in June 2000
and posted during the Internet Discussion
of the South African Presidential AIDS Advisory Panel

For the last 6 years I have been working at a laboratory of clinical immunology in one of the most prestigious University Hospitals in the City of New York. Here I have had the opportunity to personally run and get to know in detail the current tests used for the diagnosis of HIV status, namely, the ELISA, Western blot and Viral Load tests.


1. The ELISA, Western blot, and Viral Load tests, used for the diagnosis of "HIV infection" are not at all accurate


There are many arguments against the accuracy of these tests to diagnose infection by what is known as HIV. For those who want to search the issue deeper I strongly recommend begin studying the 1993 article in Bio/Technology by Eleni Papadopulos-Eleopulos and her group of researches from Perth, Western Australia (12).


Here are some facts that support that a person who reacts positively on these tests does not mean that he/she is infected with HIV:


1.1. The definition of AIDS, as developed by the United States Federal Government’s Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, requires a positive result on the antibody test for HIV (1). This definition is accepted worldwide. The importance of HIV in this definition is so strong that, currently, many AIDS researchers, health care professionals and lay people, in following the lead of the United States Institute of Medicine, the National Academy of Sciences and most AIDS researchers now refer to "AIDS" as "HIV Disease" (2-7).

However, AIDS in Africa can be diagnosed without HIV test or any other laboratory test. This was decided by American public health officials at a conference in Bangui, in the Central African Republic in October 1985 (WHO’s Weekly Epidemiological Record 1986; 61:69-76 and Science magazine 21 November 1986). This allows health professionals to diagnosis AIDS in Africa based only on the symptoms and signs that a patient manifests.


1.2. The tests that are used most frequently to diagnose HIV status are the ELISA "screening test", the Western blot "confirmatory test" and the PCR "Viral Load test" (8-11). In the United States the ELISA and Western blot tests, when done together, have become known as "the AIDS test". These tests supposedly detect antibodies against HIV. The "Viral Load" or PCR test is a genetic test that makes copies of small fragments of nucleic acids that, it is claimed, belong exclusively to HIV. These are the same tests that are used to check for HIV in mothers, infants, children, and in the population at large. The problem with all of these tests is that a positive HIV reaction does not guarantee that the person is really infected with HIV at all (12-21).


1.3. Currently, a positive result on "the AIDS test" - ELISA and Western blot antibody tests - is synonymous with HIV infection and the attendant risk of developing AIDS (8-11).


However, these antibody tests are neither standardized nor reproducible, with respect to HIV they are themselves meaningless because they mean different things in different individuals, they also mean different things in different laboratories and in different countries (12). They are interpreted differently in the United States, Russia, Canada, Australia, Africa, Europe and South America (22-27), which means that a person who is positive in Africa can be negative when tested in Australia; or a person who is negative in Canada can become positive when tested in Africa (28). The other problem is that the same sample of blood when tested in 19 different laboratories gets 19 different results on the Western blot test (29).


1.4. The Western blot antigens, proteins or bands - p120, p41, p32, p24/25, p17/18 - which are considered to be specific to HIV, may not be encoded by the HIV genome and may in fact represent human cellular proteins (12-14,20,30).


1.5. The only valid method of establishing the sensitivity and the specificity of a diagnostic test in clinical medicine is to compare the test in question with its gold standard. The only possible gold standard for the HIV tests is the human immunodeficiency virus itself. Since HIV has never been isolated as an independent free and purified viral entity (31), it is not possible to properly define the sensitivity or the specificity of any of the tests for HIV (12). Currently, the sensitivity and the specificity of the tests for HIV are defined not by comparison to purified HIV itself, but by comparison of the tests in question with the clinical manifestations of AIDS, or with T4 cell counts (12). Abbott states, "At present there is no recognized standard for establishing the presence and absence of HIV-1 antibody in human blood. Therefore sensitivity was computed based on the clinical diagnosis of AIDS and specificity based on random donors" (32). Since there is no gold standard for defining the specificity of the tests used for the diagnosis of HIV infection, all HIV-positive results for HIV infection must be considered false-positives.


1.6. There are abundant scientific publications explaining that there are more than 70 different documented conditions that can cause the antibody tests to react positive without an HIV infection (12-14,17,19,30). In other words, there are more than 70 scientifically acknowledged reasons for false positives when testing for HIV. This fact has been abundantly documented in the scientific literature.


1.7. Of course, it is shocking to find out that a diagnosis of HIV infection is based on tests that are not specific for HIV. However, the scientific evidence tells us that a person can react positive on the test for HIV even though he or she is not infected with HIV (12-14,17,21,30,33).


1.8. The pharmaceutical companies that make and commercialize the kits for these tests acknowledge the inaccuracy of them, and this is why the inserts that come with the kits typically state the following: "Elisa testing alone cannot be used to diagnose AIDS, even if the recommended investigation of reactive specimens suggests a high probability that the antibody to HIV-1 is present" (32). The insert for one of the kits for administering the Western blot warns, "Do not use this kit as the sole basis of diagnosis of HIV-1 infection" (34). The insert that comes with a popular kit to run viral load warns, "The amplicor HIV-1 Monitor test is not intended to be used as a screening test for HIV or as a diagnostic test to confirm the presence of HIV infection" (35). The problem is that not only most AIDS researchers, journalists and lay people but health care workers themselves do not know these facts about the tests because they do not have access to them. There likewise appears to be little or no concern on the part of the knowing faculty of institutions to communicate these facts to physicians, let alone the general public.


1.9. Since the viral load results are given in copies per ml of plasma (35) AIDS researchers, health care professionals, and lay people may think that they represent copies or counts of the virus itself (12,36-41). However, the viral load test only makes copies of fragments of nucleic acids. It does not count HIV itself. A positive viral load test cannot be regarded as signifying the presence of the whole HIV genome, and therefore the test cannot be used to measure virus.


1.10. Results of the viral load test cannot be reproduced. This can be seen in the wide range of variability that is accepted in the quality controls set by the companies that make and commercialize the test kits. For example, Roche accepts low control having a range between 1,200 and 11,000 copies per ml [Lot # 0047], and high control having a range between 99,000 and 750,000 copies per ml [Lot # A00246] [Roche, Amplicor HIV-1 Monitor test Lot # B00985, expiration August 2000]. Most important of all, the problems with the lack of a gold standard for HIV infection also apply to the evaluation of the accuracy of the PCR or Viral load test (12,41,42). As a consequence, the specificity of the viral load test for HIV has never been defined properly. Therefore, all viral load positive results are likewise false-positives for HIV.


1.11. The fact that the defenders of HIV as the cause of AIDS, had to appeal to a genetic trick – the PCR test – is a strong argument against HIV as the cause of AIDS. To have to amplify tiny amounts of genetic material in the blood of the AIDS patients to try to identify HIV, instead of culturing the entire virus, isolate it and purify it, violates one of the central rules of infectious diseases: in the climax or maximum state of severity of any infectious disease is when the patient has the higher amount of microbes in his/her tissues. Is in those moments when it is easier to isolate and purify the microbes that are really causing a disease.


1.12. People have the right to make informed choices (43-45). However, the right of informed choice implies a right to good information. There is no justification for the fact that most people have not been informed about the serious inaccuracy of the tests for HIV infection. Withholding or obscuring these facts is a serious breach of public trust, violating as it does a person’s right to informed consent when making decisions about their health care. The legal implications of this situation have been noted (46).


2. Being "HIV-positive" does not mean that a person is infected with "HIV"


2.1. There are a growing number of scientific publications explaining in detail that the tests for HIV infection are not specific for HIV (12-14,47). There are many reasons other than a past or present HIV infection to explain why an individual reacts positive on these tests. In other words these tests can react positive in the absence of HIV (12-14,17-19,30).


2.2. Some of the conditions that cause false positives on the so-called "AIDS test" are: past or present infection with a variety of bacteria, parasites, viruses, and fungi including tuberculosis, malaria, leishmaniasis, influenza, the common cold, leprosy and a history of sexually transmitted diseases; the presence of polyspecific antibodies, hypergammaglobulinemias, the presence of auto-antibodies against a variety of cells and tissues, vaccinations, and the administration of gamma globulins or immunoglobulins; the presence of auto-immune diseases like erythematous systemic lupus, sclerodermia, dermatomyositis and rheumatoid arthritis; the existence of pregnancy and multiparity; a history of rectal insemination; addiction to recreational drugs; several kidney diseases, renal failure and hemodialysis; a history of organ transplantation; presence of a variety of tumors and cancer chemotherapy; many liver diseases including alcoholic liver disease; hemophilia, blood transfusions and the administration of coagulation factor; and even the simple condition of aging, to mention a few of them (12-14,17,18,30).


2.3. It is interesting to note that all of these conditions that cause the "HIV tests" to react positive in the absence of HIV, are conditions which are present with varied distribution and concentration in all of the conventionally recognized AIDS risk groups in the developed countries, as well as in the vast majority of inhabitants of the underdeveloped world. This means that in all probability many drug users [including mothers], certain gay males, and some hemophiliacs in the developed countries, as well as the vast majority of inhabitants in most countries of Africa, Asia, South America and the Caribbean, who have positive reactions to the tests for HIV, may very well do so due to conditions other than being infected with HIV (12-14,30,48).


2.4. Further, it is well known that people with or at risk for AIDS have high levels of antibodies - immunoglobulins - as a consequence of having been exposed to significant quantities of a variety of foreign substances such as recreational drugs, semen, factor VIII, blood and blood components, sexually transmitted infections and other infections (12-14,49). All these substances are oxidizing agents that cause oxidative stress (47,50,51).


2.5. Recently I had the opportunity to carry out an experiment by which I was able to demonstrate that all blood react positively on the ELISA test when run the test with neat or non-diluted serum. This could indicate that everybody has antibodies against what is supposed to be HIV. The ones that only react positively with straight or neat serum would have fewer amount of antibodies than the ones that continue reacting positively even when the serum is diluted 400 times (88). This possibility has been confirmed by Yugoslavian and Italian researchers (90)


2.6. There is also a great deal of scientific data indicating the widespread presence of non-specific interactions between what are considered to be retroviral antigens and unrelated antibodies (12,52-54). It is then possible to conclude that the tests for HIV react positively in the presence of those antibodies; in other words, that a positive result on an antibody test for HIV may be the result of previous antigenic over-stimulation, rather than a result of an HIV or any other retroviral infection (12-14).


2.7. Finally, it has been proposed that antibodies against HIV are surrogate markers for recreational drug use in the United States and in Europe (55,56).


2.8. On the other hand, even if "the AIDS test" were able to detect antibodies to HIV, it would not be logical to say that the presence of those antibodies indicate an active infection. The presence of antibodies to any virus simply means humoral immune response to that virus and not necessarily that the virus is still active and pathogenic (48,58). One can have antibodies against many germs without those germs being active, pathogenically active or even present at all (58,59). In most instances, antibodies against viruses indicate immunity. This is the very basis of vaccination against viral diseases (48,58,60). Even if the tests were specific for antibodies against HIV, the question would then be the following: Why is it that only in the case of AIDS the presence of antibodies indicates the presence of disease, rather than protection against it?


2.9. There is no justification for the fact that both patients and the general public have had all of the preceding facts withheld from them. Without the merits and demerits of the tests for HIV, people cannot make informed decisions.


3. The so-called "AIDS virus", HIV, may not even exist


Biophysicist Eleni Papadopulos-Eleopulos and her group of researchers at Royal Perth Hospital in Perth, Western Australia, were the very first scientists in mentioning the fact that HIV has never been isolated (12). For several years Papadopulos-Eleopulos and coworkers, have been publishing papers where they have described in detail, the scientific facts that support the assertion that the so-called AIDS virus, HIV, may not even exist (12-14,20,30,31,47,50,61-64):


3.1. The correct procedures (31) employed for over half a century to achieve isolation of a retrovirus are: a) to find in infected cell cultures particles with a diameter of 100-120 nM that contain the so-called condensed inner bodies or cores and that have surfaces studded with projections - spikes, knobs - b) In sucrose density gradients the particles band at a density of 1.16 gm/ml; c) At the density of 1.16 gm/ml there is nothing else but particles with the morphological characteristics of retroviral particles; d) The particles contain only RNA and not DNA, and the RNA consistently has the same length [number of bases] and composition no matter how many times the experiment is repeated; e) When the particles are introduced into secondary cultures they are taken up by the cells, the entire RNA is reverse transcribed into cDNA, the entire cDNA is inserted into the cellular DNA, and the DNA is transcribed back into RNA which is then translated into proteins; f) As a result of e the cells in the secondary cultures release particles into the culture medium; g) The particles released into the secondary culture medium have exactly the same characteristics as the original particles, that is, they must have identical morphology, band at 1.16 gm/ml and contain the same RNA and proteins (31).


None of these procedures have been achieved in the case of HIV (12,14,31,47).


3.2. None of the researchers who claim to have isolated HIV have shown the presence of particles with the morphological characteristics of retroviruses banding at 1.16 gm/ml (31).


Even the word "isolation" as used by the most noted researchers (65-67) is incorrect and misleading since neither Montagnier, Gallo nor Levy isolated HIV particles, particles of any other human retrovirus, or even virus-like-particles at all (12-14,30,31,47,61,68-74).


3.3. Since no "retroviral particles" [retroviruses] have ever been isolated from any culture (12-14,31,47,61-63,69-75), the existence of HIV has been established indirectly: by the presence in blood cultures of AIDS and "HIV-positive" individuals, proteins/glycoproteins such as gp 160/150, gp120, gp41/45/40, p34/32, p24, and p18/17, each claimed to belong to HIV; by the presence of enzymes such as reverse transcriptase that supposedly belongs to HIV; and by the presence of RNA or DNA fragments that supposedly belong to HIV (12-14,31,47,61-63,69-75).


However, none of these substances have been proven to belong to HIV at all (12-14,31,47,61-63,69-75). How can anybody prove that the substances found in those cultures belong to a viral particle that has never been found at 1.16 gm/ml? To prove that those substances are part of a retrovirus named HIV, it is absolutely necessary that the retroviral particles have been previously separated - isolated - from everything else. This has never been done with HIV (31).


3.4. It is interesting to note that the substances listed in 6.3. are claimed to appear exclusively when one co-cultures supposedly infected blood with abnormal cells from leukemia patients, or from umbilical cord lymphocytes (31). The problem is that the same substances can be obtained from the same cultures in the absence of the supposedly HIV-infected blood (31).


3.5. The cultures where the above substances have been found are cultures that have been heavily stimulated with substances such as phytohemagglutinin, IL-2, antiserum to human interferon, and other agents (31). These culture stimulants are oxidizing agents (31,47). The problem is that the same type of material can be observed in stimulated cultures of lymphocytes from healthy persons (31,76).


It is interesting to note than in the presence of antioxidants, no HIV phenomena can be observed in culture; nor can HIV substances be found (12,64,76).


3.6. The substances listed in 6.3. are not specific to HIV at all (31). For instance, it is currently known that reverse transcriptase can be found associated with entities other than retroviruses, including eukaryote cells, some animal and plant DNA viruses, and even some introns (77).


Gallo and co-workers have claimed that the cell-free supernatants from "infected" cultures have HIV-DNA (78,79). They forgot that by definition retroviruses are infectious particles that contain only RNA. When retroviruses enter a cell the RNA is reverse transcribed into DNA, which is then integrated into cellular DNA as a provirus, which means that "HIV DNA" will be present only in the cell and no where else (31).


There is also ample evidence that any RNA or DNA present in the supernatant of the cultures is there as an effect of stimulation by polycations and oxidizing agents, rather than as an effect of the presence of a retrovirus (31).


"HIV cloning" is likewise misleading. Without isolating a retroviral particle containing RNA inside its core, the cloning of that "specific HIV-RNA" is not possible (31).


3.7. To date nobody has presented evidence that the so-called HIV proteins or antigens [gp160/150, gp120, gp41/45/40, p34/32, p24, p18/17], are constituents of a retrovirus particle or even retrovirus-like particle let alone a unique retrovirus, HIV (31).


3.8. The proteins or antigens derived from stimulated cultures form the basis for the ELISA and Western blot HIV antibody tests (31,73). Fragments of RNA from stimulated cultures form the basis of the HIV viral load test (31,73). This is the main reason why the current tests used for the diagnosis of HIV are not specific for it (12-14,31,61,62).


3.9. In the January 1997 issue of the journal Virology, two independent groups of researchers published experiments claiming to isolate HIV. Now and for the first time in the history of HIV, the researchers followed the internationally accepted procedures to isolate retroviral particles. Not surprisingly, in the sedimented bands at 1.16 gm/ml of sucrose, where retroviruses are known to be located, nothing was found but cellular debris. At 1.16 gm/ml there was nothing that even looked like a retroviral particle (80-81). They could not have isolated HIV simply because HIV was not there to be isolated.


It has been proposed that all those substances that indicate the existence of HIV are nothing more than non-viral material altogether, induced by the agents to which the AIDS patients and cultures are exposed (31). When found in people, these substances would be seen as regular products of the stress response (82), secondary to exposure to chemical, physical, biological, mental, and nutritional stressor agents (48,51,57,83-87).


3.10. It is therefore possible to conclude that the entire model of AIDS as an infectious and transmissible viral disease has its basis on a non-existing organism. The foundation stone for the HIV-AIDS model then, is a ghost.


4. The real meaning of being HIV-positive


4.1. Above considerations allow one to propose that the reactivity on the ELISA, Western blot, and PCR tests is caused by multiple, repeated, and chronic exposure to chemical, physical, biological, mental, and nutritional stressor agents. The degree of reactivity would be proportional to the level of exposures to immunological stressor or oxidizing agents (12-14,20,30,31,63,88,89).


Positive results on ELISA and Western blot tests, can also be understood as the consequence of the presence of high levels of polyspecific antibodies, due to a state of chronic polyantigenic stimulation (52-54). The reactivity on the three main tests for HIV -ELISA, Western blot, and PCR or viral load - would be simply the result of the stress response (82,88,89,91-94).


4.2. Being "HIV-positive" - reacting positive on the tests for HIV – would then mean simply that the person has been exposed to many antigenic and toxic challenges, i.e., to many oxidizing agents (47,50,89). His or her immune system has been responding a lot to these immunogenic and immunotoxic challenges (51,57,89). The immune system of these "HIV-positive" individuals would be debilitated - oxidized - after it has been over-stimulated and intoxicated. Therefore, their risk for AIDS is higher than those who are "HIV-negative" (12,13,49,51).


4.3. Undoubtedly, there is almost a perfect correlation between the reactivity on the so-called "tests for HIV" and AIDS.


Exposure to immunological stressors makes the tests to react positively. At the same time, the exposure to immunological stressors or oxidizing agents is the cause of the mild to moderate levels of immune suppression present in all non-symptomatic individuals who react positively on the "tests for HIV." If the exposure to immunological stressor is not stopped, and if the individual is not disintoxicated, it is very probably that the non-symptomatic "HIV-positive" individual will worsen his/her immune suppression, and will develop the clinical manifestations of AIDS.


What we know as HIV has not causative role in AIDS. By the contrary, the HIV phenomenon is one of the effects of the stress response to multiple repeated, and chronic exposures to chemical, physical, biological, mental, and nutritional stressor agents.


5. Possible trial to find out the real meaning of the tests for HIV


To take blood from four groups of people and run the tests highly diluted, undiluted and at a wide spectrum of dilutions in between. a) The first group would be a group of healthy people of many age groups, b) the second group would be a group of people from the conventional AIDS risk groups, c) the third group would be a group of people with clinical conditions unrelated to AIDS, and d) the fourth group would be a group of patients with full manifestations of AIDS.


All groups would be subjected to both ELISA and Western blot tests. Additionally, all blood samples could be subjected to the viral load test for HIV.


The result of such experiment could determine whether these tests measurements bear any relationship to an individual’s level of exposure to stressor or oxidizing agents. If so, the tests could be salvaged as a measure of individual’s level of intoxication.


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Roberto A. Giraldo
www.RobertoGiraldo.com



********************




Monday, March 10, 2003

AT LEAST PART OF THE DEBATE ABOUT
HHV-6 AND HIV SEEMS TO HAVE
BEEN WON BY HHV-6

The degree with which HHV-6 is avoided as a topic of discussion by the AIDS establishment is breathtaking. (Also tragically, the AIDS rethinkers and dissidents are also HHV-6 denialists.) And the refusal to deal with HHV-6 could be costing millions of AIDS patients their lives with tremendous damage also occuring in the CFIDS part of the AIDS epidemic.

I recently noticed a page on Biotrin's site about the role of HHV-6 in AIDS. Biotrin is an Ireland-based biotech testing company that seems to be heavily involved in making transplants safer.

The page contains a summary of a study published in Journal of Medical Virology. The conclusions were based on a study of of 141 organs taken from the bodies of 11 seropositive HIV patients who died from AIDS.

According to the Biotrin's summary, "the results of this experiment showed that the quantity of HIV DNA found in organs was greatly increased when HHV 6 was also present. The tissues containing the greatest HIV viral load were the lymphoid tissues and this has been explained by the fact that both HIV and HHV 6 are tropic for T cells. The results showed that there was an association between HHV 6 and HIV 1 such that the greater the quantity of HHV 6 presence the greater the quantity of HIV 1 and vice versa. This observation was not noted with either CMV or HHV 7."

AIDS patients caught up in the HIV system are constantly having their blood monitored in all kinds of esoteric and high tech ways, and yet you never hear of anyone discussing their HHV-6 status or their HHV-6 viral load. Why?

Well here's one theory, and it is political. HHV-6 is a big threat to HIV because there are people who have died of HIV-negative AIDS who seemed to have succumbed to disseminated HHV-6 infection. The logic behind not calling these HIV-negative cases AIDS is worthy of Joseph Heller.

For years, my newspaper, New York Native, reported on HHV-6's role in AIDS. It drove the AIDS czars and czarinas crazy. The would rather let millions of people die from complications of HHV-6 than admit that the Native was right.

The real debate should be whether HIV is even necessary, or for the time being, how about what the role of HIV on HHV-6 replication? The more you know about HHV-6, the more it looks like Attila the Hun and the more HIV looks like Barney Fife.

What we need is litigation. A few lawsuits filed on the wrongful deaths of AIDS patients caused by a willful neglect of HHV-6 in their bodies might do the trick. There is certainly enough published medical information about HHV-6 to sway a judge and jury. Any takers?

Wednesday, March 05, 2003

PUBLIC HEALTH AND LAW ENFORCEMENT
MERGE IN SOUTH DAKOTA

According to an AP report in the Aberdeen American News today, a bill has passed the South Dakota Senate which "would authorize state officials to give prosecutors otherwise confidential information when people are being investigated for intentionally exposing others to the AIDS virus without their knowledge. A judge would have to issue an order before test results and other personal information could be released."

Also, according to the story, "the attorney general or prosecutors also could be alerted if Health Department officials suspect people of intentionally exposing others to HIV."

That should warm the hearts of AIDS activists everywhere.


Monday, March 03, 2003

WHY NOTHING MAKES SENSE IN THE
WACKY WORLD OF AIDS SPIN

Today in the Washington Post, Howard Kurtz pointed out a slight discrepancy:

"Vaccine for AIDS Shows Promise" -- last Monday's USA Today

"Large Trial Finds AIDS Vaccine Fails to Stop Infection" -- last Monday's New York Times



Thursday, February 27, 2003

IS DON FRANCIS MASSAGING THE DATA
ON THE AIDS VACCINE?

A disturbing report today in The San Francisco Chronicle by Andrew Pollack suggests that the recent results of VaxGen's AIDS vaccine have an aroma that is all too familiar in AIDS in general and in the work of VaxGen president, Donald Francis, in particular. According to Andrew Pollack, "VaxGen may have overstated the effectiveness of its AIDS vaccine because it did not make the proper statistical adjustments to its data, an expert consulted by the company said Wednesday. Steven Self, a professor of biostatistics at the University of Washington, said the company should have lowered the level of confidence with which it said the vaccine appeared to protect blacks, Asians and other non-Hispanic minorities from infection by HIV. "

Apparently Don Francis thinks this is a minor matter and plans to proceed as though his results have been a breakthrough in the racial understanding of AIDS. We hope he stays on this track. People are finally getting a sense that there is something racist afoot here. To try and save his company's credibility, Francis may have no choice but to continue down this racist path and it appears that Anthony Fauci, the snippy Napoleon of HIV, will accompany him. They deserve each other and we wish them a safe journey.

POEM OF THE DAY

Another vaccine
from the HIV crooks.
It doesn't work,
so cook the books!


Monday, February 24, 2003

THE AIDS VACCINE FAILURE:
"SCIENTIST ZERO" STRIKES AGAIN

Ever since the clown known as Donald Francis assisted in the building the AIDS circus of death in the early '80s, he has provided one gruesome performance after another. Today the press is covered with announcements of his vaccine's failure. The good news is that this might slow down the very queer AIDS agenda that the breathless, hyperactive, out-of-control Donald Francis has been pushing for two decades. The bad news is that the desperate AIDS establishment has tried to spin a tiny blip in the statistics to suggest that the failed vaccine might work for Blacks. Let us all now get down on our knees and pray that the African-American community can smell a rat in this racial disparity. Is this the new racial medicine, a rebirth of the mindset that created the Tuskegee Syphilis Experiment? Stay tuned.

In November, Wired published a piece on Francis and his vaccine which has a rather revealing anecdote in it. According to Richard Martin, "Francis grew up in Marin country, California, the son of two physicians and the grandson of another. A breakneck competitive skier and wild-eyed liberal, he attended UC Berkeley in the late '60's and got swept up in the civil rights movement. Speaking at Berkeley's 2000 commencement, he disclosed that he hadn't stuck around long enough to pick up his undergraduate degree. As soon as he was accepted into medical school at Northwestern, he took six months off to travel in Europe. Though he earned an MD plus a doctorate in virology from Harvard, he never made it back to Berkeley to finish his undergraduate studies." According to Martin, "Francis is one of the few modern-day physicians with an MD but no BS."

Cool? I don't think so. That anecdote, of course, is meant to make him sound like a folk hero: someone who colors outside of the lines and thinks out of the box. But in science where great care must be given to process and logic and thorough attention to details (as the search for Shuttle pieces in several states attest), maybe our wild-eyed-liberal-breakneck-skier's work on AIDS may in fact have more in common with the classic snowjob than classic science. Having met Francis and talked with him on the phone, I've thought of him as arrogant and incompetent, while others (like Randy Shilts) have portrayed him as a white knight.

I wrote a piece many years ago about Francis called "Scientist Zero," which was a sarcastic reference to the urban myth of the "Patient Zero" of AIDS. My point was that if you had to pick one person who had done more than any other person to create the scientific disaster that AIDS is, it is wild-eyed Donald Francis. Francis was at ground zero when the bogus, homophobic, racist, political definition of "AIDS" was created. He played a major role in getting the CDC to name the retrovirus known as "HIV" the cause of AIDS. The manner with which he did that is riddled with a kind of intellectual conflict of interest that has now deprived many people of their lives.

Francis had been working with Harvard's Myron Essex on retroviruses before he got involved with AIDS. You could say that he had a retroviral chip on his shoulder and he used the AIDS epidemic to vindicate some of the funky, quacky, research that he did with Myron Essex, the discoverer of FOCMA, something that turned out not to exist. According to John Crewdson's book, Science Fictions, after working in Africa and India for the CDC, "Francis had taken a sabbatical to earn a doctorate in Max Essex's lab at Harvard." In And the Band Played On, Randy Shilts wrote that "after spending eight years studying feline leukemia, the major cause of cat deaths, Essex was more than casually interested in links between the disease and human disease. He and Francis were among the small minority of scientists who believed that viruses would one day be linked to cancer and other serious human ailments. Together, they had published eight articles on feline leukemia as well as a controversial piece suggesting that some human lymphomas, leukemias and cancers of the immune system might be linked to viral infections."

The case can be made that Francis used the AIDS epidemic to bolster the theories about retroviruses that he helped develop with Essex. While this conflict of interest may have given Francis only an underserved halo and power, it gave Essex something he could put in the bank. Ironically, in his bestseller, Randy Shilts also writes that, "Essex knew Francis had a penchant for quick conclusions stated in the most dramatic terms: he also knew that his former student had gained an international reputation for singular brilliance." One suspects that Francis' conclusions were singularly brilliant (and not just quick) when they supported Essex's own crackpot (see FOCMA) science.

The question for historians will be to determine the degree of bureaucratic thuggery that Francis and his associates in the AIDS establishment applied to anyone who tried to raise questions about their "science." Because they have built a multi-billion dollar house of cards around HIV, the silencing of critics has required enormous effort and eternal vigilance. These guys are good. Students of modern propaganda will marvel at the job that Francis and his buddies have done on AIDS. Since Francis helped turn Essex's FOCMA failures into the triumph of HIV fraud, it will be interesting to see what magic he can work with his collossal AIDS vaccine failure. Underestimate him at your own peril.


Friday, February 21, 2003

HOW MANY CASES OF CFIDS
ARE THERE IN SOUTH AFRICA?

A story in the Washington Post today about Gibson Kente, a famous South African playwright announcing that he is HIV positive, contains the obligatory bit of HIV agitprop: "An estimated one in five South Africans, or 4.7 million people, are infected with HIV, the virus that causes AIDS, giving the country the highest caseload in the world."

Okay, lets accept that as true for a split second. Then how many cases of CFIDS do they have in South Africa?

Given that CFIDS is contagious and involves the destruction of the immune system and other fun pathological things, and given that just about any contagious disease that is a problem in our country, seems to be an exponentially bigger problem in Africa (and similar venues) then curious minds want to know: where in the world are the CFIDS cases? South Africa should be awash in CFIDS. The State Department should be issuing endless statements about CFIDS threatening national security. Yuppie reporters should be sighing in the faux manner that Yuppies sigh, "Oh, we've lost Africa to CFIDS. And India is next."

The number one million has been bandied about when the American incidence of CFIDS is loosely discussed by CFIDS activists. Given that one million HIV positives in America (1 in 280 million Americans) represents our epidemic and 4.7 million (1 in 4) South Africans represents their epidemic, does some similar statistical relationship exist with the even more contagious CFIDS? Are there 4.7 million people with CFIDS in South Africa? Do 2 out of 5 South Africans have a serious form of immune dysfunction?

And that, of course, raises the question--how in the world do you distinguish CFIDS from AIDS in Africa? Is it the same dirty game of politics that is played in America? Here If you're African-American or a gay male and you suffer from immune dysfunction, you have AIDS, and if you're white and heterosexual (or lesbian) and suffer from the same immune dysfunction, you have fruity CFIDS.

If Mbeki really wants to make the AIDS activists and HIV establishment give virgin births to cows, these are the questions he should be asking. Better still, hold a conference on CFIDS in South Africa. Tony Fauci would retire on the spot. And as Martha Stewart says, that would be a good thing.

Thursday, February 20, 2003

MAYBE AIDS IS NOT A SEXUALLY
TRANSMITTED DISEASE

WILL THE NEW STUDY
VINDICATE DUESBERG?

It has been a very emotional article of faith among the HIV establishment and the AIDS activists that AIDS is a sexually transmitted disease. All kinds of bizarre theories about the sexuality of Africans have peppered the official racist paradigm of AIDS. But a new study suggests that what is really driving the so-called AIDS epidemic in Africa is not sex but medical practices. In a Reuters report yesterday, Patricia Reanay writes that "Africa's AIDS epidemic may not have been fueled mainly by sexual transmission of the HIV virus but by unsafe medical injections and blood transfusions, a team of international researchers said Thursday."

She also notes that the "findings contradict widely held views about how the virus that causes AIDS spread through Africa, and could have implications for public health measures to fight the disease."

Can it be? A challenge to the official line on AIDS? Peter Duesberg must be thrilled. He is the first person to suggest that something was really funky about the model of AIDS that the CDC and the NIH have been promoting on the backs of gay people and people of color.

South Africa's President Mbeki should point to this study when people attack him for daring to question what a majority of AIDS researchers assume to be true. There may be many more surprises to come.

Tuesday, February 18, 2003

THE CREEPY ATTACKS ON
MBEKI CONTINUE

Business Day carries a story today about yet another attack on Thabo Mbeki because he is not doing what the AIDS establishment and the AIDS activists want him to, i.e. when they say jump he does not ask how high. Thus far he has refused to be the Steppin' Fetchit of AIDS in South Africa.

Why is there not a bold international effort among intellectuals to defend his right to ask questions and have a second opinion about AIDS orthodoxy? A friend has for years correctly noted that HIV is actually a religion and Mbeki is one of its heretics. One would think that apartheid writer/heroines like Nadine Gordimer would come to his defense, and yet, with friends like Gordimer, Mbeki doesn't need enemies. I'm still in a state of shock over something she wrote in a letter (with Anthony Sampson) to the New York Review of Books: "Both writers of this letter, Nadine Gordimer and Anthony Sampson, accept beyond any question that HIV causes AIDS."

The moral of Gordimer's story is that yesterday's heroic freedom-fighting intellectuals are tomorrow's pompous asses.

Monday, February 17, 2003

Friday, February 14, 2003

THE DIRTY WAR AGAINST MBEKI
CONTINUES

The HIV thugs seem to want South Africa's President Thabo Mbeki to crawl on his knees through the streets of Johannesburg, begging for the forgiveness of the the American AIDS establishment and the AIDS activists as he admits that HIV is the real, official, no-doubt-about-it cause of AIDS. Thus far he has been brave and resisted their international pressure. Even after AIDS windbag William Jefferson Clinton joined the chorus, Mbeki seems to be sticking to his guns. Even though the Kaiser HIV/AIDS Daily Report is a useful compendium on the latest AIDS stories, it has a kind of "Get Mbeki" slant to it's coverage. Today's round-up of stories on South Africa is no exception. If you want to know more about what is going on in South Africa (and why the HIV tests are unreliable), go to Roberto Giraldo's site.

Thursday, February 13, 2003

THE RACIST PARADIGM OF AIDS

Yesterday the Kaiser Daily HIV/AIDS Report ran this item: "HIV is 11 times more common in black women in Ohio than in white women, according to state health department figures, and the number of cases is increasing, the Columbus Dispatch reports. In Franklin County, women represented 17% of all HIV/AIDS cases in 2001, compared with 6% in the early 1990s, and "most" of the cases are among black women."

How many white women do you think have CFIDS in Ohio? If you're a white woman and you suffer from immune dysfunction, you're told you have "Chronic Fatigue Syndrome" and to take to your bed or see a shrink. If you are a black woman, you're told you have AIDS, and your life takes an ugly turn. You are stigmatized, potentially criminalized and coerced to take toxic fraud-based medications. (It's all in The Closing Argument.)

When are Black citizens going to wake up to the fact that they're being rolled on AIDS? Jesse Jackson is running around the country promoting this fraud, urging African-Americans to get with the racist program of HIV fraud. He should be ashamed of himself. Jesse Jackson is turning himself into the Pied Piper of AIDS in the Black community. He should be leading an investigation into the cover-up of HHV-6 and the relationship of CFIDS to AIDS.

And so should the folks at the Kaiser Daily HIV/AIDS Reports, but that is a story for another day.


Wednesday, February 12, 2003

AMPLIGEN IN THE NEWS AGAIN

The following headline orginates from Medstar: "AIDS patients whose bodies become resistant to the “AIDS Cocktail” drug treatments may find help from a nucleic acid drug that is under study. Ampligen® is a synthetic form of RNA and is thought to produce a positive immune system response. That response helps fight off a viral attack. Clinical trials are currently underway at more than twenty sites nationwide. Ampligen is also being tested for patients with Chronic Fatigue Syndrome."

Maybe if Ampligen works, the clowns who call themselves AIDS researchers can stop turning gay people and African-Americans into experimental toxic dumps. (Not that Ampligen is exactly Vitamin C.)

Ampligen has always been an interesting experimental treatment because the premise on which it is based supports the notion that CFIDS and AIDS are the same syndrome, something CFIDS patients would rather die than admit. (CFS activist Roger Burns has an excellent page of links on the subject of Ampligen.)

In her book, America's Biggest Cover-up, Neenyah Ostrom reports on the theory about CFS developed by Dr. Carter, the president of Hemispherix, the company that manufactures Ampligen: "At a conference held in late 1991, Dr. Carter discussed a clinical trial of Ampligen and explained that he thinks CFS could be called 'lymphokine overdose disease.'" And anyone with half a brain knows that AIDS is the ultimate "lymphokine overdose disease."

By the way, on the bioterrorism front, Wired News reported in 2001 that Ampligen was also being considered as a possible treatment for smallpox.

Click to learn more about CFIDS/AIDS.

Tuesday, February 11, 2003

CELIAC DISEASE AND CFIDS

In a story on Celiac Disease today in The Washington Post, David Brown notes that new "research is revealing that celiac disease may be one of the most common genetic diseases, affecting perhaps as many as 2 million Americans. A national survey published today, for example, estimates that 1 in 133 Americans has it."

It's tragic that The Washington Post, like most of the mainstream media, has ignored the CFIDS epidemic. Celiac Disease seems to be a major problem in people suffering from CFIDS. In a report in the CFIDS Forum, Alan Coccetto notes that "Medical studies are beginning to show now that Celiac disease can be present in CFS patients. During the past six months, I have had several long-term patients phone me with various test results confirming that Celiac disease is a definite problem among some of us with CFS. Most of these patients have been scoped and had intestinal biopsy proven Celiac disease. One doctor, from one of the 'top five' clinics in the US, concluded that the PWC had a type of neurological celiac disease! This is very interesting in light of the pathogens that we have been looking at (HHV-6, HTLV-II, etc.) with respect to their roles in the central nervous system."

Click to learn more about CFIDS/AIDS.



THE INCREDIBLE DISAPPEARING WEBSITE

A week ago you could type in "AIDSGATE" in Google and this site was number 8 on the first page of listings. Now you can't even find it in any of the pages of listings. We can't figure out what's going on. Can you? Maybe Google is using an old cache of sites.

Monday, February 10, 2003

GREASY PIG DISEASE

No, it's not a new malady affecting our top AIDS researchers. Greasy Pig Disease is caused by a form of staph and bears looking into because it is a complication of PRRS which looks like a CFIDS/AIDS epidemics in pigs. One PRRS researcher has suggested that PRRS might make a good model for studying AIDS. According to a report by PRRS researcher Monte McCaw, "We demonstrated last year that in utero infection of piglets by PRRSV greatly increased their susceptibility to Streptococcus suis disease after challenge at 5 days of age. Only 1 or 4 pigs died following infection with either PRRSV or Strep. suis alone. However, 20 of 22 pigs died which were infected with PRRSV in utero and then challenged with Strep. suis at 5 days of age. This year we evaluated some of the immune system cells and organs of piglets infected with PRRSV in utero. At birth and up to two weeks of age the thymus (lymphocyte immune cell maturing organ) of PRRSV infected piglets was only half the size of the thymus of uninfected pigs. The distribution of lymphocytes still in the thymus and also in the blood of the PRRSV infected piglets was greatly reversed, showing a CD 8 : CD 4 ratio of 12 : 1. This shift in CD 4 : CD 8 ratio is similar to that which occurs in AIDS patients who also become sick with many different secondary bacterial diseases."

Is the staph epidemic in people a byproduct of the PRRS epidemic in people? Can people get PRRS? Stay tuned.

It would be interesting to look into the staph epidemics breaking out in prisons around the country to determine if the victims of this disorder have an underlying monocyte-macrophage dysfunction. Many pigs with Greasy Pig Syndrome suffer from that dysfunction. Was that greasy bacon you had this morning from a greasy pig? Why has the media (with the exception of Nicholas Regush when he was at ABC) shown so little interest in the CFIDS/AIDS epidemic in pigs which parallels the one in people?

Friday, February 07, 2003

STAPH AND CFIDS

On February 3, the New York Times reported on the growing problem of "mysterious" staph infections on the West Coast. According to the David Tuller's report, "More than 1,000 jail inmates in Los Angeles County have suffered painful and aggressive skin infections caused by a bacterium resistant to many antibiotics, medical authorities say. The unusual outbreak over the last year is still not contained."

A better understanding of the staph epidemic may require a closer look at what is not being publicly admitted about the CFIDS epidemic, namely that there is a pandemic of HHV-6 which is devastating the immune systems of the general population and making people very susceptible to staph infections. Need an animal model, or a possible source for the staph problem in the environment? Check out the work of Dr. Turello who is working on the CFIDS epidemic in dogs and horses. According to a recent article of his which is posted on a leading CFS site, "Chronic Fatigue Syndrome (CFS) in human patients remains a controversial and perplexing condition with emerging zoonotic aspects. Recent advances in human medicine seem to indicate a bacterial etiology and the condition has already been described in horses, dogs, cats and birds of prey in association with micrococci-like organisms in the blood and Staph-positive blood cultures."

An article on the Aegis site provides a little background on the role of staph in "AIDS." Because the whole AIDS paradigm has been skewed by HIV fraud, thereby concealing the real epidemic of immunodeficiency in the general population, the staph epidemic could be "mysterious" for a long time. Lies and politics tend to make epidemics very "mysterious."

Thursday, February 06, 2003

THE MEDICAL POLICE STATE GROWS

According to a story in the South Dakota Aberdeen American News, the South Dakota "state Health Department is seeking legal authority to alert prosecutors about people with the AIDS virus who are having sex without disclosing their medical status."

Imagine if the public health police tried to track the sex lives of people with the CFIDS form of AIDS. Every person with CFIDS with half a brain know that CFIDS is contagious and that people have gotten CFIDS from their sexual partners. They wouldn't dare criminalize the CFIDS form of AIDS because the most visible patients are white and heterosexual. (Check out The Closing Argument for more on this.)

Next week two men are going on trial in Aberdeen for violating South Dakota's HIV partner notification laws. In an amazing modern-day witch hunt, 30 men in Aberdeen were contacted at their homes or places of businesses by the police and told that they must get HIV tests as part of the investigation, sources in Aberdeen have told AIDSGATE. The two men could get as many as 90 years in prison if they are found guilty. An African-American man who may have been a victim of a sting operation by the health department in Huron, South Dakota is now serving a four year sentence in the South Dakota State penitentiary for violating the racist and homophobic AIDS laws of South Dakota.
Is this the world the AIDS activists and HIV establishment are building?



Wednesday, February 05, 2003

MORE BAD NEWS ABOUT THE
MIRACLE PROTEASE COCKTAILS

Reuters is reporting on a University of Kentucky study on mice that suggests, "that the drugs, known as protease inhibitors, may directly contribute to artery disease even before triglyceride and cholesterol levels rise."

These are the drugs that some people want to force patients to take. We hope all the class action lawyers out there are taking notes. When it comes, it's going to be a big one.


Tuesday, February 04, 2003

NEW CFIDS ABNORMALITY

Doctor's Guide recently reported on a new cardiac abnormality found in CFS patients: "A particular and quantifiable abnormality in the cardiovascular reactivity of most patients with chronic fatigue syndrome provides an new objective tool for assessing this disorder, suggest researchers in Israel."

Monday, February 03, 2003

THE COLLATERAL DAMAGE OF
THE HHV-6 COVER-UP

As long as the HIV establishment keeps the public from knowing the truth about the role of HHV-6 in CFIDS/AIDS, all kinds of people suffer from not knowing how widespread HHV-6 is in the general population and how many lives it is destroying. This story in the Albuquerque Tribune describes an out-of-control child whose problem was an underlying HHV-6 infection. Scores of children in this country and others are suffering from bizarre symptoms from HHV-6 because the AIDS establishment and the AIDS activists are committed to to protecting the big HIV lie at all costs. As more and more children suffer from autism and ADD, the true horror of the HHV-6 epidemic becomes clearer and clearer. The parents of these children have a major investment in getting to the bottom of AIDSGATE and the cover-up of HHV-6.

Friday, January 31, 2003

NOBODY WITH AIDS EVER DIES
AND YOUR HEART WILL GO ON AND ON

Gay.com today is reporting that a BBC soap opera is under fire from the AIDS Thought Police for the way it plans to kill off an HIV-positive character. The writers of the soap have the nerve to suggest that the character dies because his AIDS "cocktail" fails him. Well, Hello! God forbid that anyone suggests that anything isn't peachy keen in the fairy tale world that the AIDS activists and HIV con artists have presented in the media. We have a better suggestion for a way to write the HIV-positive character out of the soap. He decides to stop taking his miraculous toxic "cocktail" and the UN sends in troops, puts him under house arrest, forces him to take his medications at gunpoint and he dies under quarantine. Now that would be more reflective of the reality of AIDS.

Thursday, January 30, 2003

HOMODEMIOLOGY

"Homodemiology" is a term we've coined to describe the science of blaming epidemics on gay people. We of course mean "pseudo-science." The biggest breakthroughs in homodemiology were made under the Nazis, until the AIDS researchers came along. The idea that "AIDS" and "CFIDS" are separate epidemics is a good example of homodemiology. The work on HHV-8 seems to be the latest discovery from the homodemiological discipline. This cartoon captures the essence of the current state of homodemiology.

Anyone who thinks that epidemiology isn't political is extremely foolish. Epidemiology is suffused with a society's prejudices and agendas. All the premises about AIDS were created by the very political homodemiologists who called themselves "epidemiologists" at the CDC in the early '80s. For anyone who wants to understand the politics of disease, we recommend this book by Sylvia Noble Tesh.

Wednesday, January 29, 2003

HORSES WITH CFIDS

According to an article in The CFIDS Forum written by Alan Cocchetto, CFS is becoming a major veterinary problem. Cocchetto writes "Dr. Walter Tarello, who has several publications on CFS in various animal populations has reported on an emerging problem in veterinary medicine - one that was reported from England that suggested that CFS exists in the animal population and that preliminary epidemiological studies seem to confirm the zoonotic implications of CFS."

According to Tarello, CFS in animals seems to also involve staph infections. Does this explain some of the growing staph problems in people around the world?

TO CONTACT US: Rubiconmedia@yahoo.com
PETS WITH CFIDS/AIDS

Some of the most interesting research on Chronic Fatigue and Immune Dysfuncton Syndrome involves pets. Many people with CFIDS symptoms apparently have pets with similar symptoms. No one as far as we know, has done a study of the transmission of AIDS to pets, but based on the work of Thomas Glass, and the overlap of CFIDS and AIDS, such research would make a great deal of sense. Research by Glass, published in a Chronic Fatigue Syndrome publication, notes that "Throughout the recognized existence of Chronic Fatigue and Immune Dysfunction Syndrome, anecdotal reports have linked domestic animals with CFIDS, but no formal scientiflc studies were reported (1,2). Cats and dogs were implicated by their owners most frequently. The usual association with the presence of the animal in the household of a CFIDS patient, followed by the development of strange diseases or dysfunctions in the animal, many of which mimic CFIDS. The severity of the diseases often necessitated euthanasia. In a fewer number of cases, the onset of CFIDS in the patient was associated with an exposure to a domestic animal which was later found to show signs of CFIDS."

Tuesday, January 28, 2003

AIDS MEDICINE = NAZI MEDICINE

Today's story in The Baltimore Sun about an informal version of what is called "Directly Observed Therapy" (DOT) is chilling. We hope that the AIDS activists who have helped create this civil liberties mess are happy.

The next step will be to incarcerate people who don't cooperate. After all, they're public health threats, right?


Monday, January 27, 2003

AIDS IN PIGS (Should that ham sandwich be wearing a red ribbon?)

The CFIDS/AIDS-like epidemic of PRRS in pigs gets more and more interesting. Now that a ciguatera-like substance (a toxin associated with tropical fish) has been found in CFIDS patients, it would be interesting to know whether pigs with immune problems similar to those in people with CFIDS/AIDS also test positive for ciguatera. Since ciguatera is not destroyed by heat, a positive finding would suggest that there could be some serious problems ahead for the pork industry. Given that PRRS in pigs now involves some serious liver damage, it shouldn't be surprising if pigs test positive for the ciguatera-like substance found in CFIDS patients. How many Americans know that there is an AIDS-like epidemic in pigs all over the country? Maybe Jane Teas, the woman who suggested in 1983 that AIDS is caused by a DNA virus called African Swine Fever Virus may turn out to be on the money. Stay tuned. (By the way, her career was sidetracked for a number of years because she dared to suggest something that the HIV establishment didn't want to hear.)
FASTEN YOUR SEAT BELTS

Thanks to Andrew Sullivan and the San Francisco Chronicle, we now know that the appointment of Jerry Thacker to the presidential AIDS advisory council was not just an aberration. The situation is far more ominous. Here's a paragraph from the Chronicle's story by Carolyn Lochhead:

"'It is very clear that increasingly people within the Christian right and in the conservative movement are seeking to blame gay white men for the spread of the epidemic,' said A. Cornelius Baker, executive director of the Whitman-Walker Clinic in Washington, an AIDS treatment organization. 'Not only that, they are seeking to blame white gay men for the plight of African Americans in this disease. It is unacceptable.'"

THE RACIAL POLITICS OF AIDS

Rather than turning on gay men, African-American citizens should take a close look at the Chronic Fatigue Syndrome epidemic. There they will find millions of Americans who have an AIDS-like illness who are neither African-American nor gay. But they have the same basic illness as AIDS patients. That is the real story and the real scandal. It's all detailed in The Closing Argument.



Sunday, January 26, 2003

CIGUATERA AND AIDS
----------

As CFIDS researchers and activists try to understand the role of ciguatera-like toxins in CFIDS, they would be wise to revisit the notion that AIDS and CFIDS are actually part of the same epidemic. What they may have shown is that AIDS and CFIDS have cytokines and cytotoxins in common. Both so-called different syndromes have a kind of dementia in common. Both are very serious illnesses involving major chronic inflammation. Both involve a dynamic virus capable of destroying the immune system, namely HHV-6.

Here is a helpful description from AIDS Treatment Update by Raffi Babakhanian of the role of cytokines in AIDS:

"Cytokines are proteins produced by many different cells of the immune system which act upon other cells. They attach to receptors on the outside of cells causing the target cell to produce a certain reaction, depending on the cell and the cytokine. Often the target cell produces other cytokines in response to the initial cytokine. This complicated relationship is called the cytokine network, and it is one of the most important ways that the immune system (which is distributed throughout the body) communicates and orchestrates appropriate responses to various challenges, including viruses, bacteria, fungi and even tumours. Most cytokines are produced by T-lymphocyte cells and to a lesser degree by monocytes and macrophages.

There is growing evidence that initial HIV infection disrupts the normal balance of cytokines by causing the levels of certain cytokines to rise. As the disease progresses to AIDS, the production of these cytokines declines whilst the production of another group of cytokines increases. Some scientists think that this change from one group of cytokines to the other group directly causes many of the symptoms associated with AIDS including wasting, lymphomas, neurological damage and dementia. Cytokine imbalances may also help HIV to target CD4 cells and the lymph nodes, leading to the progressive immunosuppression and the opportunistic infections that follow."







Saturday, January 25, 2003

The recent announcement that Chronic Fatigue Syndrome patients test positive for a ciguatera-type toxin could radically change the political landscape of CFIDS/AIDS.

Research sponsored by the National CFIDS Foundation found a link between an exotic fish toxin called ciguatera and the AIDS-like condition of Chronic Fatigue and Immune Dysfunction Syndrome. Because ciguatera is taken very seriously by the medical establishment, it is hoped that the finding will settle once and for all the issue of whether Chronic Fatigue and Immune Dysfunction Syndrome is a real disease.

The NCF was able to enlist the help of Dr.Yoshitsugi Hokama, one of the world's leading experts on ciguatera poisoning.

The NCF issued the following press release:

Neurotoxin Discovered in Chronic Fatigue Syndrome

Needham, MA November 17, 2002 -- Research sponsored by the National CFIDS
Foundation was formally announced at the International Symposium on Toxins
and Natural Products in Okinawa, Japan on November 17-19, 2002 by Dr.
Yoshitsugi Hokama. The research, for the first time, discovered ciguatoxin,
a potent neurotoxin, in the blood of Chronic Fatigue Syndrome patients.

"Chronic ciguatera poisoning has already been suggested as a scientific
model for Chronic Fatigue Syndrome (CFS)," stated Dr. Hokama. Ciguatoxins
are potent, heat stabile, non-protein, lipophilic sodium channel activator
toxins and are recognized as some of the most potent biological toxins
known. They produce dramatic neurological manifestations, such as peripheral
sensory or motor symptoms (including paresthesias, pain, burning, tingling,
numbness), central symptoms such as headache, autonomic dysfunction and also
affect multiple body systems (gastrointestinal, immune, hepatic, cardiovascular)
and the muscles.

Many CFS patients in the study had higher levels of the toxin than the
patients with cancer, hepatitis or acute ciguatera poisoning.

Quantitative assay results range from 1:5, the lowest toxin level, to
1:160, the highest toxin level. All CFS samples gave titres of at least
1:20, with the majority of titres from 1:40 to 1:160.

Dr. Hokama presented his preliminary findings in a lecture titled "Acute
phase lipids in sera of various diseases: Chronic Fatigue Syndrome,
ciguatera, hepatitis, and various cancer with antigentic epitope resembling
ciguatoxin as determined with Mab-CTX."

Dr. Hokama is a Professor in the Department of Pathology at the John A.
Burns School of Medicine at the University of Hawaii at Manoa. He is a
world expert in the area of fish toxins with hundreds of peer reviewed
publications to his credit. Hokama developed the Membrane Immunobead Assay
test for patient sera, using a specific monoclonal antibody for ciguatera
toxin (Mab-CTX). His current research into Chronic Fatigue Syndrome and a
ciguatera toxin connection was funded by the National CFIDS Foundation's
research grant program.

Gail Kansky, President of the National CFIDS Foundation, said, "We believe
this to be a significant breakthrough. CFS, which has come to include
myalgic encephalomyelitis, is a very severe illness that has not received
adequate funding or appropriate medical attention. Although there are still
many unanswered questions and much work to be done, research efforts will
ultimately turn the tide in the understanding of this disease and allow
patients to receive appropriate medical therapies. We are indebted to Dr.
Hokama and his colleagues for providing this monumental first step."

For more information on this study or Chronic Fatigue Syndrome, please
contact:
The National CFIDS Foundation
103 Aletha Road
Needham, MA 02492
phone: 781-449-3535
fax: 781-449-8606



To learn more about CFIDS/AIDS, go to The HHV-6 Site and read The Closing Argument.


Here we will cover developments in the science and politics of CFIDS/AIDS.


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